Thursday, March 3, 2016

Premier League

Table below is based on 1,000,000 simulations of remaining matches of Premier League. The left column for each team indicates the probability (%) that the team will finish on that many points, and the right column indicates chance (%) that the team win the title if they finish on that many points.


PointLeicesterTottenhamArsenalMan City
870.0168100------
850.103100------
840.1821000.052299.2----
830.27100------
820.90399.90.26198.9----
811.1299.30.38598.20.1497.8--
801.9398.80.58296.7--0.15397
793.4397.51.6693.50.62493.1--
783.9694.31.94890.91686.40.65688.2
775.7890.43.282.91.18810.76282
767.5483.35.0474.33.3570.61.372.7
757.8673.45.55633.657.62.9360.7
749.4562.27.5751.45.3346.13.1447.6
739.9148.48.8937.78.1631.35.0834.7
729.1734.38.8925.58.0120.66.822.5
719.13239.9515.89.88127.213.8
707.913.49.548.5210.85.739.086.84
696.317.048.384.039.512.749.523.11
685.183.157.71.729.471.049.11.25
673.751.26.280.5838.20.3299.30.424
662.510.4074.70.166.30.09848.210.112
651.650.1093.610.07485.140.03316.970.0273
640.9790.02042.40.008343.620.002765.970
630.50301.520.006592.350.004254.50

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