Wednesday, January 9, 2019

Asian Cup: Group E - Match Day 1

Saudi and Qatar won their matches as expected.

Group E

PldGFGAGDPtsLast 16Group WinnerRunner up
Saudi Arabia140+4398%57%32%
Qatar120+2395%36%46%
Lebanon102-2042%4%11%
North Korea104-4035%3%11%

Next Saudi play Lebanon and a point would suffice for them clinch a spot in last 16. Similarly Qatar play North Korea and a point would suffice to clinch qualification.

Probability that teams advance to last 16 given different results in next matches:

Sau - LebQatar - North Korea
3-03-12-03-22-11-00-01-12-23-30-11-22-30-21-30-3
3-0Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%95%94%97%86%87%75%
Leb25%24%23%23%22%24%21%22%22%25%20%19%20%22%17%20%
Nor15%18%17%20%20%19%38%37%37%38%63%64%63%68%73%76%
3-1Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%94%95%95%85%88%76%
Leb29%28%28%28%28%28%28%27%28%28%25%22%25%25%19%23%
Nor14%18%16%22%20%20%36%37%37%36%62%64%62%68%74%77%
2-0Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%94%95%96%85%88%76%
Leb28%27%28%27%27%28%27%27%27%27%23%21%21%24%19%24%
Nor15%17%16%22%21%18%37%37%37%37%63%65%65%70%74%74%
3-2Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%95%95%96%86%87%76%
Leb34%35%32%33%35%33%33%33%33%33%27%27%27%27%26%29%
Nor16%17%16%23%20%19%38%37%38%36%63%63%64%70%70%77%
2-1Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%95%96%96%85%87%74%
Leb33%33%32%33%32%32%33%32%32%34%26%26%25%26%22%29%
Nor14%17%17%20%20%20%37%37%37%36%63%63%63%70%73%75%
1-0Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%94%95%95%85%88%74%
Leb32%32%31%33%31%32%33%31%32%31%26%25%25%27%21%28%
Nor15%17%17%21%20%19%36%36%37%36%64%64%63%69%74%77%
0-0Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%76%78%79%73%75%71%
Leb45%43%43%43%44%44%45%44%46%45%40%40%40%41%40%39%
Nor15%18%16%21%20%19%34%34%33%36%67%67%67%68%69%72%
1-1Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%77%78%77%74%75%71%
Leb44%46%44%45%44%44%44%44%45%42%40%42%42%41%41%41%
Nor15%16%17%20%20%20%34%34%34%36%67%67%67%68%67%70%
2-2Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%75%77%80%74%76%74%
Leb44%46%45%45%45%44%46%45%45%47%42%40%40%41%42%40%
Nor14%16%17%20%20%19%35%34%35%33%66%67%67%68%68%69%
3-3Sau100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%76%77%73%76%74%75%
Leb45%47%46%43%44%45%44%46%42%44%43%40%44%36%37%41%
Nor14%17%15%23%21%20%32%34%38%35%66%68%66%73%73%68%
0-1Sau99%99%99%99%99%99%89%88%89%89%81%81%81%80%81%84%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%68%69%70%66%66%61%
Leb70%73%71%71%71%72%71%72%71%70%72%70%70%72%72%68%
Nor12%11%12%15%16%14%35%35%35%35%61%62%62%62%64%70%
1-2Sau99%99%99%99%99%99%88%88%88%87%82%81%82%81%81%81%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%67%69%68%66%66%63%
Leb71%71%71%71%71%72%72%71%72%70%72%72%70%72%73%70%
Nor11%13%12%16%16%14%34%35%34%37%61%60%62%62%62%68%
2-3Sau99%99%100%99%99%99%90%89%90%86%83%82%80%79%81%78%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%68%69%70%67%69%61%
Leb70%73%69%70%71%69%73%72%75%70%70%73%69%73%69%71%
Nor12%12%14%15%16%16%33%34%31%37%61%62%63%62%62%75%
0-2Sau98%98%99%99%98%99%88%86%88%86%79%82%78%80%80%80%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%70%70%73%66%67%59%
Leb71%74%71%74%74%72%71%73%75%76%72%72%73%73%75%74%
Nor11%12%14%14%15%14%36%36%33%34%63%60%60%64%60%70%
1-3Sau99%99%99%99%99%98%88%88%88%86%82%81%81%79%81%81%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%69%68%69%67%67%63%
Leb74%75%72%75%71%72%75%73%72%74%73%74%72%73%73%73%
Nor10%12%12%14%15%14%33%35%36%36%60%61%61%63%65%68%
0-3Sau96%97%97%98%98%97%85%87%86%80%80%81%77%79%82%82%
Qat100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%70%68%70%69%64%61%
Leb73%71%75%76%75%74%77%75%75%78%74%74%77%73%75%77%
Nor11%15%12%15%14%14%33%33%35%38%59%62%63%61%63%64%

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