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Inter took a well-needed win, while Man United were thrashed by Como and are risking to miss the knockout-stage (in 30% of simulations).
Important matches for EL and the Conference are listed below.
| Pos | Pts | Team | GD | Median Pts | 50% CI | Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | R16 | QF | Semi | Final | Champ |
| 1 | 9 | Real Madrid | +13 | 19 | 18-21 | >99.99% | 99.74% | 94% | 98.8% | 70% | 39% | 18% | 8% |
| 2 | 9 | Paris Saint-Germain | +15 | 18 | 16-20 | 99.98% | 98.8% | 86% | 96.9% | 65% | 33% | 15% | 6% |
| 3 | 7 | Arsenal | +15 | 18 | 17-20 | 99.99% | 99.25% | 87% | 98.5% | 79% | 55% | 35% | 20% |
| 4 | 9 | Liverpool | +7 | 18 | 16-19 | 99.93% | 97.7% | 79% | 94% | 58% | 27% | 11% | 4.3% |
| 5 | 6 | Barcelona | +10 | 17 | 15-19 | 99.83% | 97.0% | 74% | 96.3% | 73% | 48% | 29% | 16% |
| 6 | 5 | Bayern Munich | +13 | 16 | 14-18 | 99.48% | 94% | 64% | 95.2% | 74% | 51% | 33% | 20% |
| 7 | 9 | Aston Villa | +8 | 16 | 14-18 | 99.82% | 93% | 59% | 86% | 43% | 16% | 5% | 1.7% |
| 8 | 6 | Man City | +8 | 16 | 14-18 | 99.39% | 93% | 60% | 94% | 70% | 46% | 28% | 16% |
| 9 | 9 | Real Betis | 0 | 15 | 13-16 | 99.19% | 85% | 35% | 67% | 21% | 5.0% | 0.99% | 0.24% |
| 10 | 7 | VfB Stuttgart | +2 | 14 | 11-16 | 95.7% | 73% | 28% | 61% | 18% | 4.4% | 0.89% | 0.21% |
| 11 | 6 | Borussia Dortmund | +4 | 13 | 12-15 | 95.9% | 72% | 23% | 71% | 31% | 12% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| 12 | 4 | Atletico Madrid | +3 | 13 | 11-15 | 92% | 65% | 20% | 67% | 29% | 11% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| 13 | 3 | Inter Milan | +3 | 13 | 11-15 | 93% | 67% | 19% | 73% | 38% | 18% | 8% | 3.1% |
| 14 | 6 | Club Brugge | +3 | 12 | 10-14 | 88% | 56% | 15% | 48% | 13% | 2.9% | 0.54% | 0.12% |
| 15 | 6 | Sporting CP | +3 | 12 | 10-14 | 89% | 55% | 13% | 57% | 21% | 7% | 1.9% | 0.57% |
| 16 | 6 | Como | 0 | 12 | 10-13 | 87% | 49% | 10% | 43% | 11% | 2.4% | 0.45% | < 0.1% |
| 17 | 4 | Roma | +3 | 11 | 9-13 | 80% | 42% | 7% | 47% | 15% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.35% |
| 18 | 3 | Napoli | -3 | 11 | 9-13 | 76% | 33% | 3.2% | 38% | 10% | 2.7% | 0.60% | 0.15% |
| 19 | 3 | Villarreal | +1 | 10 | 8-12 | 71% | 31% | 4.0% | 31% | 7% | 1.5% | 0.27% | < 0.1% |
| 20 | 3 | Man United | +1 | 10 | 8-12 | 70% | 31% | 4.4% | 42% | 15% | 5% | 1.6% | 0.49% |
| 21 | 4 | PSV Eindhoven | 0 | 10 | 8-12 | 67% | 28% | 4.2% | 28% | 6% | 1.1% | 0.18% | < 0.1% |
| 22 | 3 | Galatasaray | -4 | 10 | 8-12 | 61% | 22% | 2.3% | 25% | 5% | 1.1% | 0.19% | < 0.1% |
| 23 | 3 | RB Leipzig | -5 | 10 | 8-12 | 61% | 23% | 2.2% | 28% | 7% | 1.7% | 0.33% | < 0.1% |
| 24 | 3 | Bodoe Glimt | -6 | 10 | 8-12 | 61% | 23% | 2.3% | 23% | 4.5% | 0.86% | 0.12% | < 0.1% |
| 25 | 4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | -2 | 9 | 7-11 | 51% | 15% | 1.2% | 11% | 1.1% | 0.11% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 26 | 3 | Lens | -6 | 9 | 7-11 | 47% | 14% | 1.1% | 20% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.21% | < 0.1% |
| 27 | 2 | Fenerbahce | -2 | 8 | 6-11 | 40% | 10% | 0.58% | 14% | 2.6% | 0.50% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 28 | 0 | Porto | -3 | 8 | 6-10 | 40% | 9% | 0.23% | 18% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.32% | < 0.1% |
| 29 | 3 | Feyenoord | -7 | 8 | 6-10 | 36% | 9% | 0.55% | 9% | 1.1% | 0.13% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 30 | 3 | LASK | -6 | 7 | 6-9 | 28% | 4.8% | 0.16% | 3.8% | 0.24% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 31 | 1 | Viking | -6 | 7 | 5-9 | 25% | 4.2% | 0.13% | 5% | 0.51% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 32 | 3 | AEK Athens | -10 | 7 | 5-9 | 20% | 3.3% | 0.14% | 4.1% | 0.45% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 33 | 0 | Lille | -8 | 6 | 4-7 | 13% | 1.7% | < 0.1% | 4.3% | 0.84% | 0.15% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 34 | 1 | Slavia Prague | -8 | 5 | 4-7 | 8% | 0.79% | < 0.1% | 2.4% | 0.43% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 35 | 3 | Sabah | -11 | 4 | 3-6 | 3.5% | 0.24% | < 0.1% | 0.22% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | ||
| 36 | 0 | Slovan Bratislava | -19 | 3 | 1-4 | 1.3% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
Expected Requirement
| Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | ||||
| Pts | GD | Pts | GD | Pts | GD | |
| 1% | 10 | 19-18 | 13 | 18-12 | 18 | 15-11 |
| 5% | 10 | 14-16 | 13 | 14-11 | 17 | 18-10 |
| 25% | 10 | 6-13 | 13 | 9-15 | 16 | 18-10 |
| 50% | 9 | 9-11 | 12 | 13-11 | 16 | 17-14 |
| 75% | 9 | 15-22 | 12 | 12-15 | 15 | 21-14 |
| 95% | 8 | 13-17 | 11 | 14-14 | 14 | 20-11 |
| 99% | 8 | 11-19 | 11 | 12-18 | 14 | 15-11 |
Europa League
| Pos | Pts | Team | GD | Median Pts | 50% CI | Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | R16 | QF | Semi | Final | Champ |
| 1 | 6 | Benfica | +12 | 20 | 18-22 | 99.99% | 99.59% | 94% | 98.9% | 74% | 48% | 28% | 16% |
| 2 | 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | +12 | 19 | 17-21 | 99.97% | 99.05% | 88% | 98.2% | 76% | 51% | 32% | 19% |
| 3 | 6 | Bournemouth | +11 | 19 | 17-21 | 99.96% | 99.11% | 88% | 98.1% | 74% | 49% | 29% | 16% |
| 4 | 6 | Juventus | +12 | 18 | 16-20 | 99.90% | 97.9% | 81% | 96.4% | 69% | 42% | 23% | 12% |
| 5 | 6 | Lyon | +5 | 16 | 14-18 | 99.37% | 92% | 58% | 89% | 53% | 27% | 12% | 6% |
| 6 | 6 | Sunderland | +4 | 16 | 14-18 | 99.18% | 91% | 53% | 82% | 38% | 14% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| 7 | 6 | Olympiakos | +3 | 16 | 14-18 | 99.10% | 90% | 51% | 80% | 35% | 11% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| 8 | 3 | Crystal Palace | +7 | 15 | 13-17 | 97.9% | 86% | 46% | 86% | 55% | 30% | 16% | 8% |
| 9 | 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise | +6 | 15 | 13-17 | 98.3% | 87% | 45% | 85% | 52% | 27% | 13% | 6% |
| 10 | 3 | Milan | +5 | 15 | 13-16 | 98.7% | 87% | 42% | 86% | 54% | 29% | 15% | 7% |
| 11 | 4 | Rennes | +4 | 14 | 12-16 | 96.1% | 77% | 33% | 74% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 1.9% |
| 12 | 6 | Ferencvaros | +3 | 14 | 12-16 | 97.6% | 79% | 29% | 61% | 18% | 4.2% | 0.88% | 0.23% |
| 13 | 6 | Besiktas | +3 | 13 | 11-15 | 95.0% | 70% | 24% | 61% | 21% | 6% | 1.6% | 0.49% |
| 14 | 6 | Omonia | +1 | 12 | 10-14 | 90% | 55% | 14% | 44% | 10% | 2.1% | 0.37% | < 0.1% |
| 15 | 3 | AZ | -3 | 12 | 10-13 | 84% | 49% | 10% | 46% | 14% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.30% |
| 16 | 1 | Real Sociedad | +3 | 11 | 9-13 | 85% | 47% | 8% | 58% | 25% | 11% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| 17 | 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 0 | 11 | 9-13 | 82% | 44% | 9% | 41% | 11% | 2.9% | 0.64% | 0.17% |
| 18 | 3 | Red Bull Salzburg | -2 | 11 | 9-13 | 80% | 41% | 7% | 37% | 9% | 2.1% | 0.43% | 0.11% |
| 19 | 4 | Sparta Prague | -2 | 10 | 8-12 | 69% | 29% | 4.5% | 30% | 7% | 1.6% | 0.31% | < 0.1% |
| 20 | 0 | Marseille | -2 | 10 | 8-12 | 69% | 30% | 3.4% | 44% | 18% | 8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| 21 | 0 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 9 | 7-11 | 61% | 23% | 2.5% | 37% | 14% | 6% | 2.1% | 0.78% |
| 22 | 1 | Sturm Graz | -4 | 9 | 7-11 | 54% | 17% | 1.5% | 19% | 3.7% | 0.71% | 0.11% | < 0.1% |
| 23 | 3 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | -5 | 9 | 7-11 | 54% | 17% | 1.9% | 17% | 2.8% | 0.44% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 24 | 0 | TSG Hoffenheim | -6 | 9 | 6-11 | 52% | 17% | 1.8% | 29% | 10% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.40% |
| 25 | 0 | Lech Poznan | -13 | 9 | 7-10 | 46% | 12% | 0.77% | 19% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.29% | < 0.1% |
| 26 | 0 | Anderlecht | -1 | 8 | 6-10 | 49% | 16% | 1.3% | 20% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.24% | < 0.1% |
| 27 | 0 | Celtic | -6 | 8 | 6-10 | 42% | 12% | 0.81% | 18% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.26% | < 0.1% |
| 28 | 1 | NEC | -9 | 8 | 6-10 | 37% | 10% | 0.75% | 10% | 1.4% | 0.19% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 29 | 1 | Levski Sofia | -5 | 7 | 5-9 | 29% | 5% | 0.25% | 7% | 0.91% | 0.11% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 30 | 3 | Torreense | -7 | 7 | 6-9 | 27% | 4.6% | 0.21% | 2.8% | 0.14% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 31 | 0 | Viktoria Plzen | -7 | 7 | 5-9 | 28% | 5% | 0.20% | 9% | 1.7% | 0.32% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 32 | 1 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | -8 | 7 | 5-8 | 25% | 4.3% | 0.20% | 8% | 1.5% | 0.27% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 33 | 3 | OFI | -6 | 6 | 4-8 | 20% | 2.9% | 0.11% | 2.4% | 0.15% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0 | Celje | -11 | 6 | 4-8 | 17% | 3.0% | 0.12% | 2.7% | 0.21% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 35 | 1 | Lillestrom | -13 | 5 | 3-6 | 8% | 0.79% | < 0.1% | 1.2% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0 | Ararat-Armenia | -7 | 4 | 3-7 | 9% | 0.92% | < 0.1% | 0.73% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
Expected Requirement
| Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | ||||
| Pts | GD | Pts | GD | Pts | GD | |
| 1% | 10 | 12-13 | 13 | 14-8 | 18 | 13-6 |
| 5% | 10 | 11-15 | 13 | 12-10 | 17 | 14-5 |
| 25% | 9 | 12-14 | 12 | 16-12 | 16 | 18-10 |
| 50% | 9 | 9-15 | 12 | 11-11 | 16 | 12-8 |
| 75% | 8 | 7-9 | 11 | 14-11 | 15 | 11-4 |
| 95% | 8 | 8-16 | 11 | 9-11 | 14 | 15-8 |
| 99% | 7 | 7-11 | 10 | 10-9 | 14 | 10-7 |
| Important for Top-8 | |||
| Besiktas vs Crystal Palace (16.4%) | Home Win (28%) | Draw (26%) | Away Win (46%) |
| Crystal Palace | 24% | 37% | 64% |
| Besiktas | 45% | 22% | 12% |
| Bournemouth vs Milan (14%) | Home Win (52%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (24%) |
| Milan | 29% | 43% | 70% |
| Bournemouth | 96.0% | 86% | 75% |
| Juventus vs Rennes (12.7%) | Home Win (59%) | Draw (22%) | Away Win (19%) |
| Rennes | 23% | 36% | 60% |
| Juventus | 90% | 74% | 61% |
| Olympiakos vs Sparta Prague (10.8%) | Home Win (55%) | Draw (25%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Olympiakos | 65% | 40% | 27% |
| Sparta Prague | 1.7% | 3.9% | 13% |
| TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon (10.5%) | Home Win (37%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (40%) |
| Lyon | 40% | 53% | 77% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.20% |
| Lech Poznan vs Sunderland (10%) | Home Win (36%) | Draw (27%) | Away Win (37%) |
| Sunderland | 35% | 49% | 74% |
| Lech Poznan | 1.9% | 0.24% | < 0.1% |
| Omonia vs Benfica (8.5%) | Home Win (19%) | Draw (22%) | Away Win (60%) |
| Omonia | 32% | 14% | 7% |
| Benfica | 83% | 91% | 97.7% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva (6.2%) | Home Win (71%) | Draw (18%) | Away Win (10%) |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 53% | 28% | 18% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | < 0.1% | 0.18% | 1.3% |
| Important for Knockout Stage | |||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht (18.9%) | Home Win (37%) | Draw (26%) | Away Win (37%) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 76% | 49% | 34% |
| Anderlecht | 31% | 45% | 70% |
| Celtic vs Celta Vigo (18%) | Home Win (35%) | Draw (25%) | Away Win (40%) |
| Celta Vigo | 42% | 57% | 80% |
| Celtic | 64% | 37% | 25% |
| Sturm Graz vs Marseille (17.2%) | Home Win (28%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (48%) |
| Sturm Graz | 80% | 55% | 39% |
| Marseille | 49% | 63% | 84% |
| Viktoria Plzen vs Levski Sofia (16.2%) | Home Win (52%) | Draw (26%) | Away Win (22%) |
| Levski Sofia | 17% | 31% | 57% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 42% | 17% | 10% |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC (15.7%) | Home Win (60%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 92% | 74% | 59% |
| NEC | 27% | 40% | 66% |
| Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg (15%) | Home Win (27%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (50%) |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 61% | 74% | 93% |
| Celje | 36% | 15% | 9% |
| Ararat-Armenia vs AZ (11%) | Home Win (16%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (64%) |
| AZ | 63% | 76% | 92% |
| Ararat-Armenia | 26% | 9% | 4.4% |
| Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad (10.9%) | Home Win (15%) | Draw (19%) | Away Win (66%) |
| Real Sociedad | 62% | 77% | 93% |
| Lillestrom | 25% | 9% | 3.9% |
| Lech Poznan vs Sunderland (10.7%) | Home Win (36%) | Draw (27%) | Away Win (37%) |
| Lech Poznan | 69% | 40% | 28% |
| Sunderland | 98.2% | 99.4% | 99.97% |
| TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon (9.6%) | Home Win (37%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (40%) |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 73% | 48% | 35% |
| Lyon | 98.6% | 99.5% | 99.98% |
| Ferencvaros vs Torreense (8.9%) | Home Win (73%) | Draw (17%) | Away Win (10%) |
| Torreense | 21% | 34% | 65% |
| Ferencvaros | 99.56% | 95% | 88% |
| Olympiakos vs Sparta Prague (7.2%) | Home Win (55%) | Draw (25%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Sparta Prague | 59% | 73% | 91% |
| Olympiakos | 99.94% | 98.9% | 97.0% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva (6.9%) | Home Win (71%) | Draw (18%) | Away Win (10%) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 19% | 32% | 58% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 99.50% | 96.8% | 93% |
Conference League
| Pos | Pts | Team | GD | Median Pts | 50% CI | Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | R16 | QF | Semi | Final | Champ |
| 1 | 3 | Atalanta | +10 | 17 | 15-19 | 99.97% | 99.46% | 95.2% | 99.30% | 79% | 55% | 34% | 17% |
| 2 | 3 | Brighton | +13 | 14 | 13-16 | 99.82% | 97.3% | 83% | 98.6% | 87% | 73% | 58% | 40% |
| 3 | 3 | Copenhagen | +7 | 13 | 11-15 | 99.38% | 93% | 67% | 89% | 51% | 22% | 8% | 2.5% |
| 4 | 3 | Monaco | +5 | 13 | 11-15 | 99.34% | 92% | 64% | 94% | 71% | 46% | 27% | 13% |
| 5 | 3 | Twente | +5 | 13 | 11-15 | 99.48% | 93% | 64% | 87% | 44% | 16% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| 6 | 1 | Midtjylland | +4 | 13 | 11-14 | 98.8% | 90% | 60% | 88% | 53% | 25% | 10% | 3.5% |
| 7 | 3 | SC Freiburg | +4 | 13 | 11-15 | 98.9% | 90% | 60% | 92% | 67% | 43% | 24% | 11% |
| 8 | 3 | Trabzonspor | +5 | 11 | 9-13 | 96.0% | 78% | 40% | 75% | 35% | 13% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| 9 | 3 | Mjaellby AIF | +3 | 11 | 9-13 | 96.6% | 77% | 34% | 56% | 12% | 1.8% | 0.21% | < 0.1% |
| 10 | 0 | Braga | +7 | 10 | 9-12 | 94% | 71% | 30% | 77% | 45% | 22% | 9% | 3.5% |
| 11 | 3 | Lugano | +5 | 10 | 9-12 | 94% | 69% | 29% | 66% | 27% | 9% | 2.3% | 0.58% |
| 12 | 1 | Getafe | +3 | 10 | 8-11 | 94% | 65% | 21% | 71% | 35% | 15% | 6% | 1.9% |
| 13 | 3 | Gent | +2 | 10 | 8-12 | 90% | 61% | 24% | 60% | 23% | 7% | 1.7% | 0.41% |
| 14 | 3 | Panathinaikos | -2 | 10 | 8-11 | 89% | 54% | 16% | 58% | 23% | 8% | 2.2% | 0.60% |
| 15 | 3 | Brann | -3 | 10 | 7-12 | 86% | 53% | 18% | 48% | 15% | 3.4% | 0.64% | 0.12% |
| 16 | 0 | Red Star Belgrade | +7 | 9 | 7-11 | 89% | 57% | 19% | 61% | 26% | 10% | 2.9% | 0.82% |
| 17 | 1 | Nordsjaelland | +1 | 9 | 7-11 | 84% | 48% | 13% | 53% | 20% | 7% | 1.8% | 0.46% |
| 18 | 3 | Hajduk Split | -1 | 9 | 7-11 | 81% | 44% | 12% | 41% | 11% | 2.5% | 0.45% | < 0.1% |
| 19 | 1 | Universitatea Craiova | +2 | 8 | 7-10 | 80% | 41% | 9% | 39% | 10% | 2.4% | 0.42% | < 0.1% |
| 20 | 0 | AGF | +2 | 8 | 6-10 | 76% | 38% | 9% | 40% | 12% | 3.1% | 0.61% | 0.13% |
| 21 | 1 | Riga | 0 | 8 | 6-10 | 73% | 33% | 6% | 24% | 3.8% | 0.49% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 22 | 1 | Hearts | -3 | 8 | 6-10 | 70% | 29% | 5% | 28% | 6% | 1.1% | 0.15% | < 0.1% |
| 23 | 3 | Sint-Truiden | +4 | 7 | 6-10 | 73% | 32% | 6% | 38% | 12% | 3.3% | 0.71% | 0.16% |
| 24 | 0 | Ajax | 0 | 7 | 5-9 | 64% | 27% | 6% | 42% | 19% | 8% | 2.7% | 0.86% |
| 25 | 0 | Thun | -2 | 7 | 5-9 | 58% | 23% | 4.1% | 25% | 6% | 1.4% | 0.23% | < 0.1% |
| 26 | 0 | Jablonec | -4 | 6 | 4-7 | 43% | 11% | 1.3% | 15% | 3.0% | 0.54% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 27 | 1 | Egnatia | -4 | 6 | 4-8 | 42% | 9% | 0.75% | 6% | 0.50% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 28 | 0 | Borac Banja Luka | -2 | 5 | 4-7 | 36% | 9% | 0.90% | 9% | 1.2% | 0.13% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 29 | 1 | Kairat | -8 | 5 | 3-6 | 23% | 4.3% | 0.33% | 4.4% | 0.44% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 30 | 0 | CSKA Sofia | -3 | 4 | 3-6 | 25% | 5% | 0.46% | 7% | 1.0% | 0.13% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 31 | 0 | KuPS | -4 | 4 | 3-6 | 22% | 4.1% | 0.30% | 5% | 0.70% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
| 32 | 0 | Kauno Zalgiris | -6 | 3 | 2-5 | 11% | 1.6% | < 0.1% | 1.3% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0 | Iberia 1999 | -13 | 3 | 1-4 | 6% | 0.63% | < 0.1% | 0.58% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | ||
| 34 | 0 | Lincoln Red Imps | -6 | 2 | 1-4 | 4.6% | 0.43% | < 0.1% | 0.36% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | ||
| 35 | 0 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | -20 | 2 | 1-3 | 2.8% | 0.24% | < 0.1% | 0.19% | < 0.1% | |||
| 36 | 0 | Pafos | -14 | 1 | 0-3 | 0.95% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% | < 0.1% |
Expected Requirement
| Top 24 | Top 16 | Top 8 | ||||
| Pts | GD | Pts | GD | Pts | GD | |
| 1% | 8 | 6-7 | 10 | 14-7 | 13 | 17-4 |
| 5% | 7 | 10-9 | 10 | 11-8 | 13 | 15-8 |
| 25% | 7 | 6-8 | 10 | 9-9 | 13 | 8-4 |
| 50% | 7 | 11-17 | 9 | 15-12 | 12 | 10-3 |
| 75% | 6 | 8-10 | 9 | 6-5 | 12 | 10-7 |
| 95% | 6 | 8-17 | 8 | 9-7 | 11 | 12-8 |
| 99% | 5 | 5-8 | 8 | 6-6 | 11 | 10-9 |
| Important for Top-8 | |||
| Monaco vs SC Freiburg (23.2%) | Home Win (49%) | Draw (22%) | Away Win (29%) |
| Monaco | 83% | 56% | 37% |
| SC Freiburg | 45% | 62% | 85% |
| Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen (19.6%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (33%) |
| Red Star Belgrade | 35% | 11% | 4.7% |
| Copenhagen | 50% | 66% | 88% |
| Midtjylland vs Sint-Truiden (18%) | Home Win (62%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (18%) |
| Midtjylland | 75% | 43% | 27% |
| Sint-Truiden | 2.0% | 6% | 23% |
| Getafe vs Lugano (17.2%) | Home Win (52%) | Draw (28%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Getafe | 34% | 10% | 3.8% |
| Lugano | 17% | 31% | 58% |
| Braga vs Gent (17%) | Home Win (60%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (17%) |
| Braga | 43% | 15% | 6% |
| Gent | 15% | 27% | 53% |
| Trabzonspor vs Hearts (12.9%) | Home Win (63%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (16%) |
| Trabzonspor | 52% | 25% | 14% |
| Hearts | 1.8% | 5.0% | 20% |
| Iberia 1999 vs Mjaellby AIF (12.4%) | Home Win (24%) | Draw (26%) | Away Win (50%) |
| Mjaellby AIF | 10% | 21% | 52% |
| Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente (10.4%) | Home Win (10%) | Draw (17%) | Away Win (73%) |
| Twente | 27% | 41% | 74% |
| Thun vs Hajduk Split (9%) | Home Win (46%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (31%) |
| Hajduk Split | 4.2% | 9% | 27% |
| Thun | 8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jablonec vs Brighton (7.4%) | Home Win (9%) | Draw (15%) | Away Win (76%) |
| Brighton | 54% | 68% | 89% |
| Jablonec | 9% | 1.5% | 0.48% |
| Ajax vs Atalanta (6.6%) | Home Win (29%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (47%) |
| Ajax | 14% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Atalanta | 90% | 95% | 98.9% |
| Kairat vs Panathinaikos (6%) | Home Win (18%) | Draw (25%) | Away Win (57%) |
| Panathinaikos | 3.6% | 8% | 24% |
| Kairat | 1.5% | 0.18% | < 0.1% |
| Kauno Zalgiris vs Brann (5.6%) | Home Win (20%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (58%) |
| Brann | 4.8% | 9% | 26% |
| Important for Knockout Stage | |||
| Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS (19.4%) | Home Win (44%) | Draw (30%) | Away Win (27%) |
| Borac Banja Luka | 55% | 27% | 15% |
| KuPS | 10% | 20% | 46% |
| Thun vs Hajduk Split (18.5%) | Home Win (46%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (31%) |
| Thun | 77% | 50% | 35% |
| Hajduk Split | 69% | 85% | 97.1% |
| Kairat vs Panathinaikos (17.7%) | Home Win (18%) | Draw (25%) | Away Win (57%) |
| Kairat | 56% | 23% | 13% |
| Panathinaikos | 68% | 84% | 97.1% |
| AGF vs Egnatia (15.9%) | Home Win (71%) | Draw (18%) | Away Win (11%) |
| AGF | 85% | 60% | 43% |
| Egnatia | 33% | 51% | 82% |
| Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia (15.1%) | Home Win (66%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (14%) |
| Nordsjaelland | 93% | 73% | 58% |
| CSKA Sofia | 17% | 30% | 58% |
| Kauno Zalgiris vs Brann (14.5%) | Home Win (20%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (58%) |
| Brann | 66% | 80% | 95.2% |
| Kauno Zalgiris | 31% | 11% | 4.7% |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova (12.5%) | Home Win (15%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (64%) |
| Universitatea Craiova | 53% | 67% | 91% |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes | 11% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Pafos vs Riga (10.1%) | Home Win (11%) | Draw (18%) | Away Win (71%) |
| Riga | 41% | 55% | 83% |
| Pafos | 5% | 0.9% | 0.24% |
| Trabzonspor vs Hearts (9.8%) | Home Win (63%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (16%) |
| Hearts | 62% | 76% | 94% |
| Trabzonspor | 99.2% | 94% | 87% |
| Ajax vs Atalanta (8.6%) | Home Win (29%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (47%) |
| Ajax | 86% | 65% | 50% |
| Midtjylland vs Sint-Truiden (8.3%) | Home Win (62%) | Draw (20%) | Away Win (18%) |
| Sint-Truiden | 65% | 80% | 95.4% |
| Midtjylland | 99.83% | 98.2% | 95.9% |
| Getafe vs Lugano (7%) | Home Win (52%) | Draw (28%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Getafe | 98.9% | 91% | 83% |
| Lugano | 91% | 96.4% | 99.5% |
| Iberia 1999 vs Mjaellby AIF (7%) | Home Win (24%) | Draw (26%) | Away Win (50%) |
| Iberia 1999 | 15% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Mjaellby AIF | 90% | 96.7% | 99.63% |
| Braga vs Gent (6.7%) | Home Win (60%) | Draw (23%) | Away Win (17%) |
| Braga | 98.1% | 91% | 83% |
| Gent | 86% | 94% | 98.9% |
| Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen (6.3%) | Home Win (42%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (33%) |
| Red Star Belgrade | 97.6% | 88% | 78% |
| Copenhagen | 98.8% | 99.6% | 99.98% |
| Jablonec vs Brighton (6%) | Home Win (9%) | Draw (15%) | Away Win (76%) |
| Jablonec | 80% | 54% | 36% |
| Brighton | 98.7% | 99.6% | 99.98% |
