Do or die for Czechia, South Africa, Qatar, and Bosnia and Herzegovina

The tables below show the chances given combination of results. South Korea need a point to be certain, while both Czechia and South Africa need to win to have a reasonable chance to go through. 

In Group B, Qatar play a do or die against Bosnia and Herzegovina. The winner is most likely through, while a draw likely means they both go home.

In Group C, Scotland need a point against Brazil to secure advancement, but have a reasonable chance also with a loss as long as they keep down the scoring.

 

Group A				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
Mexico	2	+3	6	8.11				100%	100%
South Korea	2	0	3	5.1	2.8%	14%	83%		94%
Czechia	2	-1	1	1.7	36%	62%	2.4%		18%
South Africa	2	-2	1	1.71	61%	24%	15%		17%

South Korea

South Africa - South Korea
+4	2-0	3-1	1-0	2-1	3-2	Draw	Away
27%	57%	60%	72%	74%	77%	100%	100%	Mex - Cze
32%	68%	72%	86%	89%	92%	100%	100%	96.6%	Home
33%	69%	72%	86%	90%	91%	100%	100%	96.6%	Draw
						100%	100%	83%	Away

Czechia

Mexico - Czechia
Home	0-0	1-1	2-2	3-3	Away
	2.6%	4.8%	7%	8%	100%	Sou - Sou
					100%	17%	Home
	3%	6%	8%	9%	100%	18%	Draw
	3%	6%	9%	10%	100%	18%	Away

South Africa

South Africa - South Korea
Home	Draw	Away
>99.99%	0.3%		Mex - Cze
100%	0.5%		17%	Home
100%			17%	Draw
>99.99%			17%	Away

Group B				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
Canada	2	+6	4	5.36		0.11%	38%	62%	100%
Switzerland	2	+3	4	5.4		< 0.1%	62%	38%	>99.99%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	2	-3	1	2.92	21%	78%	0.11%		57%
Qatar	2	-6	1	1.86	79%	21%	< 0.1%		21%

Switzerland

Canada - Switzerland
Home	Draw	Away
>99.99%	100%	100%	Bos - Qat
100%	100%	100%	100%	Home
100%	100%	100%	100%	Draw
>99.99%	100%	100%	>99.99%	Away

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina - Qatar
Home	Draw	Away
>99.99%	0.3%		Can - Swi
99.99%	0.3%		57%	Home
>99.99%	0.3%		57%	Draw
>99.99%	0.3%		57%	Away

Qatar

Bosnia and Herzegovina - Qatar
Home	Draw	Away
		99.80%	Can - Swi
		99.8%	21%	Home
		99.8%	21%	Draw
		99.8%	21%	Away

Group C				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
Brazil	2	+3	4	6.07		15%	22%	62%	>99.99%
Morocco	2	+1	4	6.25		2.3%	65%	32%	>99.99%
Scotland	2	0	3	3.73		82%	12%	5%	84%
Haiti	2	-4	0	0.57	100%

Brazil

Brazil - Scotland
Home	Draw	Away
100%	100%	>99.99%	Mor - Hai
100%	100%	100%	100%	Home
100%	100%	>99.99%	>99.99%	Draw
100%	100%	100%	100%	Away

Morocco

Morocco - Haiti
Home	Draw	Away
100%	100%	>99.99%	Bra - Sco
100%	100%	100%	100%	Home
100%	100%	100%	100%	Draw
100%	100%	>99.99%	>99.99%	Away

Scotland

Brazil - Scotland
+4	3-0	4-1	+2	1-0	2-1	3-2	Draw	Away
50%	61%	63%	77%	89%	90%	92%	100%	100%	Mor - Hai
50%	61%	63%	77%	89%	90%	92%	100%	100%	84%	Home
49%	61%	64%	77%	88%	90%	92%	100%	100%	84%	Draw
49%	61%	63%	78%	89%	89%	92%	100%	100%	84%	Away

 

Predictions after match day 2

Five teams already knocked out after two matches. 18 teams practically (>99.9%) secured a place in the last 32. The projected quarter finals are currently

France - Netherlands

Spain - United States

Norway - England

Argentina - Colombia 

Team	Round of 32	Round of 16	Quarterfinals	Semifinals	Final	Champion
Spain	100%	83%	61%	51%	37%	25%
Argentina	100%	89%	73%	52%	36%	21%
France	100%	84%	60%	42%	24%	14%
England	>99.99%	70%	44%	27%	14%	7%
Portugal	100%	69%	38%	20%	11%	4.8%
Colombia	100%	74%	45%	21%	11%	4.8%
Brazil	>99.99%	60%	36%	20%	9%	4.0%
Netherlands	100%	60%	37%	18%	8%	3.3%
Norway	100%	74%	37%	18%	7%	2.4%
Germany	100%	63%	26%	14%	6%	2.2%
Croatia	98.8%	49%	23%	12%	5%	2.0%
Japan	100%	48%	26%	12%	4.3%	1.5%
Switzerland	>99.99%	68%	31%	12%	4.4%	1.5%
United States	100%	73%	39%	10%	3.3%	0.91%
Mexico	100%	55%	22%	9%	2.8%	0.86%
Belgium	86%	50%	18%	6%	2.6%	0.81%
Ecuador	39%	23%	13%	5%	2.2%	0.87%
Senegal	63%	30%	16%	6%	2.1%	0.70%
Morocco	>99.99%	38%	17%	6%	1.7%	0.46%
Uruguay	34%	19%	9%	4.0%	1.6%	0.56%
Canada	100%	56%	21%	5%	1.5%	0.37%
Paraguay	86%	40%	11%	4.5%	1.5%	0.43%
Austria	95.3%	27%	11%	3.9%	1.4%	0.38%
South Korea	94%	38%	13%	3.2%	0.74%	0.16%
Australia	91%	39%	8%	3.0%	0.86%	0.21%
Scotland	84%	30%	9%	2.9%	0.67%	0.15%
Iran	71%	32%	11%	2.4%	0.67%	0.14%
Algeria	78%	25%	9%	1.9%	0.49%	0.10%
Sweden	92%	19%	6%	1.7%	0.34%	< 0.1%
Egypt	>99.99%	36%	11%	1.7%	0.38%	< 0.1%
Ivory Coast	92%	20%	4.9%	1.1%	0.16%	< 0.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	57%	14%	4.0%	0.39%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Czechia	18%	8%	3.3%	0.57%	0.14%	< 0.1%
DR Congo	32%	6%	1.5%	0.31%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Ghana	99.94%	9%	1.5%	0.13%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Uzbekistan	14%	3.2%	1.2%	0.31%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Cape Verde	61%	4.9%	1.0%	0.13%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Saudi Arabia	40%	3.3%	0.78%	0.12%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
New Zealand	14%	3.3%	0.38%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
South Africa	17%	3.1%	0.46%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Qatar	21%	2.5%	0.37%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Curaçao	16%	1.4%	0.15%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
Iraq	6%	1.3%	0.36%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%

Last 32		Last 16		Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Germany (100%)
		Germany (63%) Paraguay (15%)
Paraguay (39%) Australia (32%) Scotland (18%)
				France (47%) Germany (26%) Norway (8%)
France (79%) Norway (21%)
		France (65%) Norway (14%)
Sweden (67%) Japan (18%)
						France (34%) Germany (14%) Netherlands (12%) Switzerland (8%)
South Korea (83%) South Africa (15%)
		Switzerland (43%) South Korea (32%) Canada (22%)
Switzerland (62%) Canada (38%)
				Netherlands (25%) Switzerland (20%) Morocco (12%) Japan (11%)
Netherlands (61%) Japan (34%)
		Netherlands (38%) Morocco (24%) Japan (19%) Brazil (13%)
Morocco (65%) Brazil (22%)
								Spain (34%) France (19%) Germany (6%) Portugal (5%)
Portugal (61%) Colombia (39%)
		Portugal (36%) Croatia (24%) Colombia (23%) England (16%)
Croatia (56%) England (29%) Ghana (16%)
				Spain (53%) Portugal (14%) Colombia (9%)
Spain (86%)
		Spain (74%) Austria (14%)
Austria (71%) Algeria (29%)
						Spain (47%) Portugal (10%) United States (10%)
United States (100%)
		United States (73%) Bosnia and Herzegovina (14%)
Bosnia and Herzegovina (57%) Qatar (21%) Senegal (6%)
				United States (39%) Belgium (8%) Senegal (8%) Egypt (7%)
Egypt (48%) Iran (30%) Belgium (23%)
		Egypt (19%) Iran (14%) Belgium (14%) Algeria (9%) Senegal (9%)
Algeria (20%) Czechia (15%) Senegal (13%) South Korea (11%) Austria (10%)
										Spain (25%) Argentina (21%) France (14%) England (7%)
Brazil (62%) Morocco (32%)
		Brazil (37%) Japan (22%) Netherlands (21%) Morocco (13%)
Japan (47%) Netherlands (39%) Sweden (15%)
				Norway (29%) Brazil (22%) France (13%) Netherlands (12%)
Ivory Coast (84%)
		Norway (60%) France (19%) Ivory Coast (18%)
Norway (79%) France (21%)
						England (22%) Brazil (15%) Norway (14%) Mexico (9%) France (9%)
Mexico (100%)
		Mexico (55%) Scotland (19%) Ecuador (9%)
Scotland (48%) Ecuador (16%) Brazil (10%)
				England (37%) Mexico (22%) Croatia (10%) Senegal (8%)
England (71%) Croatia (25%)
		England (54%) Croatia (17%) Senegal (14%)
Senegal (37%) DR Congo (32%) Uzbekistan (14%)
								Argentina (36%) England (11%) Colombia (8%) Brazil (7%)
Argentina (100%)
		Argentina (89%)
Cape Verde (51%) Saudi Arabia (34%)
				Argentina (73%) Belgium (8%)
Australia (57%) Paraguay (43%)
		Belgium (30%) Australia (28%) Paraguay (24%) Iran (9%)
Belgium (52%) Egypt (21%) Iran (20%)
						Argentina (52%) Colombia (15%) Portugal (10%)
Canada (62%) Switzerland (38%)
		Canada (33%) Switzerland (25%) Egypt (10%) Iran (8%)
Egypt (28%) Algeria (21%) Iran (20%) Austria (10%)
				Colombia (36%) Portugal (23%) Switzerland (11%) Canada (11%)
Colombia (61%) Portugal (39%)
		Colombia (52%) Portugal (33%) Croatia (8%)
Ghana (80%) Croatia (18%)

What is needed to qualify as 3rd team?

Pts	GD	Probability	Last 32	Chance
4	-	36%	36%	99.95%
3	-1	10%	9%	93%
3	-2	8%	6%	81%
3	3-6	1.9%	1.2%	65%
3	2-5	1.9%	1.2%	61%
3	3-7	1.0%	0.53%	51%
3	2-6	1.3%	0.63%	49%
3	3-8	1.3%	0.42%	33%
3	2-7	0.91%	0.33%	36%
3	-6	2.3%	0.53%	23%
2	3-4	2.9%	0.25%	9%
1	-	7%

Important match for Portugal against Uzbekistan

Important match for Portugal against Uzbekistan, when the roughly double their chances to win the tournament if they win compared to if they don't. Uzbekistan are out if they lose and DR Congo win.

In Group L, Croatia and Panama play a do or die. Croatia are out if they lose and Ghana take a point against England. Panama are out if they lose and England take a point against Ghana.  

 

Group I				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
France	2	+5	6	7.93			21%	79%	100%
Norway	2	+4	6	6.86			79%	21%	100%
Senegal	2	-3	0	2.21	14%	86%			64%
Iraq	2	-6	0	0.61	86%	14%			6%

Group J				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
Argentina	2	+5	6	8.54				100%	100%
Austria	2	0	3	4.65		29%	71%		96.3%
Algeria	2	-2	3	4.11		71%	29%		79%
Jordan	2	-3	0	0.33	100%

Group K				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
Colombia	1	+2	3	6.68	0.85%	8%	26%	65%	98.8%
Portugal	1	0	1	4.58	8%	20%	43%	29%	85%
DR Congo	1	0	1	2.65	43%	36%	17%	4.2%	43%
Uzbekistan	1	-2	0	2.26	49%	35%	15%	1.3%	42%

Colombia

DR Congo - Colombia
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	Away
81%	85%	89%	91%	100%	100%	Por - Uzb
87%	90%	95%	98.0%	100%	100%	99.63%	Home
75%	79%	79%	81%	100%	100%	97.8%	Draw
62%	70%	71%	72%	100%	100%	96.7%	Away

Portugal

Portugal - Uzbekistan
Home	Draw	Away
>99.99%	66%	40%	DR  - Col
>99.99%	53%	39%	82%	Home
>99.99%	65%	40%	84%	Draw
100%	69%	40%	85%	Away

DR Congo

DR Congo - Colombia
Home	Draw	Away
>99.99%	53%	32%	Por - Uzb
100%	54%	31%	43%	Home
100%	56%	39%	49%	0-0
99.9%	54%	33%	44%	1-1
100%	55%	31%	43%	2-2
100%	54%	30%	42%	3-3
>99.99%	47%	31%	41%	Away

Uzbekistan

Portugal - Uzbekistan
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
21%	27%	33%	37%	48%	84%	86%	87%	88%	DR  - Col
				46%	84%	86%	87%	90%	21%	Home
25%	31%	38%	42%	46%	83%	86%	88%	87%	45%	Draw
24%	30%	37%	42%	49%	84%	86%	87%	88%	45%	Away

Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
2.98; Portugal have 4.6% if they win against Uzbekistan; otherwise 2.1%
2.32; Portugal have 4.1% if they draw (or win) against Uzbekistan; otherwise 1.4%

Group L				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GD	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
England	1	+2	3	7.92	0.45%	0.78%	7%	92%	99.54%
Ghana	1	+1	3	3.56	14%	69%	14%	2.8%	55%
Panama	1	-1	0	1.38	77%	15%	6%	2.4%	20%
Croatia	1	-2	0	4.54	9%	15%	73%	2.8%	88%

England

England - Ghana
Home	Draw	Away
100%	99.97%	90%	Cro - Pan
100%	100%	87%	99.43%	Home
100%	99.8%	89%	99.5%	Draw
100%	100%	99.3%	99.97%	Away

Ghana

England - Ghana
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	Away
41%	46%	54%	63%	98.3%	100%	Cro - Pan
46%	52%	62%	73%	99.95%	100%	62%	Home
43%	48%	56%	66%	92%	100%	57%	Draw
23%	25%	28%	33%	100%	100%	37%	0-1
20%	22%	23%	25%	99.9%	100%	33%	1-2
20%	20%	20%	22%	100%	100%	31%	2-3
25%	27%	30%	31%	100%	100%	38%	-2
25%	27%	30%	31%	100%	100%	37%	-3
33%	34%	41%	41%	100%	100%	44%	-4

Panama

Croatia - Panama
Home	Draw	0-1	1-2	2-3	-2	-3	-4
0.47%	14%	73%	79%	83%	94%	98%	99%	Eng - Gha
	14%	72%	79%	83%	94%	98.7%	99%	19%	Home
	14%	78%	82%	83%	90%	96%	99%	20%	Draw
11%	14%	78%	82%	82%	90%	96%	98%	26%	Away

Croatia

Croatia - Panama
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
99.95%	99.9%	99.5%	98.5%	81%	68%	54%	48%	34%	Eng - Gha
99.9%	99.9%	99.5%	98.5%	81%	79%	62%	56%	39%	90%	Home
99.9%	99.8%	99.4%	98.5%	79%					75%	Draw
99.9%	99.9%	99.5%	98%	82%					76%	Away

Last 32		Last 16		Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Germany (100%)
		Germany (64%) Paraguay (15%)
Paraguay (39%) Australia (32%) Scotland (19%)
				France (47%) Germany (26%) Norway (8%)
France (79%) Norway (21%)
		France (65%) Norway (14%)
Sweden (69%) Japan (18%)
						France (34%) Germany (14%) Netherlands (12%) Switzerland (8%)
South Korea (83%) South Africa (15%)
		Switzerland (43%) South Korea (32%) Canada (22%)
Switzerland (62%) Canada (38%)
				Netherlands (25%) Switzerland (20%) Morocco (12%) Japan (11%)
Netherlands (61%) Japan (34%)
		Netherlands (38%) Morocco (24%) Japan (19%) Brazil (13%)
Morocco (65%) Brazil (22%)
								Spain (36%) France (19%) Germany (6%) Netherlands (5%)
Portugal (43%) Colombia (26%) DR Congo (17%)
		Croatia (40%) Portugal (27%) Colombia (16%) Uzbekistan (5%)
Croatia (73%) Ghana (14%)
				Spain (56%) Croatia (13%) Portugal (10%)
Spain (86%)
		Spain (74%) Austria (14%)
Austria (71%) Algeria (29%)
						Spain (49%) United States (10%) Croatia (9%)
United States (100%)
		United States (73%) Bosnia and Herzegovina (14%)
Bosnia and Herzegovina (57%) Qatar (21%) Senegal (6%)
				United States (39%) Belgium (8%) Egypt (7%) Senegal (7%)
Egypt (48%) Iran (30%) Belgium (23%)
		Egypt (19%) Iran (14%) Belgium (14%) Algeria (10%) Senegal (8%)
Algeria (22%) Czechia (15%) South Korea (12%) Senegal (12%) Austria (11%)
										Spain (26%) Argentina (21%) France (14%) England (7%)
Brazil (62%) Morocco (32%)
		Brazil (37%) Japan (22%) Netherlands (21%) Morocco (13%)
Japan (47%) Netherlands (39%) Sweden (15%)
				Norway (29%) Brazil (22%) France (13%) Netherlands (12%)
Ivory Coast (84%)
		Norway (60%) France (19%) Ivory Coast (18%)
Norway (79%) France (21%)
						England (28%) Brazil (14%) Norway (13%) Mexico (8%)
Mexico (100%)
		Mexico (55%) Scotland (19%) Ecuador (8%)
Scotland (49%) Ecuador (13%) Brazil (10%)
				England (46%) Mexico (21%) Scotland (5%)
England (92%)
		England (68%) Senegal (7%)
Uzbekistan (26%) DR Congo (22%) Senegal (20%) Portugal (13%)
								Argentina (36%) England (14%) Colombia (8%) Brazil (6%)
Argentina (100%)
		Argentina (89%)
Cape Verde (51%) Saudi Arabia (34%)
				Argentina (73%) Belgium (8%)
Australia (57%) Paraguay (43%)
		Belgium (30%) Australia (28%) Paraguay (24%) Iran (9%)
Belgium (52%) Egypt (21%) Iran (19%)
						Argentina (53%) Colombia (14%) Portugal (7%)
Canada (62%) Switzerland (38%)
		Canada (34%) Switzerland (25%) Egypt (10%) Iran (9%)
Egypt (29%) Iran (21%) Algeria (20%) Belgium (11%)
				Colombia (34%) Portugal (16%) Switzerland (11%) Canada (11%)
Colombia (65%) Portugal (29%)
		Colombia (49%) Portugal (22%) Senegal (9%)
Ghana (39%) Senegal (22%) Croatia (12%) Panama (11%)

What is needed to qualify as 3rd team?

Pts	GD	Probability	Last 32	Chance
6	-	0.14%	0.14%	100%
5	-	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	100%
4	-	30%	30%	99.98%
3	-1	11%	11%	95.3%
3	3-5	1.6%	1.3%	82%
3	2-4	1.7%	1.4%	79%
3	3-6	2.3%	1.5%	67%
3	2-5	2.4%	1.5%	63%
3	3-7	1.4%	0.71%	52%
3	2-6	1.7%	0.81%	49%
3	-5	3.0%	1.2%	38%
3	-6	1.1%	0.36%	32%
2	-1	8%	0.70%	9%
1	-	7%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%

Group F		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%			0.6%	1.8%							23%	41%
	3rd & Last 32	93%			0.2%	0.9%							23%	41%
Netherlands	3rd	0.7%												0.7%
	3rd & Last 32	0.7%												0.7%
Japan	3rd	19%												19%
	3rd & Last 32	19%												19%
Sweden	3rd	80%			0.6%	1.8%							23%	21%
	3rd & Last 32	73%			0.2%	0.9%							23%	21%
Tunisia	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Group C		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%			0.8%	2.2%	1.6%	0.3%	3.8%	0.9%	7.1%	2%	23%	38%
	3rd & Last 32	86%			0.3%	0.9%	0.8%	0.2%	2.5%	0.6%	5.7%	1.7%	22%	38%
Brazil	3rd	15%												15%
	3rd & Last 32	15%												15%
Morocco	3rd	2.3%												2.3%
	3rd & Last 32	2.3%												2.3%
Scotland	3rd	82%			0.8%	2.2%	1.6%	0.3%	3.8%	0.9%	7.1%	2%	23%	20%
	3rd & Last 32	68%			0.3%	0.9%	0.8%	0.2%	2.5%	0.6%	5.7%	1.7%	22%	20%
Haiti	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Group D		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%			1.3%	4.4%	6.1%	4.2%	10%	9.6%	6.5%	4.9%	21%	24%
	3rd & Last 32	79%			0.5%	1.9%	3.2%	2.3%	6.6%	6.6%	5.2%	4%	20%	24%
United States	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Australia	3rd	43%			0.2%	0.7%	1.5%	0.7%	3.6%	2%	6.5%	4.9%	21%
	3rd & Last 32	36%			< 0.1%	0.3%	0.7%	0.4%	2.3%	1.4%	5.2%	4%	20%
Paraguay	3rd	57%			1.2%	3.7%	4.7%	3.6%	6.8%	7.6%				24%
	3rd & Last 32	43%			0.4%	1.6%	2.4%	2%	4.4%	5.2%				24%
Turkey	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Group B		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%												78%
	3rd & Last 32	79%												78%
Canada	3rd	0.1%												0.1%
	3rd & Last 32	0.1%												0.1%
Switzerland	3rd	< 0.1%												< 0.1%
	3rd & Last 32	< 0.1%												< 0.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	3rd	78%												57%
	3rd & Last 32	57%												57%
Qatar	3rd	22%												22%
	3rd & Last 32	22%												22%
Group J		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%			2.8%	7.2%	7.2%	6%	8.3%	11%		4.1%	17%	24%
	3rd & Last 32	75%			1%	3%	3.6%	3.2%	5.2%	7.5%		3.4%	16%	24%
Argentina	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Austria	3rd	29%			< 0.1%	0.2%		0.6%		1.8%		4.1%	17%
	3rd & Last 32	25%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%		0.3%		1.2%		3.4%	16%
Algeria	3rd	71%			2.7%	7%	7.2%	5.4%	8.3%	9.4%				24%
	3rd & Last 32	50%			1%	2.9%	3.6%	2.9%	5.2%	6.3%				24%
Jordan	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Group G		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%		18%										38%
	3rd & Last 32	72%		2.1%										38%
Egypt	3rd	31%												31%
	3rd & Last 32	31%												31%
Iran	3rd	47%		17%
	3rd & Last 32	23%		2%
Belgium	3rd	13%		1.5%
	3rd & Last 32	11%		0.1%
New Zealand	3rd	8.4%												6.2%
	3rd & Last 32	6.3%												6.2%
Group I		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%	18%			9.5%		1.8%					20%
	3rd & Last 32	71%				3.6%		0.9%					20%
France	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Norway	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Senegal	3rd	86%	18%										20%
	3rd & Last 32	64%											20%
Iraq	3rd	14%				9.5%		1.8%					< 0.1%
	3rd & Last 32	6.3%				3.6%		0.9%					< 0.1%
Group K		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%	1.9%	9.3%	0.7%	1.8%	0.6%	1.3%	0.8%	2.1%	0.8%	2.6%	6%	34%	0.8%
	3rd & Last 32	69%		1.2%	0.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	1.4%	0.6%	2.2%	5.8%	34%	0.8%
Colombia	3rd	8.1%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%		< 0.1%		0.2%	1.2%	4.4%	0.1%
	3rd & Last 32	7.8%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%		< 0.1%		0.1%	1.1%	4.4%	0.1%
Portugal	3rd	20%	1.3%	4.2%										8.3%	0.3%
	3rd & Last 32	13%		0.5%										8.3%	0.3%
DR Congo	3rd	36%	0.6%	5.1%										18%	0.4%
	3rd & Last 32	22%		0.7%										18%	0.4%
Uzbekistan	3rd	35%			0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	1.2%	0.8%	2%	0.8%	2.4%	4.8%	3.5%
	3rd & Last 32	26%			0.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	1.4%	0.6%	2%	4.6%	3.5%
Group L		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%	1%	0.7%	7.3%	9.5%	4.1%	2.6%	3.9%	2.9%	3.1%	2.9%	8.3%	18%		1.6%
	3rd & Last 32	63%	< 0.1%	0.1%	2.2%	3.2%	1.8%	1.2%	2.3%	1.9%	2.4%	2.3%	7.8%	18%		1.6%
England	3rd	0.8%				< 0.1%							< 0.1%	0.6%		< 0.1%
	3rd & Last 32	0.8%				< 0.1%							< 0.1%	0.6%		< 0.1%
Ghana	3rd	69%			7.2%	9%	3.8%	2.3%	3.3%	2.3%	2.1%	1.7%	2.7%	12%		1.2%
	3rd & Last 32	39%			2.1%	3%	1.6%	1.1%	1.9%	1.5%	1.6%	1.4%	2.5%	12%		1.2%
Panama	3rd	15%	0.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.7%	0.5%	1%	0.9%	3.4%	3%		< 0.1%
	3rd & Last 32	11%	< 0.1%	0.1%	< 0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.4%	0.3%	0.7%	0.7%	3.1%	3%		< 0.1%
Croatia	3rd	15%	0.6%		< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%		0.1%		0.3%	2.2%	2.8%		0.3%
	3rd & Last 32	12%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%		< 0.1%		0.3%	2.2%	2.8%		0.3%
Group E		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%	24%	20%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.1%	< 0.1%	0.4%	0.2%	1.2%	1%	6.5%	39%
	3rd & Last 32	48%		0.9%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	1%	0.8%	6.1%	39%
Germany	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
Ivory Coast	3rd	9.9%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.1%	< 0.1%	0.4%	0.2%	1.2%	1%	6.5%
	3rd & Last 32	8.7%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	1%	0.8%	6.1%
Ecuador	3rd	77%	24%	20%										33%
	3rd & Last 32	34%		0.9%										33%
Curaçao	3rd	13%	< 0.1%											6.3%
	3rd & Last 32	6.3%												6.3%
Group H		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%		32%										11%
	3rd & Last 32	35%		2.9%										11%
Spain	3rd	5%												5%
	3rd & Last 32	5%												5%
Uruguay	3rd	67%		22%
	3rd & Last 32	17%		2.1%
Cape Verde	3rd	21%		10%
	3rd & Last 32	7.6%		0.8%
Saudi Arabia	3rd	7%												5.6%
	3rd & Last 32	5.6%												5.6%
Group A		point	1	2	3									4	5	6
		GD	-	-1	-6	-5	2-6	3-7	2-5	3-6	2-4	3-5	-1	-	-	-
	3rd	100%	40%	16%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.2%	< 0.1%	0.6%	0.3%	1.8%	1.4%	9.2%	17%
	3rd & Last 32	30%	< 0.1%	1.2%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.3%	0.2%	1.3%	1.1%	8.5%	17%
Mexico	3rd
	3rd & Last 32
South Korea	3rd	14%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.2%	< 0.1%	0.6%	0.3%	1.8%	1.4%	9.2%
	3rd & Last 32	12%			< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	0.3%	0.2%	1.3%	1.1%	8.5%
Czechia	3rd	62%	31%	16%										14%
	3rd & Last 32	15%	< 0.1%	1.2%										14%
South Africa	3rd	24%	8.9%											2.4%
	3rd & Last 32	2.5%												2.4%