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Brazil are the favorites and win 72% of the simulations. In 56% of the simulations, we have the dream final between Brazil and Argentina. The semi-finals are played on Monday and Tuesday; the final is played on Saturday (10 July).
| Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||
Brazil (100%) | ||||
Brazil (91%) | ||||
Peru (100%) | ||||
Brazil (72%) Argentina (17%) | ||||
Colombia (100%) | ||||
Argentina (62%) Colombia (38%) | ||||
Argentina (100%) |
England are now favorites and win the tournament in 36% of the simulations.
| Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||
Italy (100%) | ||||
Spain (54%) Italy (46%) | ||||
Spain (100%) | ||||
England (36%) Spain (27%) Italy (21%) Denmark (16%) | ||||
England (100%) | ||||
England (63%) Denmark (37%) | ||||
Denmark (100%) |
| Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||
Brazil (100%) | ||||
Brazil (91%) | ||||
Peru (100%) | ||||
Brazil (73%) Argentina (11%) | ||||
Uruguay (57%) Colombia (43%) | ||||
Argentina (40%) Uruguay (29%) Colombia (19%) | ||||
Argentina (69%) Ecuador (31%) |
| Semi-finals | Final | Champions | ||
Italy (100%) | ||||
Spain (53%) Italy (47%) | ||||
Spain (100%) | ||||
Spain (29%) England (25%) Italy (25%) Denmark (15%) | ||||
England (67%) Ukraine (33%) | ||||
England (45%) Denmark (34%) Ukraine (13%) | ||||
Denmark (71%) Czechia (29%) |
Round 3 of the Asian World Cup qualifiers have been drawn. First two in each qualify to the world cup and the third advance to a Round 4 where they play against the other third about a spot in the intercontinental playoff.
In Group A, Iran and South Korea are favorites with Iraq as a challenger. In Group B, Japan and Australia are favorites with Saudi as a dark horse.
| Group A | ||||||||||||
| Country | MP | Pts | Simulated Pts | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Round 4 | Playoff | Playoff Winner | Qatar | ||
| Iran | 0 | 0 | 20.5 | (18-23) | 14% | 34% | 47% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 87% | |
| South Korea | 0 | 0 | 20.1 | (18-23) | 17% | 37% | 42% | 17% | 13% | 6% | 85% | |
| Iraq | 0 | 0 | 16 | (13-19) | 43% | 24% | 10% | 43% | 25% | 13% | 46% | |
| Syria | 0 | 0 | 10.5 | (8-13) | 13% | 3% | < 1% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 6% | |
| United Arab Emirates | 0 | 0 | 9.25 | (7-12) | 9% | 2% | < 1% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
| Lebanon | 0 | 0 | 7.82 | (5-10) | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% | |
| Group B | ||||||||||||
| Country | MP | Pts | Simulated Pts | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Round 4 | Playoff | Playoff Winner | Qatar | ||
| Japan | 0 | 0 | 20.6 | (18-23) | 10% | 30% | 56% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 90% | |
| Australia | 0 | 0 | 19 | (16-22) | 17% | 40% | 35% | 17% | 11% | 5% | 81% | |
| Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 14.2 | (12-17) | 35% | 18% | 6% | 35% | 15% | 7% | 31% | |
| Oman | 0 | 0 | 11.3 | (9-14) | 18% | 6% | 1% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 11% | |
| China | 0 | 0 | 10.2 | (8-13) | 13% | 4% | < 1% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 7% | |
| Vietnam | 0 | 0 | 8.55 | (6-11) | 7% | 2% | < 1% | 7% | 1% | < 1% | 3% | |
