Sunday, April 8, 2018

PL: Man U postponed City's title party

City missed the opportunity to celebrate the league title when local rivalries, Man United, were invited for the party. Chelsea's chance for CL ticket seems more and more theoretical. Man United only need two more wins to secure their top-4. Liverpool and Tottenham only need 3 more wins to be sure to clinch top-4.


Expected Outcome
TeamPointsExpected +/-Champ%Top4%
Man City97.2105-29100100
Man United83.676-310.008100
Liverpool76.985-40097.8
Tottenham79.577-33099.6
Chelsea68.966-3702.6
Arsenal64.572-5000.0326




Man United have clinched CL, if they take 6 (of 18) more points
Man United have more than 99.9% chance, if they take 5 (of 18) more points
Man United have more than 95% chance, if they take 3 (of 18) more points


Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 9 (of 15) more points
Liverpool have more than 99% chance, if they take 8 (of 15) more points
Liverpool have more than 90% chance, if they take 6 (of 15) more points
Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 3 (of 15) more points
Liverpool have more than 10% chance, if they take 1 (of 15) more points


Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 9 (of 18) more points
Tottenham have more than 99% chance, if they take 8 (of 18) more points
Tottenham have more than 95% chance, if they take 7 (of 18) more points
Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 6 (of 18) more points
Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 3 (of 18) more points


Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 18 (of 18) more points
Chelsea have more than 5% chance, if they take 16 (of 18) more points
Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 14 (of 18) more points
Chelsea have chance, if they take 11 (of 18) more points


Arsenal have more than 1% chance, if they take 18 (of 18) more points
Arsenal have chance, if they take 15 (of 18) more points


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