Copa: Group D

Argentina won with 5-0 against Panama after a hat-trick by Messi in second half, which gives team a ticket to the quarter-finals. Chile won against Bolivia (2-1) after a last minute goal, which gives them good chances t reach a quarter final.

Group D	m	p	+/-	chance
Argentina	2	6	7-1	100%
Chile	2	3	3-3	85%
Panama	2	3	2-6	15%
Bolivia	2	0	2-4	0%

Chile clinch quarter-final if

• the draw or win against Panama

Panama clinch quarter-final if

•  the win against Chile

Probability teams reach each round
Country	QF	SF	Final	Champion
Argentina	100	88	56	35
Colombia	100	64	30	17
Mexico	100	52	26	11
Venezuela	100	10	1.9	0.31
Brazil	88	61	37	19
Chile	85	45	22	9.2
United States	73	28	11	3.8
Ecuador	72	27	8.7	3.3
Peru	40	14	4.1	1.2
Paraguay	26	6.1	1.9	0.47
Panama	15	3.8	0.81	0.12
Costa Rica	1.1	0.31	0.11	0.031
Bolivia	0	0	0	0
Uruguay	0	0	0	0
Jamaica	0	0	0	0
Haiti	0	0	0	0