Important match for Uruguay. They have 1.5% chance winning the tournament if they beat Cape Verde and only 0.41% if they don't. In the same group it's also an important match for Spain who need to win to avoid fiasco. They have 25% chance to win the tournament if they beat Saudi and 19% otherwise.
To advance as a third, three points and 1-4 in goal difference is enough in 50% of the simulations. 3-4 is enough in 91% and in 9% of the simulations a third advance with only two points.
| Group E | Probabilities | ||||||||
| Team | Pld | GD | Pts | xPts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 32 |
| Germany | 2 | +7 | 6 | 7.34 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 100% |
| Ivory Coast | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5.13 | 6% | 10% | 84% | < 1% | 92% |
| Ecuador | 2 | -1 | 1 | 2.41 | 17% | 77% | 6% | < 1% | 40% |
| Curaçao | 2 | -6 | 1 | 1.68 | 77% | 13% | 10% | < 1% | 16% |
| Group F | Probabilities | ||||||||
| Team | Pld | GD | Pts | xPts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 32 |
| Netherlands | 2 | +4 | 4 | 6.34 | < 1% | < 1% | 31% | 69% | 100% |
| Japan | 2 | +3 | 4 | 5.97 | < 1% | 20% | 55% | 25% | >99.99% |
| Sweden | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3.81 | < 1% | 80% | 15% | 5% | 91% |
| Tunisia | 2 | -7 | 0 | 0.5 | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Group G | Probabilities | ||||||||
| Team | Pld | GD | Pts | xPts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 32 |
| Iran | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.65 | 20% | 25% | 32% | 24% | 66% |
| New Zealand | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.63 | 47% | 26% | 18% | 9% | 41% |
| Belgium | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4.96 | 9% | 18% | 26% | 48% | 88% |
| Egypt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.87 | 24% | 32% | 24% | 20% | 70% |
Iran
| Belgium - Iran | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 46% | 71% | 98.4% | 99.7% | 99.9% | 100% | Egy - New | ||
| 46% | 72% | >99.99% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 66% | Home | |
| 47% | 71% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | Draw | |
| 47% | 70% | 94% | 98.7% | 99.8% | 100% | 66% | Away | |
New Zealand
| Egypt - New Zealand | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 11% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 34% | 96.7% | 98.8% | 99.7% | 100% | Bel - Ira | ||
| 8% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 34% | 99.94% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 100% | 41% | Home | |
| 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 33% | 99.9% | 99.98% | 99.9% | 100% | 42% | Draw | |
| 14% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 33% | 88% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 40% | Away | |
Belgium
| Belgium - Iran | ||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | Away | |||
| 100% | 99.98% | 99.8% | 99.0% | 86% | 68% | Egy - New | ||
| 100% | 99.97% | 99.6% | 98.0% | 86% | 70% | 88% | Home | |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | >99.99% | 85% | 69% | 88% | Draw | |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | >99.99% | 87% | 66% | 88% | Away | |
Egypt
| Egypt - New Zealand | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| >99.99% | 99.93% | 99.5% | 98.3% | 55% | 31% | 28% | 27% | 25% | Bel - Ira | ||
| 99.9% | 99.9% | 98.9% | 96.7% | 56% | 32% | 31% | 31% | 30% | 70% | Home | |
| 100% | 100% | 99.99% | 99.97% | 53% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 29% | 70% | Draw | |
| 100% | 100% | >99.99% | 99.96% | 56% | 30% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 70% | Away | |
| Group H | Probabilities | ||||||||
| Team | Pld | GD | Pts | xPts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 32 |
| Uruguay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.98 | 10% | 19% | 53% | 18% | 81% |
| Saudi Arabia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 47% | 35% | 16% | 2.9% | 43% |
| Spain | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.99 | 1.0% | 4.4% | 19% | 75% | 98.1% |
| Cape Verde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.78 | 42% | 42% | 13% | 3.2% | 46% |
Uruguay
| Cape Verde - Uruguay | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 35% | 99.6% | 99.84% | 99.97% | >99.99% | Spa - Sau | ||
| 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 35% | 99.96% | 99.98% | >99.99% | 100% | 81% | Home | |
| - | 13% | 15% | 14% | 33% | 99.9% | 99.99% | 99.9% | 100% | 81% | Draw | |
| - | 10% | 12% | 16% | 33% | 87% | 95% | 99% | 99.8% | 77% | Away | |
Saudi Arabia
| Spain - Saudi Arabia | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 40% | 65% | 95% | 98% | 99% | 100% | Cap - Uru | ||
| 37% | 66% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 41% | Home | |
| 40% | 66% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 44% | Draw | |
| 40% | 64% | 93% | 98% | 99% | - | 44% | Away | |
Spain
| Spain - Saudi Arabia | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 99.96% | 86% | 69% | 64% | 60% | 53% | Cap - Uru | ||
| 99.6% | 86% | 70% | 68% | 68% | - | 97.8% | Home | |
| 100% | 84% | 69% | 68% | 68% | - | 98.0% | Draw | |
| >99.99% | 86% | 69% | 63% | 57% | - | 98.1% | Away | |
Cape Verde
| Cape Verde - Uruguay | ||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | Away | |||
| 100% | 99.8% | 99.2% | 98.2% | 61% | 36% | Spa - Sau | ||
| 100% | 99.8% | 99.1% | 98.0% | 61% | 36% | 46% | Home | |
| - | 100% | 100% | 99.9% | 59% | 36% | 46% | Draw | |
| - | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60% | 25% | 38% | Away | |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
- Uruguay have 1.5% if they win against Cape Verde; otherwise 0.42%
- Spain have 25% if they win against Saudi Arabia; otherwise 19%
- Spain have 25% if they draw (or win) against Saudi Arabia; otherwise 15%
- Uruguay have 1.3% if they draw (or win) against Cape Verde; otherwise 0.22%
| Last 32 | Last 16 | Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||||
Germany (100%) | ||||||||||
Germany (63%) Paraguay (13%) | ||||||||||
Paraguay (33%) Australia (27%) Scotland (26%) Brazil (7%) | ||||||||||
France (44%) Germany (27%) Norway (9%) | ||||||||||
France (73%) Norway (24%) | ||||||||||
France (61%) Norway (16%) Sweden (12%) | ||||||||||
Sweden (65%) Japan (18%) | ||||||||||
France (32%) Germany (15%) Netherlands (14%) Switzerland (8%) | ||||||||||
South Korea (83%) South Africa (15%) | ||||||||||
Switzerland (43%) South Korea (32%) Canada (22%) | ||||||||||
Switzerland (62%) Canada (38%) | ||||||||||
Netherlands (28%) Switzerland (20%) Morocco (12%) Canada (10%) | ||||||||||
Netherlands (69%) Japan (25%) | ||||||||||
Netherlands (44%) Morocco (24%) Japan (14%) | ||||||||||
Morocco (65%) Brazil (22%) | ||||||||||
Spain (30%) France (18%) Netherlands (6%) Germany (6%) | ||||||||||
Portugal (43%) Colombia (26%) DR Congo (17%) | ||||||||||
Croatia (40%) Portugal (27%) Colombia (16%) Uzbekistan (5%) | ||||||||||
Croatia (73%) Ghana (14%) | ||||||||||
Spain (47%) Croatia (14%) Portugal (11%) | ||||||||||
Spain (75%) Uruguay (18%) | ||||||||||
Spain (61%) Austria (15%) Uruguay (10%) | ||||||||||
Austria (62%) Algeria (20%) Argentina (15%) | ||||||||||
Spain (41%) United States (10%) Croatia (9%) Portugal (8%) | ||||||||||
United States (100%) | ||||||||||
United States (73%) Bosnia and Herzegovina (14%) | ||||||||||
Bosnia and Herzegovina (57%) Qatar (21%) Ecuador (4%) | ||||||||||
United States (39%) Belgium (19%) Iran (6%) Bosnia and Herzegovina (4%) | ||||||||||
Belgium (48%) Iran (24%) Egypt (20%) | ||||||||||
Belgium (31%) Iran (13%) Egypt (9%) Czechia (6%) | ||||||||||
Cape Verde (15%) Czechia (15%) Saudi Arabia (13%) South Korea (11%) Algeria (8%) | ||||||||||
Spain (25%) Argentina (17%) France (14%) England (8%) | ||||||||||
Brazil (62%) Morocco (32%) | ||||||||||
Brazil (38%) Japan (26%) Netherlands (17%) Morocco (13%) | ||||||||||
Japan (55%) Netherlands (31%) | ||||||||||
Brazil (22%) Norway (18%) France (14%) Japan (13%) Netherlands (10%) | ||||||||||
Ivory Coast (84%) | ||||||||||
Norway (37%) France (21%) Senegal (20%) Ivory Coast (18%) | ||||||||||
Norway (48%) Senegal (27%) France (24%) | ||||||||||
England (28%) Brazil (14%) France (10%) Norway (9%) | ||||||||||
Mexico (100%) | ||||||||||
Mexico (60%) Scotland (15%) Ecuador (8%) | ||||||||||
Scotland (39%) Ecuador (14%) Cape Verde (13%) Saudi Arabia (11%) | ||||||||||
England (47%) Mexico (23%) Ecuador (4%) | ||||||||||
England (92%) | ||||||||||
England (67%) Portugal (6%) | ||||||||||
Uzbekistan (25%) DR Congo (22%) Senegal (14%) Portugal (13%) | ||||||||||
Argentina (25%) England (15%) Colombia (9%) Brazil (7%) | ||||||||||
Argentina (83%) Austria (15%) | ||||||||||
Argentina (62%) Uruguay (16%) Spain (12%) | ||||||||||
Uruguay (53%) Spain (19%) Saudi Arabia (16%) | ||||||||||
Argentina (51%) Spain (10%) Uruguay (10%) | ||||||||||
Australia (57%) Paraguay (43%) | ||||||||||
Australia (31%) Paraguay (26%) Belgium (15%) Iran (14%) | ||||||||||
Iran (32%) Belgium (26%) Egypt (24%) New Zealand (18%) | ||||||||||
Argentina (38%) Colombia (15%) Spain (8%) Portugal (7%) | ||||||||||
Canada (62%) Switzerland (38%) | ||||||||||
Canada (34%) Switzerland (26%) Egypt (8%) Belgium (7%) | ||||||||||
Egypt (23%) Belgium (13%) New Zealand (13%) Algeria (12%) Iran (10%) | ||||||||||
Colombia (33%) Portugal (15%) Switzerland (11%) Canada (11%) | ||||||||||
Colombia (65%) Portugal (29%) | ||||||||||
Colombia (48%) Portugal (22%) Senegal (6%) | ||||||||||
Ghana (35%) Senegal (14%) Croatia (12%) Panama (11%) |
What is needed to qualify as 3rd team?
| Pts | GD | Probability | Last 32 | Chance |
| 3 | 3-4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 91% |
| 3 | 2-3 | 2.1% | 1.9% | 88% |
| 3 | 4-6 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 80% |
| 3 | 3-5 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 76% |
| 3 | 2-4 | 1.9% | 1.4% | 73% |
| 3 | 4-7 | 1.2% | < 1% | 63% |
| 3 | 3-6 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 59% |
| 3 | 2-5 | 2.0% | 1.1% | 54% |
| 3 | 1-4 | < 1% | < 1% | 51% |
| 3 | 3-7 | 1.1% | < 1% | 43% |
| 3 | 2-6 | 1.3% | < 1% | 40% |
| 3 | -5 | 2.3% | < 1% | 32% |
| 3 | -6 | 1.2% | < 1% | 27% |
| 2 | 3-4 | 1.8% | < 1% | 9% |
| 2 | -2 | 3.8% | < 1% | 3.3% |
| Group F | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Netherlands | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Japan | 3rd | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Sweden | 3rd | 80% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 70% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Tunisia | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group C | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 7% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% | 2% | < 1% | 10% | 4% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 82% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 2% | < 1% | 9% | 3% | |
| Brazil | 3rd | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Morocco | 3rd | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Scotland | 3rd | 82% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 7% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% | 2% | < 1% | 10% | 4% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 65% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 2% | < 1% | 9% | 3% | |
| Haiti | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group B | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Canada | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Switzerland | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3rd | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Qatar | 3rd | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group I | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 4% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 77% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Norway | 3rd | 27% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| France | 3rd | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Senegal | 3rd | 57% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 42% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Iraq | 3rd | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group D | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 4% | < 1% | 10% | 10% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 9% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 74% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 8% | |
| United States | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Australia | 3rd | 43% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 2% | < 1% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 9% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 34% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 8% | |
| Paraguay | 3rd | 57% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | < 1% | 7% | 8% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 40% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 4% | 5% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Turkey | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group H | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 9% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Uruguay | 3rd | 19% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Saudi Arabia | 3rd | 35% | 3% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Spain | 3rd | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Cape Verde | 3rd | 42% | 4% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 30% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group K | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 8% | 3% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 67% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Colombia | 3rd | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Portugal | 3rd | 20% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| DR Congo | 3rd | 36% | 4% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 22% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Uzbekistan | 3rd | 35% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 25% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group G | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 8% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 65% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Iran | 3rd | 25% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| New Zealand | 3rd | 26% | 3% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Belgium | 3rd | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Egypt | 3rd | 32% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 26% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group J | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | < 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | < 1% | 1% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 62% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | < 1% | 1% | |
| Argentina | 3rd | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Austria | 3rd | 21% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Jordan | 3rd | 35% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Algeria | 3rd | 43% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 24% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group L | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 2% | < 1% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 58% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | < 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | |
| England | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Ghana | 3rd | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | < 1% | 2% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 35% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Panama | 3rd | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Croatia | 3rd | 15% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group E | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 48% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| Germany | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Ivory Coast | 3rd | 10% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| Ecuador | 3rd | 77% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 34% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Curaçao | 3rd | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Group A | point | 2 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| GD | -2 | 3-4 | -6 | -5 | 2-6 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | ||
| 3rd | 100% | 13% | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 4% | |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 29% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | |
| Mexico | 3rd | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| South Korea | 3rd | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | 4% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3% | 3% | |
| Czechia | 3rd | 62% | < 1% | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| South Africa | 3rd | 24% | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 3rd & Last 32 | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |