European Championship

Some stats for Euro 16, which I will try to update daily. As usual they stats have been estimated by simulating the championship a million times.

Group A	m	p	+/-	Chance
Albania	0	0	0-0	32%
France	0	0	0-0	97%
Romania	0	0	0-0	65%
Switzerland	0	0	0-0	67%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
France	Poland (22%)	Portugal (14%)
	Ukraine (21%)	England (14%)
	Northern Ireland (12%)	Austria (13%)
Romania	Ukraine (24%)	Spain (23%)
	Germany (19%)	Portugal (12%)
	Poland (19%)	Belgium (8.4%)
Albania	England (21%)	Spain (21%)
	Ukraine (21%)	Portugal (13%)
	Germany (19%)	Belgium (11%)
Switzerland	Ukraine (25%)	Spain (24%)
	Poland (20%)	Portugal (11%)
	Germany (19%)	Belgium (7.9%)

Group B	m	p	+/-	Chance
England	0	0	0-0	93%
Russia	0	0	0-0	66%
Slovakia	0	0	0-0	66%
Wales	0	0	0-0	40%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
England	Romania (11%)	Portugal (21%)
	Switzerland (9.5%)	France (16%)
	Turkey (9.3%)	Belgium (14%)
Slovakia	Germany (18%)	France (32%)
	Austria (14%)	Belgium (10%)
	Portugal (12%)	Italy (8.5%)
Russia	Germany (20%)	France (31%)
	Austria (14%)	Belgium (10%)
	Portugal (12%)	Italy (8.6%)
Wales	Germany (27%)	France (31%)
	Austria (13%)	Belgium (11%)
	Portugal (11%)	Italy (8.6%)

Group C	m	p	+/-	Chance
Germany	0	0	0-0	96%
Northern Ireland	0	0	0-0	28%
Poland	0	0	0-0	63%
Ukraine	0	0	0-0	77%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Germany	Russia (14%)	Spain (21%)
	Switzerland (13%)	Belgium (19%)
	Romania (13%)	Italy (13%)
Northern Ireland	France (41%)	Spain (23%)
	Switzerland (20%)	Portugal (8.1%)
	Romania (18%)	Belgium (7.3%)
Poland	France (34%)	Spain (25%)
	Switzerland (21%)	Belgium (8.8%)
	Romania (19%)	Turkey (8%)
Ukraine	France (27%)	Spain (26%)
	Switzerland (22%)	Belgium (10%)
	Romania (20%)	Turkey (8.9%)

Group D	m	p	+/-	Chance
Croatia	0	0	0-0	62%
Czechia	0	0	0-0	48%
Spain	0	0	0-0	91%
Turkey	0	0	0-0	65%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Spain	Belgium (18%)	Germany (25%)
	Italy (16%)	Ukraine (16%)
	Ireland (12%)	Switzerland (10%)
Croatia	Belgium (21%)	Germany (28%)
	Italy (17%)	Ukraine (12%)
	England (13%)	Portugal (7.8%)
Turkey	Belgium (21%)	Germany (28%)
	Italy (17%)	Ukraine (12%)
	England (13%)	Portugal (7.8%)
Czechia	Belgium (19%)	Germany (26%)
	England (17%)	Portugal (10%)
	Italy (15%)	Ukraine (10%)

Group E	m	p	+/-	Chance
Belgium	0	0	0-0	84%
Ireland	0	0	0-0	53%
Italy	0	0	0-0	77%
Sweden	0	0	0-0	52%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Sweden	Portugal (22%)	England (22%)
	Spain (20%)	Germany (18%)
	Turkey (11%)	Ukraine (8%)
Ireland	Portugal (21%)	England (21%)
	Spain (20%)	Germany (18%)
	Turkey (11%)	Ukraine (8.1%)
Italy	Portugal (21%)	Germany (24%)
	Spain (18%)	England (20%)
	Turkey (14%)	Ukraine (7.9%)
Belgium	Spain (19%)	Germany (28%)
	Portugal (18%)	England (18%)
	Turkey (16%)	Ukraine (8.3%)

Group F	m	p	+/-	Chance
Austria	0	0	0-0	72%
Hungary	0	0	0-0	54%
Iceland	0	0	0-0	48%
Portugal	0	0	0-0	90%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Portugal	Italy (18%)	England (26%)
	Belgium (17%)	France (21%)
	Sweden (13%)	Switzerland (5.8%)
Hungary	Spain (14%)	France (33%)
	Slovakia (13%)	England (10%)
	Russia (12%)	Ukraine (7.2%)
Austria	Slovakia (13%)	France (32%)
	Russia (13%)	England (14%)
	England (10%)	Switzerland (6.3%)
Iceland	Spain (16%)	France (32%)
	Slovakia (12%)	England (9%)
	Russia (12%)	Ukraine (7.7%)

Country	Last 16	QF	SF	F	Champions
France	98	76	58	39	27
Germany	96	74	50	31	19
Spain	91	63	41	25	13
England	94	65	39	22	11
Belgium	85	49	26	13	5.9
Portugal	91	53	27	13	5.7
Italy	78	40	20	8.9	3.6
Ukraine	77	39	18	7.5	2.6
Turkey	65	30	13	5.3	1.8
Croatia	63	29	12	4.8	1.6
Austria	73	31	11	3.7	1.1
Switzerland	68	28	11	3.7	0.99
Poland	64	26	10	3.4	0.92
Slovakia	66	29	9.6	3.1	0.9
Russia	66	28	9.2	2.9	0.81
Romania	66	25	9.6	3.2	0.79
Sweden	53	20	7.4	2.4	0.66
Ireland	53	20	7.3	2.4	0.65
Czechia	49	18	6.5	2.1	0.56
Hungary	54	18	4.6	1.2	0.26
Iceland	49	14	3.5	0.82	0.15
Wales	41	12	2.7	0.59	0.11
Northern Ireland	29	7	1.7	0.35	0.053
Albania	32	7.6	1.7	0.35	0.049