Peru won their crucial match against Ecuador giving them good chances (35%) while Ecuador only have 2%. Peru's chances boosted dramatically as Argentina only drew against Venezuela, Chile lost against Bolivia and Paraguay lost against Uruguay.
In the next the most important match is played between Argentina and Peru, where the winner has very good chances to qualify.
| Win | Draw | Lose |
|
|
| Lose | Draw | Win | Information (mBit) |
| 99% | 68.7% | 41.6% | Argentina | - | Peru | 24.9% | 55.5% | 90.4% | 244.467 |
| 81.4% | 52.2% | 19.2% | Chile | - | Ecuador | 0.00% | 2.7% | 16.8% | 187.811 |
| 99% | 93.0% | 66.7% | Colombia | - | Paraguay | 0.03% | 1.8% | 23.7% | 170.32 |
| Group | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Brazil | 16 | +27 | 37 | 40.8 | 100% | 100% |
| Uruguay | 16 | +10 | 27 | 31.3 | 99.99% | 99.9% |
| Colombia | 16 | +3 | 26 | 29.8 | 95.5% | 95.0% |
| Peru | 16 | +1 | 24 | 25.8 | 38.8% | 35.2% |
| -------------------- |
| Argentina | 16 | +1 | 24 | 28.3 | 89.4% | 89.1% |
| ======== |
| Chile | 16 | +1 | 23 | 26.5 | 69.3% | 67.8% |
| Paraguay | 16 | -6 | 21 | 23.3 | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Ecuador | 16 | 0 | 20 | 21.5 | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Bolivia | 16 | -20 | 13 | 13.9 | - |
| Venezuela | 16 | -17 | 8 | 10.0 | - |
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