NL: Ukraine vs Scotland in deciding match

Ukraine and Scotland play a Group final. Ukraine need to win to win the Group and clinch a spot in Pot 2. Similarly Serbia need to beat Norway to win their Group, whereas a a draw is sufficient for Norway.

Switzerland and Czechia play a deciding math on who will stay in League A. Czechia need a win to avoid relegation and clinch a top-seed.

 Then there are a number of matches in B League that affect who will be the best runner-up and thereby winning a spot in Pot 2.

Important matches for Euro '24 qualifications

Ukraine vs Scotland (36mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Ukraine	86%	74%	70%
Scotland	58%	71%	74%

Norway vs Serbia (26mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Serbia	78%	79%	91%
Norway	76%	76%	68%
Finland	62%	61%	55%

Greece vs Northern Ireland (10mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Greece	62%	53%	50%
Turkey	62%	70%	70%

Sweden vs Slovenia (4mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Norway	76%	67%	68%
Slovenia	23%	28%	28%
Finland	58%	62%	63%
Ireland	40%	37%	37%

Albania vs Iceland (2mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Iceland	13%	18%	19%
Albania	24%	19%	19%

Ireland vs Armenia (2mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Scotland	63%	63%	72%
Finland	60%	60%	53%
Ireland	40%	40%	34%
Ukraine	80%	80%	84%

Important matches for Pot 1 seed group

Switzerland vs Czechia (1410mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Czechia	< 1%	< 1%	100%
Switzerland	100%	100%	< 1%

Important matches for Pot 2 seed group

Ukraine vs Scotland (1543mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Ukraine	100%	10%	< 1%
Scotland	13%	100%	100%

Norway vs Serbia (1468mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Serbia	< 1%	4.6%	100%
Finland	89%	85%	28%
Norway	100%	100%	63%

Ireland vs Armenia (292mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Scotland	41%	41%	99.87%
Finland	73%	73%	14%

Sweden vs Slovenia (245mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Norway	97.1%	62%	62%
Finland	54%	90%	89%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A4	Netherlands	1	1	1	16	16	16	8					100%
2	A1	Croatia	2.4	2	3	13	13	13	2					100%
3	A2	Portugal	3.6	2	8	11.5	10	13	9.2					100%
4	A3	Italy	4	4	4	11	11	11	1					100%
5	A1	Denmark	5	5	5	12	12	12	4					100%
6	A4	Belgium	6.3	6	7	10	10	10	3					100%
7	A2	Spain	6.6	3	9	9.2	8	11	1.8					100%
8	A3	Hungary	7.3	7	8	10	10	10	3					100%
9	A3	Germany	9.6	9	10	7	7	7	2
10	A2	Switzerland	9.7	8	13	8	6	9	-3				19%	81%
11	A4	Poland	10.9	10	11	7	7	7	-6					100%
12	A1	France	12	12	12	5	5	5	-2				100%
13	A2	Czechia	13.1	9	14	4.8	4	7	-8				81%	19%
14	A1	Austria	13.4	13	14	4	4	4	-4				100%
15	A3	England	15	15	15	3	3	3	-6				100%
16	A4	Wales	16	16	16	1	1	1	-5				100%
17	B2	Israel	18	17	19	8	8	8	2				100%
18	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	19	18	20	8	8	8	2				100%
19	B4	Norway	19.4	17	24	8.8	4	12	2.1			14%	86%
20	B4	Serbia	20.7	17	24	6.7	4	9	2.7			61%	39%
21	B1	Scotland	21	17	24	7.2	6	12	-0			51%	49%
22	B1	Ukraine	21.1	17	24	6.2	4	9	0.9			39%	61%
23	B3	Finland	21.4	21	23	7	7	7	3			35%	65%
24	B2	Iceland	24.8	22	27	3.9	3	6	-0.7			100%
25	B2	Albania	24.8	22	28	2.8	1	4	-1.3			100%
26	B1	Ireland	26	25	31	4	4	4	0.7			100%
27	B3	Montenegro	27.2	25	28	1	1	1	-5			100%
28	B4	Slovenia	28.4	25	30	5	5	5	-5			100%
29	B4	Sweden	28.6	27	31	1.1	0	4	-5.6			100%
30	B3	Romania	29	29	29	7	7	7	-2			100%
31	B1	Armenia	30.6	28	31	2.8	0	4	-13.8			100%
32	C4	Georgia	32	32	32	16	16	16	13		100%
33	C1	Turkey	33.6	33	34	13	13	13	13		100%
34	C2	Greece	33.6	33	35	13.9	12	15	6.8		100%
35	C3	Kazakhstan	34.8	34	35	13	13	13	2		100%
36	C1	Luxembourg	36	36	36	11	11	11	2		100%
37	C3	Azerbaijan	37	37	37	10	10	10	3		100%
38	C4	Bulgaria	38.2	38	39	9	9	9	2		100%
39	C2	Kosovo	39.6	38	44	8.2	6	9	0.3	19%	81%
40	C1	Faroe Islands	40.2	40	41	8	8	8	-3		100%
41	C4	North Macedonia	41.2	41	42	7	7	7	0	18%	82%
42	C3	Slovakia	42.2	42	43	7	7	7	-1	100%
43	C2	Northern Ireland	42.5	39	44	5.9	5	8	-1.8	79%	21%
44	C2	Cyprus	43.2	39	44	5.6	5	8	-5.3	85%	15%
45	C3	Belarus	45	45	45	3	3	3	-4	100%
46	C1	Lithuania	46	46	46	1	1	1	-12	100%
47	C4	Gibraltar	47	47	47	1	1	1	-15	100%
48	D2	Estonia	48	48	48	12	12	12	8	100%
49	D1	Latvia	49	49	49	7	7	7	4	100%
50	D1	Moldova	50	50	50	7	7	7	0	100%
51	D2	Malta	51	51	51	6	6	6	1	100%
52	D1	Andorra	52	52	52	2	2	2	-4
53	D2	San Marino	53	53	53	0	0	0	-9
54	D1	Liechtenstein	54	54	54	0	0	0	-10

 

NL: Montenegro vs Finland in deciding match

 Montenegro host Finland in a match deciding who will finish 2nd in group B3. Montenegro finish second if they at least draw and could then finish as best runner-up, which means 2nd pot in the seeding of the euro '24. Finland need to win to have a chance on 2nd spot.

Important matches for Euro '24 qualifications

Montenegro vs Finland (39mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	38%	39%	58%
Montenegro	20%	19%	10%

Important matches for Pot 2 seed group

Montenegro vs Finland (712mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	< 1%	< 1%	59%
Montenegro	52%	37%	< 1%

Romania vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (158mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Montenegro	35%	19%	< 1%
Iceland	< 1%	2.5%	6%
Serbia	41%	50%	61%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A4	Netherlands	1	1	1	16	16	16	8					100%
2	A1	Croatia	2.6	2	4	13	13	13	2					100%
3	A2	Portugal	3.6	2	8	11.5	10	13	9.2					100%
4	A1	Denmark	5	5	5	12	12	12	4					100%
5	A3	Hungary	5.3	2	8	10.9	10	13	4.2					100%
6	A3	Italy	5.8	3	10	9.9	8	11	-0.2					100%
7	A4	Belgium	6.6	6	8	10	10	10	3					100%
8	A2	Spain	6.7	3	10	9.2	8	11	1.8					100%
9	A2	Switzerland	9.6	7	13	8	6	9	-3				19%	81%
10	A3	Germany	10.1	7	11	6.9	6	9	1.1
11	A4	Poland	10.3	9	11	7	7	7	-6					100%
12	A1	France	12	12	12	5	5	5	-2				100%
13	A2	Czechia	13.5	9	15	4.8	4	7	-8				81%	19%
14	A3	England	14	13	15	3.9	2	5	-5.1				100%
15	A1	Austria	14	13	15	4	4	4	-4				100%
16	A4	Wales	16	16	16	1	1	1	-5				100%
17	B2	Israel	18	17	20	8	8	8	2				100%
18	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	19.2	17	20	7.7	7	8	1.4				100%
19	B4	Norway	19.3	17	24	8.8	4	12	2.1			14%	86%
20	B4	Serbia	20.6	17	24	6.7	4	9	2.7			53%	47%
21	B1	Scotland	20.9	17	24	7.2	6	12	-0			49%	51%
22	B1	Ukraine	20.9	17	24	6.2	4	9	0.9			38%	62%
23	B3	Montenegro	24.5	21	28	3.5	1	7	-1.2			76%	24%
24	B2	Iceland	24.8	21	28	3.9	3	6	-0.7			98.2%	1.8%
25	B3	Finland	24.9	21	30	6	4	7	1			72%	28%
26	B2	Albania	25	21	28	2.8	1	4	-1.3			99.77%	< 1%
27	B1	Ireland	26.1	25	31	4	4	4	0.7			100%
28	B4	Slovenia	28.3	25	30	5	5	5	-5			100%
29	B3	Romania	28.4	25	31	4.5	1	7	-4.5			100%
30	B4	Sweden	28.6	27	31	1.1	0	4	-5.6			100%
31	B1	Armenia	30.6	28	31	2.8	0	4	-13.8			100%
32	C4	Georgia	32.2	32	34	15.5	13	16	14.1		100%
33	C1	Turkey	33.5	32	34	13	13	13	13		100%
34	C2	Greece	33.5	32	35	13.9	12	15	6.8		100%
35	C3	Kazakhstan	34.8	34	35	13	13	13	2		100%
36	C1	Luxembourg	36	36	36	11	11	11	2		100%
37	C3	Azerbaijan	37.4	37	38	10	10	10	3		100%
38	C4	North Macedonia	38.2	37	43	9.2	7	10	2.3	3.9%	96.1%
39	C2	Kosovo	39.6	38	44	8.2	6	9	0.3	16%	84%
40	C1	Faroe Islands	40.2	40	41	8	8	8	-3		100%
41	C4	Bulgaria	41.4	38	43	6.6	6	9	-0.3	69%	31%
42	C3	Slovakia	41.5	41	43	7	7	7	-1	47%	53%
43	C2	Northern Ireland	42.4	38	44	5.9	5	8	-1.8	79%	21%
44	C2	Cyprus	43.2	38	44	5.6	5	8	-5.3	85%	15%
45	C3	Belarus	45.1	45	46	3	3	3	-4	100%
46	C1	Lithuania	46.2	46	47	1	1	1	-12	100%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.7	45	47	1.3	1	4	-16.1	100%
48	D2	Estonia	48	48	48	11.7	9	12	6.5	100%
49	D1	Latvia	49	49	49	7	7	7	4	100%
50	D1	Moldova	50	50	50	7	7	7	0	100%
51	D2	Malta	51	51	51	6	6	6	1	100%
52	D1	Andorra	52	52	53	2	2	2	-4
53	D2	San Marino	53	52	53	0.2	0	3	-7.5
54	D1	Liechtenstein	54	54	54	0	0	0	-10

 

NL: France can clinch top-seed

Tonight France can clinch top-seed spot with a win in Copenhagen.

Important matches for Euro '24 qualifications

Luxembourg vs Lithuania (3mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Luxembourg	6%	3.1%	2.3%
North Macedonia	29%	34%	35%

Important matches for Pot 1 seed group

Denmark vs France (525mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
France	50%	51%	100%
Austria	34%	34%	< 1%
Poland	17%	17%	3.8%

Austria vs Croatia (498mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Austria	53%	< 1%	< 1%
France	47%	87%	87%

Wales vs Poland (345mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Poland	< 1%	< 1%	45%
France	82%	82%	47%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A4	Netherlands	1.5	1	5	14.3	13	16	6.8					100%
2	A2	Portugal	3.3	1	8	11.5	10	13	9.2					100%
3	A1	Croatia	3.8	1	8	11.5	10	13	0.2					100%
4	A3	Hungary	4.8	1	8	10.9	10	13	4.2					100%
5	A4	Belgium	5	1	8	11.5	10	13	4.2					100%
6	A3	Italy	5.5	2	11	9.9	8	11	-0.2					100%
7	A1	Denmark	6.1	2	8	10.1	9	12	1.6					100%
8	A2	Spain	6.5	2	11	9.2	8	11	1.8					100%
9	A2	Switzerland	9.8	6	14	8	6	9	-3				20%	80%
10	A3	Germany	10.1	6	12	6.9	6	9	1.1
11	A1	France	10.8	9	15	6.6	5	8	0.4				26%	74%
12	A1	Austria	12.9	9	16	5.3	4	7	-2.2				82%	18%
13	A4	Poland	13.5	9	16	4.9	4	7	-7.7				89%	11%
14	A4	Wales	13.8	12	16	2.8	1	4	-3.3				100%
15	A2	Czechia	13.9	9	16	4.8	4	7	-8				83%	17%
16	A3	England	14.6	13	16	3.9	2	5	-5.1				100%
17	B2	Israel	18	17	20	8	8	8	2				100%
18	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	19.2	17	20	7.7	7	8	1.4				100%
19	B4	Norway	19.3	17	24	8.8	4	12	2.1			14%	86%
20	B4	Serbia	20.6	17	24	6.7	4	9	2.7			53%	47%
21	B1	Scotland	20.9	17	24	7.2	6	12	-0			49%	51%
22	B1	Ukraine	20.9	17	24	6.2	4	9	0.9			38%	62%
23	B3	Montenegro	24.5	21	28	3.5	1	7	-1.2			76%	24%
24	B2	Iceland	24.8	21	28	3.9	3	6	-0.7			98.2%	1.8%
25	B3	Finland	24.9	21	30	6	4	7	1			72%	28%
26	B2	Albania	25	21	28	2.8	1	4	-1.3			99.77%	< 1%
27	B1	Ireland	26.1	25	31	4	4	4	0.7			100%
28	B4	Slovenia	28.3	25	30	5	5	5	-5			100%
29	B3	Romania	28.4	25	31	4.5	1	7	-4.5			100%
30	B4	Sweden	28.6	27	31	1.1	0	4	-5.6			100%
31	B1	Armenia	30.6	28	31	2.8	0	4	-13.8			100%
32	C1	Turkey	32.5	32	35	15.4	13	16	15.8		100%
33	C4	Georgia	32.9	32	35	15.5	13	16	14.1		100%
34	C2	Greece	34.3	32	35	13.9	12	15	6.8		100%
35	C3	Kazakhstan	34.3	32	35	14.2	13	16	4.7		100%
36	C1	Luxembourg	36.9	36	39	9.9	8	11	1.8		100%
37	C4	North Macedonia	37.6	36	43	9.2	7	10	2.3	2.2%	97.8%
38	C3	Azerbaijan	38.7	36	43	8.6	7	10	0.3	2.8%	97.2%
39	C2	Kosovo	39	36	44	8.2	6	9	0.3	14%	86%
40	C3	Slovakia	39.4	36	43	8.3	6	9	0.5	8%	92%
41	C4	Bulgaria	40.6	36	43	6.7	6	9	-0.3	25%	75%
42	C2	Northern Ireland	42	36	45	5.9	5	8	-1.8	72%	28%
43	C1	Faroe Islands	42.7	40	43	5.4	5	8	-5.8	91%	9%
44	C2	Cyprus	43.2	36	45	5.6	5	8	-5.3	85%	15%
45	C3	Belarus	45.2	44	47	2.5	2	5	-5.5	100%
46	C1	Lithuania	46	45	47	1.9	1	4	-11.8	100%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.8	45	47	1.3	1	4	-16.1	100%
48	D2	Estonia	48	48	49	11.7	9	12	6.5	100%
49	D1	Latvia	49.1	48	51	7.9	6	9	4.8	100%
50	D1	Moldova	49.9	49	50	7	7	7	0	100%
51	D2	Malta	51	50	51	6	6	6	1	100%
52	D1	Andorra	52.1	52	53	1.9	1	4	-4.8
53	D2	San Marino	52.9	52	53	0.2	0	3	-7.5
54	D1	Liechtenstein	54	54	54	0.7	0	3	-9.1