City missed the opportunity to celebrate the league title when local rivalries, Man United, were invited for the party. Chelsea's chance for CL ticket seems more and more theoretical. Man United only need two more wins to secure their top-4. Liverpool and Tottenham only need 3 more wins to be sure to clinch top-4.
Expected Outcome |
Team | Points | Expected +/- | Champ% | Top4% |
Man City | 97.2 | 105-29 | 100 | 100 |
|
Man United | 83.6 | 76-31 | 0.008 | 100 |
|
Liverpool | 76.9 | 85-40 | 0 | 97.8 |
|
Tottenham | 79.5 | 77-33 | 0 | 99.6 |
|
Chelsea | 68.9 | 66-37 | 0 | 2.6 |
|
Arsenal | 64.5 | 72-50 | 0 | 0.0326 |
|
Man United have clinched CL, if they take 6 (of 18) more points |
Man United have more than 99.9% chance, if they take 5 (of 18) more points |
Man United have more than 95% chance, if they take 3 (of 18) more points |
Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 9 (of 15) more points |
Liverpool have more than 99% chance, if they take 8 (of 15) more points |
Liverpool have more than 90% chance, if they take 6 (of 15) more points |
Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 3 (of 15) more points |
Liverpool have more than 10% chance, if they take 1 (of 15) more points |
Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 9 (of 18) more points |
Tottenham have more than 99% chance, if they take 8 (of 18) more points |
Tottenham have more than 95% chance, if they take 7 (of 18) more points |
Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 6 (of 18) more points |
Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 3 (of 18) more points |
Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 18 (of 18) more points |
Chelsea have more than 5% chance, if they take 16 (of 18) more points |
Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 14 (of 18) more points |
Chelsea have chance, if they take 11 (of 18) more points |
Arsenal have more than 1% chance, if they take 18 (of 18) more points |
Arsenal have chance, if they take 15 (of 18) more points |
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