Coming weekend a match between two teams in the CL race when Aston Villa play Brighton. Important matches for the relegation race between when Luton play Burnley and Everton.
Hot Teams
Tottenham: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 4.9 more than expected
Liverpool: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 4.9 more than expected
Aston Villa: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 4.6 more than expected
Brighton: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 3.8 more than expected
West Ham: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 3.0 more than expected
Cold Teams
Burnley: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 4.5 less than expected
Chelsea: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 4.1 less than expected
Brentford: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 3.4 less than expected
Sheffield United: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 3.3 less than expected
Luton: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 3.0 less than expected
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 18 | Man City | 90.4 | +63 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.99% | 99.94% | 88% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.97% |
| 16 | Liverpool | 78.2 | +40 | < 1% | 99.53% | 98.8% | 97.3% | 94% | 9% | < 1% | 3.0% | 96.1% |
| 14 | Arsenal | 71.9 | +28 | < 1% | 95.9% | 92% | 85% | 74% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 15% | 77% |
| 14 | Tottenham | 65.0 | +19 | < 1% | 79% | 67% | 53% | 36% | < 1% | 11% | 30% | 36% |
| 9 | Newcastle | 63.3 | +25 | < 1% | 73% | 60% | 45% | 29% | < 1% | 12% | 27% | 32% |
| 15 | Brighton | 63.2 | +16 | < 1% | 71% | 58% | 43% | 27% | < 1% | 12% | 29% | 31% |
| 12 | Aston Villa | 60.7 | +9 | < 1% | 57% | 42% | 28% | 16% | < 1% | 10% | 37% | 16% |
| 9 | Man United | 59.5 | +7 | < 1% | 50% | 36% | 23% | 12% | < 1% | 13% | 23% | 15% |
| 10 | West Ham | 57.4 | +6 | < 1% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 8% | < 1% | 11% | 17% | 13% |
| 6 | Brentford | 52.7 | +4 | < 1% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2.2% | < 1% | 9% | 8% | 2.2% |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 49.6 | -6 | 1.6% | 8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | < 1% |
| 8 | Fulham | 48.5 | -11 | 2.4% | 6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | < 1% | < 1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | < 1% |
| 5 | Chelsea | 46.8 | -6 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | < 1% |
| 7 | Forest | 42.4 | -17 | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.1% | < 1% |
| 4 | Wolves | 40.7 | -20 | 17% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 1 | Burnley | 38.5 | -24 | 27% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 4 | Everton | 37.6 | -24 | 32% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.6% | < 1% |
| 3 | Bournemouth | 35.9 | -26 | 41% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.3% | < 1% |
| 1 | Sheffield United | 30.2 | -39 | 76% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 1 | Luton | 27.7 | -43 | 86% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
Titles
| Team | One Title | Two titles | Three titles | Four titles | Double | Treble | Quadruple |
| Man City | 97.6% | 74% | 33% | 6% | 38% | 16% | 6% |
| Liverpool | 54% | 13% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Arsenal | 27% | 2.9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Tottenham | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Newcastle | 13% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Brighton | 15% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Aston Villa | 26% | 1.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Man United | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| West Ham | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Brentford | 4.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Crystal Palace | 2.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Fulham | 2.2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Chelsea | 3.1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |||
| Forest | 2.3% | < 1% | |||||
| Wolves | < 1% | < 1% | |||||
| Burnley | 1.0% | < 1% | |||||
| Everton | 3.0% | < 1% | |||||
| Bournemouth | 1.6% | < 1% | |||||
| Sheffield United | 1.1% | < 1% | |||||
| Luton | < 1% | < 1% |
| Important matches for CL race | |||
| Aston Villa vs Brighton (2.1%) | Home Win (47%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (29%) |
| Aston Villa | 21% | 14% | 10% |
| Brighton | 26% | 30% | 39% |
| Liverpool | Arsenal | Tottenham | Newcastle | Brighton | Aston Villa | Man United | West Ham | Brentford | |||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 81 | 37% | 5% | 100% | 11% | 2.5% | >99.99% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 80 | 43% | 6% | >99.99% | 14% | 3.0% | 100% | 2.0% | < 1% | 99.9% | 1.0% | < 1% | 99.9% | 1.1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 79 | 49% | 6% | >99.99% | 17% | 3.5% | 99.97% | 2.8% | < 1% | 99.9% | 1.5% | < 1% | 99.9% | 1.6% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - |
| 78 | 54% | 6% | 99.98% | 21% | 3.9% | 99.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 99.7% | 2.2% | < 1% | 99.8% | 2.3% | < 1% | 99.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 77 | 60% | 6% | 99.96% | 26% | 4.5% | 99.9% | 5% | 1.3% | 99.4% | 3.1% | < 1% | 99.6% | 3.2% | < 1% | 99.5% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% |
| 76 | 66% | 5% | 99.9% | 30% | 4.9% | 99.7% | 7% | 1.7% | 99.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 99.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 99% | 1.9% | < 1% | 98% | 1.2% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% |
| 75 | 71% | 5% | 99.7% | 36% | 5% | 99.2% | 9% | 2.1% | 98% | 6% | 1.5% | 98% | 6% | 1.5% | 98% | 2.7% | < 1% | 97% | 1.7% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 97% |
| 74 | 75% | 4.7% | 99.4% | 41% | 5% | 98.6% | 12% | 2.5% | 96% | 8% | 1.8% | 96% | 8% | 1.8% | 96% | 3.7% | < 1% | 95% | 2.5% | < 1% | 94% | 1.2% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% |
| 73 | 80% | 4.3% | 98.7% | 47% | 6% | 97.3% | 15% | 3.0% | 93% | 10% | 2.2% | 94% | 10% | 2.2% | 92% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 91% | 3.4% | < 1% | 90% | 1.7% | < 1% | 91% | < 1% | < 1% | 92% |
| 72 | 84% | 3.8% | 97.5% | 52% | 6% | 95% | 18% | 3.4% | 89% | 12% | 2.7% | 90% | 12% | 2.6% | 87% | 7% | 1.6% | 85% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 85% | 2.4% | < 1% | 86% | < 1% | < 1% | 85% |
| 71 | 87% | 3.3% | 95% | 58% | 6% | 91% | 22% | 3.9% | 82% | 16% | 3.2% | 84% | 15% | 3.1% | 81% | 9% | 2.0% | 77% | 6% | 1.5% | 77% | 3.3% | < 1% | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | 78% |
| 70 | 90% | 2.8% | 92% | 63% | 5% | 85% | 26% | 4.4% | 74% | 19% | 3.6% | 76% | 19% | 3.6% | 73% | 11% | 2.4% | 68% | 8% | 1.9% | 67% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 69% | < 1% | < 1% | 69% |
| 69 | 92% | 2.3% | 87% | 69% | 5% | 78% | 31% | 4.8% | 65% | 23% | 4.1% | 68% | 23% | 4.0% | 63% | 14% | 2.8% | 56% | 10% | 2.3% | 56% | 6% | 1.5% | 58% | 1.3% | < 1% | 60% |
| 68 | 94% | 1.9% | 81% | 73% | 4.9% | 68% | 36% | 5% | 53% | 28% | 4.5% | 57% | 28% | 4.5% | 52% | 17% | 3.3% | 44% | 13% | 2.8% | 45% | 8% | 1.8% | 46% | 1.9% | < 1% | 46% |
| 67 | 95.4% | 1.5% | 73% | 78% | 4.4% | 58% | 42% | 5% | 41% | 33% | 4.9% | 45% | 32% | 4.8% | 41% | 21% | 3.8% | 33% | 16% | 3.2% | 34% | 10% | 2.2% | 35% | 2.7% | < 1% | 33% |
| 66 | 96.6% | 1.2% | 65% | 82% | 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% | 30% | 38% | 5% | 34% | 38% | 5% | 31% | 25% | 4.2% | 23% | 20% | 3.7% | 24% | 13% | 2.7% | 26% | 3.7% | < 1% | 23% |
| 65 | 97.5% | < 1% | 56% | 85% | 3.5% | 35% | 53% | 6% | 20% | 43% | 5% | 25% | 43% | 5% | 22% | 30% | 4.6% | 15% | 24% | 4.2% | 16% | 16% | 3.1% | 19% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 14% |
| 64 | 98.3% | < 1% | 49% | 88% | 3.0% | 26% | 58% | 6% | 12% | 49% | 6% | 18% | 48% | 6% | 15% | 35% | 5.0% | 8% | 29% | 4.6% | 11% | 19% | 3.6% | 13% | 7% | 1.6% | 8% |
| 63 | 98.8% | < 1% | 44% | 91% | 2.5% | 19% | 64% | 5% | 7% | 55% | 6% | 12% | 54% | 6% | 11% | 40% | 5% | 4.3% | 34% | 4.9% | 8% | 24% | 4.1% | 9% | 9% | 2.0% | 4% |
| 62 | 99.17% | < 1% | 39% | 93% | 2.1% | 14% | 69% | 5% | 3.5% | 60% | 5% | 9% | 60% | 6% | 8% | 45% | 5% | 2.0% | 39% | 5% | 6% | 28% | 4.5% | 7% | 11% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| 61 | 99.45% | < 1% | 37% | 95% | 1.7% | 11% | 73% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 65% | 5% | 7% | 65% | 5% | 6% | 51% | 6% | < 1% | 45% | 5% | 4.3% | 33% | 4.9% | 6% | 14% | 2.8% | < 1% |
| 60 | 99.64% | < 1% | 35% | 96.0% | 1.4% | 10% | 78% | 4.4% | < 1% | 70% | 5.0% | 6% | 70% | 5% | 6% | 57% | 6% | < 1% | 50% | 6% | 4.0% | 38% | 5% | 6% | 17% | 3.3% | < 1% |
| 59 | 99.76% | < 1% | 33% | 97.1% | 1.1% | 10% | 82% | 3.9% | < 1% | 75% | 4.6% | 5% | 75% | 4.7% | 5% | 62% | 5% | < 1% | 56% | 6% | 3.8% | 44% | 5% | 5% | 21% | 3.8% | < 1% |
| 58 | 99.85% | < 1% | 35% | 97.9% | < 1% | 10% | 85% | 3.5% | < 1% | 79% | 4.2% | 5% | 79% | 4.3% | 5% | 67% | 5% | < 1% | 61% | 5% | 3.7% | 49% | 6% | 5% | 25% | 4.2% | < 1% |
| 57 | 99.91% | < 1% | 33% | 98.5% | < 1% | 10% | 88% | 3.0% | < 1% | 83% | 3.8% | 5% | 83% | 3.9% | 5% | 72% | 4.9% | < 1% | 66% | 5% | 4.0% | 55% | 6% | 6% | 30% | 4.6% | < 1% |
| 56 | 99.94% | < 1% | 39% | 99.0% | < 1% | 8% | 91% | 2.5% | < 1% | 86% | 3.3% | 5% | 86% | 3.4% | 5% | 77% | 4.5% | < 1% | 71% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 60% | 5% | 5% | 35% | 5.0% | < 1% |
| 55 | 99.97% | < 1% | 35% | 99.32% | < 1% | 9% | 93% | 2.1% | < 1% | 89% | 2.8% | 5% | 89% | 2.9% | 5% | 81% | 4.1% | < 1% | 76% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 65% | 5% | 5% | 40% | 5% | < 1% |
| 54 | 99.98% | < 1% | 32% | 99.54% | < 1% | 10% | 95% | 1.7% | < 1% | 92% | 2.4% | 5% | 91% | 2.5% | 5% | 84% | 3.6% | < 1% | 80% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 70% | 5% | 5% | 45% | 5% | < 1% |
| 53 | 99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.70% | < 1% | 9% | 96.0% | 1.4% | < 1% | 93% | 2.0% | 5% | 93% | 2.0% | 5% | 87% | 3.1% | < 1% | 84% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 75% | 4.7% | 5% | 51% | 6% | < 1% |
| 52 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.81% | < 1% | 9% | 97.1% | 1.1% | < 1% | 95.1% | 1.6% | 5% | 95.1% | 1.6% | 5% | 90% | 2.7% | < 1% | 87% | 3.2% | 4% | 79% | 4.2% | 5% | 57% | 6% | < 1% |
| 51 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.88% | < 1% | 10% | 97.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 96.4% | 1.3% | 5% | 96.4% | 1.3% | 5% | 92% | 2.2% | < 1% | 90% | 2.8% | 4% | 83% | 3.8% | 5% | 62% | 5% | < 1% |
| 50 | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 99.92% | < 1% | 9% | 98.6% | < 1% | < 1% | 97.4% | < 1% | 5% | 97.4% | 1.0% | 6% | 94% | 1.8% | < 1% | 92% | 2.3% | 4% | 86% | 3.3% | 6% | 67% | 5% | < 1% |
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Important matches for avoiding relegation | |||
| Luton vs Burnley (2.3%) | Home Win (36%) | Draw (24%) | Away Win (40%) |
| Burnley | 66% | 71% | 80% |
| Luton | 20% | 13% | 10% |
| Everton vs Luton (2.3%) | Home Win (59%) | Draw (21%) | Away Win (20%) |
| Everton | 74% | 64% | 58% |
| Luton | 11% | 15% | 22% |
| Luton | Sheffield United | Bournemouth | Everton | Burnley | Wolves | Forest | Chelsea | Fulham | Crystal Palace | |||||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 54 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.7% | < 1% | 100% | 3.3% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.4% | 100% | 17% | 3.3% | 100% | 24% | 4.1% | 100% | 29% | 4.6% | 100% |
| 53 | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.6% | < 1% | 100% | 2.4% | < 1% | 100% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 100% | 7% | 1.8% | 100% | 21% | 3.8% | 100% | 29% | 4.5% | 100% | 34% | 5.0% | 100% |
| 52 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.3% | < 1% | 100% | 2.2% | < 1% | 100% | 3.3% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 10% | 2.1% | 100% | 25% | 4.2% | 100% | 33% | 4.9% | 100% | 39% | 5% | 100% |
| 51 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.8% | < 1% | 100% | 3.1% | < 1% | 100% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 100% | 8% | 1.9% | 100% | 12% | 2.6% | 100% | 30% | 4.7% | 100% | 39% | 5% | 100% | 44% | 5% | 100% |
| 50 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.5% | < 1% | 100% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 100% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 10% | 2.3% | 100% | 15% | 3.0% | 100% | 35% | 5.0% | 100% | 44% | 5% | 100% | 50% | 6% | 100% |
| 49 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.5% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.4% | 100% | 8% | 1.8% | 100% | 13% | 2.7% | 100% | 19% | 3.6% | 100% | 40% | 5% | 100% | 50% | 6% | 100% | 56% | 6% | 100% |
| 48 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 100% | 7% | 1.8% | 100% | 10% | 2.2% | 100% | 16% | 3.2% | 100% | 23% | 4.0% | 100% | 46% | 6% | 100% | 55% | 6% | 100% | 61% | 6% | 100% |
| 47 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 6% | 1.5% | 100% | 10% | 2.2% | 100% | 13% | 2.7% | 100% | 20% | 3.7% | 100% | 27% | 4.5% | 100% | 51% | 6% | 100% | 61% | 6% | 100% | 66% | 5% | 100% |
| 46 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | 8% | 1.9% | 100% | 12% | 2.6% | >99.99% | 16% | 3.1% | 100% | 24% | 4.3% | 100% | 32% | 4.9% | 100% | 57% | 6% | 100% | 66% | 5% | 100% | 72% | 5% | 100% |
| 45 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.7% | < 1% | 100% | 10% | 2.3% | >99.99% | 15% | 3.1% | 100% | 19% | 3.6% | 100% | 29% | 4.7% | 100% | 37% | 5% | 100% | 62% | 5% | 100% | 71% | 5% | 100% | 76% | 4.7% | 100% |
| 44 | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | 2.4% | < 1% | 99.9% | 13% | 2.8% | >99.99% | 19% | 3.6% | >99.99% | 24% | 4.1% | >99.99% | 34% | 5% | 99.98% | 43% | 6% | >99.99% | 68% | 5% | >99.99% | 76% | 4.7% | 99.99% | 80% | 4.2% | >99.99% |
| 43 | 1.4% | < 1% | 99.9% | 3.3% | < 1% | 99.8% | 16% | 3.3% | 99.9% | 23% | 4.1% | 99.9% | 28% | 4.5% | 99.9% | 39% | 5% | 99.95% | 49% | 6% | 99.97% | 73% | 4.9% | 99.98% | 80% | 4.2% | 99.97% | 84% | 3.7% | 99.97% |
| 42 | 1.9% | < 1% | 99.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 99.5% | 20% | 3.8% | 99.7% | 28% | 4.6% | 99.7% | 33% | 5.0% | 99.8% | 45% | 6% | 99.8% | 54% | 6% | 99.8% | 77% | 4.5% | 99.9% | 84% | 3.8% | 99.9% | 87% | 3.3% | 99.9% |
| 41 | 2.7% | < 1% | 98% | 6% | 1.5% | 98% | 24% | 4.2% | 99.1% | 33% | 5% | 99.3% | 38% | 5% | 99.3% | 51% | 6% | 99.6% | 60% | 6% | 99.6% | 81% | 4.2% | 99.7% | 87% | 3.3% | 99.5% | 90% | 2.8% | 99.6% |
| 40 | 3.7% | 1.0% | 96% | 8% | 1.9% | 96% | 29% | 4.7% | 97.7% | 38% | 5% | 98.0% | 44% | 5% | 98.2% | 56% | 6% | 98.6% | 65% | 5% | 98.8% | 85% | 3.6% | 99.1% | 90% | 2.8% | 98.9% | 93% | 2.3% | 99.0% |
| 39 | 5% | 1.3% | 91% | 10% | 2.4% | 91% | 34% | 5% | 95% | 44% | 6% | 95.6% | 49% | 6% | 95.9% | 62% | 6% | 96.7% | 71% | 5% | 97.0% | 88% | 3.2% | 97.8% | 92% | 2.3% | 97% | 94% | 1.9% | 97% |
| 38 | 7% | 1.7% | 84% | 13% | 2.9% | 84% | 40% | 5% | 90% | 50% | 6% | 91% | 55% | 6% | 92% | 67% | 5% | 93% | 75% | 4.8% | 94% | 91% | 2.7% | 95% | 94% | 1.9% | 94% | 95.9% | 1.5% | 94% |
| 37 | 9% | 2.1% | 73% | 17% | 3.4% | 74% | 46% | 6% | 83% | 56% | 6% | 84% | 61% | 6% | 85% | 73% | 5% | 87% | 80% | 4.4% | 88% | 93% | 2.2% | 91% | 95.8% | 1.5% | 88% | 97.0% | 1.2% | 88% |
| 36 | 11% | 2.6% | 59% | 21% | 3.9% | 61% | 52% | 6% | 72% | 61% | 6% | 75% | 66% | 5% | 75% | 77% | 4.7% | 78% | 84% | 3.9% | 80% | 95% | 1.8% | 82% | 96.9% | 1.2% | 80% | 97.9% | < 1% | 80% |
| 35 | 14% | 3.1% | 46% | 25% | 4.4% | 47% | 57% | 6% | 60% | 67% | 6% | 63% | 71% | 5% | 64% | 82% | 4.2% | 68% | 87% | 3.4% | 69% | 96.1% | 1.4% | 72% | 97.8% | < 1% | 68% | 98.6% | < 1% | 68% |
| 34 | 18% | 3.7% | 32% | 30% | 4.9% | 34% | 63% | 6% | 47% | 72% | 5% | 51% | 76% | 4.8% | 51% | 85% | 3.7% | 55% | 90% | 2.9% | 56% | 97.2% | 1.1% | 60% | 98.5% | < 1% | 54% | 99.05% | < 1% | 54% |
| 33 | 22% | 4.2% | 21% | 35% | 5% | 23% | 69% | 5% | 34% | 77% | 4.8% | 38% | 80% | 4.4% | 38% | 88% | 3.2% | 41% | 92% | 2.4% | 43% | 98.1% | < 1% | 45% | 99.00% | < 1% | 40% | 99.38% | < 1% | 42% |
| 32 | 27% | 4.7% | 12% | 41% | 6% | 14% | 74% | 5% | 23% | 81% | 4.3% | 26% | 84% | 3.8% | 27% | 91% | 2.7% | 29% | 94% | 2.0% | 31% | 98.7% | < 1% | 31% | 99.34% | < 1% | 28% | 99.59% | < 1% | 30% |
| 31 | 32% | 5% | 7% | 47% | 6% | 8% | 78% | 4.7% | 15% | 85% | 3.8% | 17% | 88% | 3.3% | 17% | 93% | 2.2% | 19% | 96.0% | 1.6% | 20% | 99.11% | < 1% | 22% | 99.58% | < 1% | 18% | 99.75% | < 1% | 17% |
| 30 | 38% | 6% | 3.4% | 53% | 6% | 4.0% | 83% | 4.2% | 8% | 88% | 3.3% | 10% | 90% | 2.8% | 10% | 95.1% | 1.8% | 12% | 97.2% | 1.2% | 12% | 99.42% | < 1% | 12% | 99.75% | < 1% | 11% | 99.85% | < 1% | 10% |
| 29 | 44% | 6% | 1.5% | 59% | 6% | 1.9% | 86% | 3.7% | 5% | 91% | 2.8% | 6% | 93% | 2.3% | 5% | 96.5% | 1.4% | 6% | 98.0% | < 1% | 7% | 99.63% | < 1% | 9% | 99.85% | < 1% | 6% | 99.91% | < 1% | 5% |
| 28 | 50% | 6% | < 1% | 65% | 6% | < 1% | 89% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 93% | 2.2% | 3% | 95% | 1.9% | 3% | 97.5% | 1.0% | 3% | 98.7% | < 1% | 3% | 99.77% | < 1% | 4% | 99.91% | < 1% | 2% | 99.95% | < 1% | 4% |
| 27 | 56% | 6% | < 1% | 71% | 6% | < 1% | 92% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 95.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 96.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 98.3% | < 1% | 2% | 99.14% | < 1% | 2% | 99.86% | < 1% | 2% | 99.95% | < 1% | 1% | 99.97% | < 1% | 1% |
| 26 | 62% | 6% | < 1% | 76% | 5% | < 1% | 94% | 2.1% | < 1% | 96.6% | 1.4% | < 1% | 97.2% | 1.1% | < 1% | 98.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.45% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.91% | < 1% | 1% | 99.97% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.99% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 25 | 68% | 6% | < 1% | 80% | 4.7% | < 1% | 95.8% | 1.6% | < 1% | 97.7% | 1.1% | < 1% | 98.1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.28% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.66% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.95% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.98% | < 1% | 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - |
| 24 | 74% | 5% | < 1% | 84% | 4.1% | < 1% | 97.0% | 1.3% | < 1% | 98.5% | < 1% | < 1% | 98.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.55% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.80% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.97% | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | >99.99% | < 1% | - |
| 23 | 79% | 5% | < 1% | 88% | 3.6% | < 1% | 98.0% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.0% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.15% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.73% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.89% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | >99.99% | < 1% | - |
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Europe | EL (or CL) | CL | |
| Fourth team | 100% | 100% | 99.31% |
| Fifth team | 99.98% | 99.90% | 4.7% |
| FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 63% |
| League cup winners | >99.99% | 75% | 66% |
| Sixth team | 94% | 74% | 3.7% |
| Seventh team | 66% | 15% | 3.1% |
| Eighth team | 20% | 9% | 2.6% |
Simulated points for winner: 87 - 95
Simulated points for fourth: 67 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 34 - 38
Coming Matches
| Home | Draw | Away | ||
| Aston Villa | 47% | 24% | 29% | Brighton |
| Everton | 59% | 21% | 20% | Luton |
| Man United | 59% | 21% | 20% | Crystal Palace |
| Newcastle | 68% | 18% | 14% | Burnley |
| West Ham | 68% | 18% | 14% | Sheffield United |
| Wolves | 13% | 17% | 69% | Man City |
| Bournemouth | 21% | 22% | 57% | Arsenal |
| Tottenham | 36% | 24% | 40% | Liverpool |
| Forest | 34% | 24% | 42% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 45% | 24% | 31% | Chelsea |
| Luton | 36% | 24% | 40% | Burnley |