Table below shows scor ein first match. The percentage indicate the home team's chance to proceed to quarter final with the change in bracket. Benfica improved their chances significantly with their last-minute-goal against Zenit. Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Man City won with two goals on away turf and practically secured qualification already after 90 minutes.
| Paris SG | 2 | - | 1 | Chelsea | 70% | (+15%) |
| Benfica | 1 | - | 0 | Zenit | 72% | (+28%) |
| Gent | 2 | - | 3 | Wolfsburg | 7% | (-14%) |
| Roma | 0 | - | 2 | Real Madrid | 2% | (-7%) |
| Arsenal | 0 | - | 2 | Barcelona | 2% | (-9%) |
| Juventus | 2 | - | 2 | Bayern | 24% | (-3%) |
| PSV | 0 | - | 0 | Atletico | 24% | (+11%) |
| Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | - | 3 | Man City | 3% | (-22%) |
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| Curves depict how the 16 teams' chance to win Champions League evolved during the first 90 minutes. Teams in the legend are sort such that a team with greater chance is located higher. The legend also indicate the chance (%) the team has to win the tournament. |
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