Copa: Argentina and Canada through to the semifinals

 

Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Argentina (100%)
		Argentina (87%)
Canada (100%)
				Argentina (58%) Colombia (16%) Brazil (14%)
Colombia (79%) Panama (21%)
		Colombia (39%) Brazil (32%) Uruguay (25%)
Brazil (54%) Uruguay (46%)

 

Euro: Spain and France through to semifinals

We notice that in the simulations, either Spain or France win the Euros in 62% of the times, so it's probably not right to call it the moral final, since there is quite a substantial possibility the champions come from the other half.

 

Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Spain (100%)
		France (57%) Spain (43%)
France (100%)
				France (37%) Spain (25%) Netherlands (17%) England (17%)
Netherlands (75%) Turkey (25%)
		Netherlands (42%) England (40%) Switzerland (11%)
England (70%) Switzerland (30%)

Copa: Predictions of quarterfinals

 

Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Argentina (77%) Ecuador (23%)
		Argentina (66%) Ecuador (15%)
Venezuela (53%) Canada (47%)
				Argentina (44%) Colombia (19%) Brazil (16%)
Colombia (79%) Panama (21%)
		Colombia (39%) Brazil (32%) Uruguay (25%)
Brazil (54%) Uruguay (46%)

Euro: Predictions of quarterfinals

 

Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Germany (50%) Spain (50%)
		France (34%) Spain (23%) Germany (23%) Portugal (20%)
France (59%) Portugal (41%)
				France (22%) Netherlands (18%) England (17%) Spain (14%) Germany (14%)
Netherlands (75%) Turkey (25%)
		Netherlands (42%) England (40%) Switzerland (11%)
England (70%) Switzerland (30%)

Copa: Host nation USA is eliminated at group stage

 

%

Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Argentina (100%)
		Argentina (77%) Ecuador (23%)
Ecuador (100%)
				Argentina (66%) Ecuador (15%)
Venezuela (100%)
		Venezuela (53%) Canada (47%)
Canada (100%)
						Argentina (44%) Brazil (18%) Colombia (17%)
Uruguay (100%)
		Uruguay (47%) Brazil (32%) Colombia (21%)
Brazil (60%) Colombia (40%)
				Brazil (36%) Colombia (35%) Uruguay (25%)
Colombia (60%) Brazil (40%)
		Colombia (47%) Brazil (32%) Panama (20%)
Panama (100%)

 

Copa: Ecuador join Venezuela to the quarterfinals

 

Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Argentina (100%)
		Argentina (77%) Ecuador (23%)
Ecuador (100%)
				Argentina (66%) Ecuador (15%)
Venezuela (100%)
		Venezuela (52%) Canada (48%)
Canada (100%)
						Argentina (44%) Brazil (17%) Colombia (16%)
Uruguay (99%)
		Uruguay (46%) Brazil (32%) Colombia (21%)
Brazil (60%) Colombia (40%)
				Brazil (34%) Colombia (33%) Uruguay (25%)
Colombia (60%) Brazil (40%)
		Colombia (43%) Brazil (29%) United States (17%)
Panama (53%) United States (46%)

Euro: France and Portugal through to the quarterfinals

 

Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Spain (100%)
		Germany (50%) Spain (50%)
Germany (100%)
				France (34%) Spain (23%) Germany (23%) Portugal (20%)
Portugal (100%)
		France (59%) Portugal (41%)
France (100%)
						France (22%) England (18%) Spain (14%) Germany (14%) Netherlands (13%)
Netherlands (84%)
		Netherlands (57%) Austria (27%) Turkey (11%)
Austria (64%) Turkey (36%)
				England (42%) Netherlands (31%) Austria (11%)
England (100%)
		England (70%) Switzerland (30%)
Switzerland (100%)