In group B, Dynamo Kyiv killed Besiktas chances within the first half an hour and the match between Benfica and Napoli came to be about the group win (only).
| Group B |
| Chance | m | p | +/- |
|
|
| 100% | 6 | 11 | 11-8 | Napoli |
|
| 100% | 6 | 8 | 10-10 | Benfica |
|
| 0% | 6 | 7 | 9-14 | Besiktas |
|
| 0% | 6 | 5 | 8-6 | Dynamo Kyiv |
|
In group G, Kobenhavn did their job against Brugge with two early goals, but needed help from Leicester. Porto thrashed a Leicester who already had the group win home in the pocket.
| Group G |
| Chance | m | p | +/- |
|
|
| 100% | 6 | 13 | 7-6 | Leicester |
|
| 100% | 6 | 11 | 9-3 | Porto |
|
| 0% | 6 | 9 | 7-2 | FC Kobenhavn |
|
| 0% | 6 | 0 | 2-14 | Brugge |
|
In group H, Sevilla needed a point against Lyon (away) and managed to keep it scoreless.
| Group H |
| Chance | m | p | +/- |
|
|
| 100% | 6 | 14 | 11-2 | Juventus |
|
| 100% | 6 | 11 | 7-3 | Sevilla |
|
| 0% | 6 | 8 | 5-3 | Lyon |
|
| 0% | 6 | 0 | 0-15 | Dinamo Zagreb |
|
|
|
Here are the probabilities for matchups in round of 16.
| Winner \ Runner-up | Port | Benf | Real | Baye | Leve | Sevi | Pari | Man | Total |
| Arsenal | 13% |
12% |
21% |
16% |
15% |
19% |
|
| 100% |
| Napoli | 11% |
| 17% |
13% |
13% |
16% |
12% |
15% |
100% |
| Leiceste |
| 12% |
21% |
16% |
15% |
19% |
14% |
| 100% |
| Barcelon | 17% |
17% |
| 22% |
21% |
| 20% |
| 100% |
| Dortmund | 16% |
16% |
|
|
| 24% |
18% |
24% |
100% |
| Atletico | 17% |
16% |
|
| 20% |
| 20% |
25% |
100% |
| Juventus | 11% |
11% |
18% |
14% |
13% |
| 13% |
16% |
100% |
| Monaco | 12% |
12% |
21% |
16% |
| 19% |
| 18% |
100% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 99% | 99% | 100% | 100% |
Teams from same group can not meet, and teams from same country can not meet. So, for example, Real Madrid cannot be drawn against Dortmund, Barcelona, or Atletico, which gives higher probabilities for the remaining five group winners.
Posts
