| Group A |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 100% | 4 | 10 | 26-19 | Real Madrid | |
| 98.5% | 4 | 7 | 24-20 | Paris SG | 99.89% if they draw (or win) against Shakhtar; otherwise 92% |
| 1% | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | Shakhtar | 7% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 0% |
| 0.2% | 4 | 3 | 1-8 | Malmoe | 6% if they win against Real Madrid; otherwise 0.01% |
Group is virtually dead. Malmoe are hosting Paris while Shakhtar are hosting Madrid in Day 5. Both home teams must win or they're are out.
| Group B |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 82% | 4 | 7 | 5-4 | Man United | qualified if they win against PSV; otherwise 49% |
| 54% | 4 | 6 | 23-23 | Wolfsburg | 78% if they draw (or win) against CSKA Moskva; otherwise 25% |
| 39% | 4 | 6 | 25-25 | PSV | 74% if they win against CSKA Moskva; otherwise 20% |
| 25% | 4 | 4 | 4-5 | CSKA Moskva | 50% if they win against Wolfsburg; otherwise 4% |
Man U are in pole position after their late goal against Moskva. They play PSV and qualify if they win. In the other match Moskva play Wolfsburg in Moscow and more or less forces to win.
| Group C |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 99.6% | 4 | 9 | 26-23 | Benfica | qualified if Atletico draw (or win) against Galatasaray; otherwise 95% |
| 96% | 4 | 7 | 7-2 | Atletico | qualified if they draw (or win) against Galatasaray; otherwise 45% |
| 4% | 4 | 4 | 24-26 | Galatasaray | 61% if they win against Atletico; otherwise 0% |
| 0.03% | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | FK Astana | |
Benfica and Madrid can kill this group if don't lose their matches against Astana and Galatasaray, respectively. In the last round Benfica and Madrid play in a group final in Lisbon.
| Group D |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 100% | 4 | 9 | 27-24 | Man City | |
| 92% | 4 | 8 | 5-2 | Juventus | qualified if Gladbach draw (or win) against Sevilla; otherwise 80% |
| 8% | 4 | 3 | 24-26 | Sevilla | 20% if they win against Gladbach; otherwise 0% |
| 0% | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | Gladbach | |
Man City has qualified as Sevilla cannot pass them. The spot is between Juventus and Sevilla. Juventus clinch that spot if they win agaisnt Man City or Sevilla fail to win against Gladbach. Sevilla will play Juventus in the last round; if Juventus have drawn Man City and Sevilla won against Gladbach (and Juventus), internal goal difference will decide the qualification and there Juventus won the forst game with 2-0 in Turin.
| Group E |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 99.5% | 4 | 10 | 8-2 | Barcelona | qualified if they draw (or win) against Roma; otherwise 93% |
| 68% | 4 | 5 | 29-29 | Roma | 89% if they win against BATE; otherwise 16% |
| 25% | 4 | 4 | 30-29 | Leverkusen | 58% if BATE draw (or win) against Roma; otherwise 12% |
| 7% | 4 | 3 | 4-11 | BATE | 25% if they draw (or win) against Roma; otherwise 0% |
Barcelona need one more point to clinch qualification. Roma had an extremely important win against Leverkusen in last round, in which Leverkusen first caught up a 0-2 deficit and Roma then scored the winning 3-2 with 10 minutes left.
| Group F |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 100% | 4 | 9 | 13-3 | Bayern | |
| 83% | 4 | 9 | 25-25 | Olympiakos | qualified if they draw (or win) against Arsenal; otherwise 63% |
| 17% | 4 | 3 | 6-10 | Arsenal | 37% if they win against Olympiakos; otherwise 0% |
| 0% | 4 | 3 | 22-28 | Dinamo Zagreb | |
Bayern have qualified. Olympiakos scored an important winning goal in the last minute against Zagreb. They need another point to clinch qualification or if Arsenal fail to win against Zagreb. In the last round Olympiakos play Arsenal in Athens and in case they finish on same points, Olympiakos won the game in London with 3-2.
| Group G |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 92% | 4 | 10 | 9-4 | Porto | qualified if they draw (or win) against Dynamo Kyiv; otherwise 64% |
| 87% | 4 | 7 | 26-22 | Chelsea | 99.2% if they win against Porto; otherwise 74% |
| 21% | 4 | 5 | 24-23 | Dynamo Kyiv | 75% if they win against Porto; otherwise 5% |
| 0% | 4 | 0 | 1-11 | M Tel Aviv | |
Chelsea won importantly against Kyiv in last match after a late winning goal (83rd). Kyiv travel to Portugal and need a win to keep the hope. Chelsea go to Tel Aviv and a win is crucial as they host Porto in the last match and don't want to rely on a good result in that difficult game.
| Group H |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 100% | 4 | 12 | 10-4 | Zenit | |
| 87% | 4 | 6 | 24-24 | Valencia | 98% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 66% |
| 7% | 4 | 4 | 23-24 | Gent | 33% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 3% |
| 6% | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | Lyon | 38% if they win against Valencia; otherwise 0% |
Zenit have qualified. Valencia play Zenit (away) and then Lyon in the last match. If Valencia and Gent finish on same points, Gent qualify with more away goals.
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