Figure below shows how teams' chances to win the tournament have evolved over the first 90 minutes. The two favorites, Barcelona and Man City, haven't played yet. Real Madrid climbed and passed Juventus with with a good result against Ajax; increased their chances for quarterfinal from 72% to 91%. Both Tottenham and PSG had difficult matches (58% and 60%, respectively) and with their very good results in the first match, they have virtually secured (95% and 93%, respectively) spots in the quarterfinals and thereby increased probability to win the tournament.
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