Posts
| Group A | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 31% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Brugge | 53% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 21% |
| 76% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Paris SG | 86% if they win against Brugge; otherwise 58% |
| 80% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Real Madrid | 92% if they win against Brugge; otherwise 70% |
| 13% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Galatasaray | 28% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 8% |
Real Madrid and Paris are favourites. Key match is between Paris and Brugge.
| Group B | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 89% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Bayern | 97% if they win against Olympiakos; otherwise 81% |
| 81% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Tottenham | 90% if they draw (or win) against Olympiakos; otherwise 61% |
| 4% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Crvena Zvezda | 15% if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 2% |
| 25% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Olympiakos | 48% if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 15% |
Group B is the least uncertain group with Bayern abd Tottenham as favourites.
| Group C | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 37% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Atalanta | 55% if they win against Shakhtar; otherwise 21% |
| 97% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Man City | 98.9% if they win against Atalanta; otherwise 93% |
| 44% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Shakhtar | 61% if they win against Atalanta; otherwise 26% |
| 23% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Dinamo Zagreb | 38% if they win against Shakhtar; otherwise 12% |
Man City big favourites and more uncertain between the other teams.
| Group D | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 40% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Leverkusen | 61% if they win against Juventus; otherwise 28% |
| 73% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Juventus | 85% if they win against Leverkusen; otherwise 55% |
| 77% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Atletico | 87% if they win against Leverkusen; otherwise 60% |
| 9.4% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Lok Moskva | 19% if they win against Leverkusen; otherwise 5% |
Tough group where Leverkusen is challenging favourites Atletico and Juventus.
| Group E | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 96% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Liverpool | 98.3% if they win against Salzburg; otherwise 90% |
| 41% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Salzburg | 62% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 24% |
| 51% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Napoli | 69% if they win against Salzburg; otherwise 31% |
| 12% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Genk | 25% if they win against Napoli; otherwise 6% |
Champions Liverpool are favourites in Group E and Napoli and Salzburg are fighting about the second spot.
| Group F | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 92% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Barcelona | 98% if they win against Inter; otherwise 86% |
| 60% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Dortmund | 75% if they win against Inter; otherwise 40% |
| 33% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Inter | 54% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 19% |
| 14% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Slavia Praha | 30% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 7% |
Tight group between Dortmund and Inter, while Barcelona are expected to win the group.
| Group G | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 27% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Zenit | 45% if they win against Benfica; otherwise 17% |
| 66% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Benfica | 78% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 50% |
| 66% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | RB Leipzig | 78% if they win against Lyon; otherwise 49% |
| 41% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Lyon | 60% if they win against RB Leipzig; otherwise 28% |
Group G is the most open group.
| Group H | |||||
| Chance | m | p | +/- | Key | |
| 70% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Chelsea | 82% if they win against Valencia; otherwise 54% |
| 65% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Ajax | 79% if they win against Valencia; otherwise 48% |
| 16% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Lille | 31% if they win against Ajax; otherwise 9.2% |
| 50% | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | Valencia | 68% if they win against Ajax; otherwise 35% |
Group H is predicted to become a three-horse race between Chelsea, Ajax and Valencia.
| Chance Finishing Group | Round Probabilities | |||||||||||||
| Team | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Last 16 | Quarter | Semifinal | Final | Winner | ||||||
| Liverpool | 83% | 13% | 3% | 96% | 81% | 62% | 45% | 29% | ||||||
| Man City | 85% | 11% | 3% | 97% | 80% | 60% | 42% | 26% | ||||||
| Barcelona | 72% | 20% | 6% | 92% | 67% | 44% | 25% | 13% | ||||||
| Bayern | 57% | 33% | 9% | 90% | 59% | 35% | 18% | 8% | ||||||
| Tottenham | 36% | 45% | 16% | 81% | 50% | 25% | 11% | 4% | ||||||
| Atletico | 45% | 32% | 18% | 77% | 44% | 22% | 9% | 4% | ||||||
| Juventus | 39% | 35% | 21% | 73% | 39% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||||||
| Chelsea | 40% | 30% | 21% | 70% | 40% | 18% | 7% | 3% | ||||||
| Real Madrid | 47% | 33% | 15% | 80% | 40% | 16% | 6% | 2% | ||||||
| Ajax | 33% | 31% | 24% | 65% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 2% | ||||||
| Paris SG | 40% | 36% | 18% | 76% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 1% | ||||||
| Benfica | 37% | 29% | 21% | 66% | 28% | 10% | 3% | 1% | ||||||
| RB Leipzig | 37% | 29% | 21% | 66% | 28% | 10% | 3% | < 1% | ||||||
| Dortmund | 18% | 42% | 27% | 60% | 25% | 10% | 3% | < 1% | ||||||
| Valencia | 22% | 28% | 32% | 50% | 21% | 8% | 2% | < 1% | ||||||
| Napoli | 9% | 41% | 34% | 51% | 20% | 7% | 2% | < 1% | ||||||
| Salzburg | 7% | 35% | 38% | 42% | 15% | 5% | 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Shakhtar | 7% | 37% | 32% | 44% | 15% | 4% | 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Leverkusen | 14% | 26% | 40% | 40% | 14% | 5% | 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Lyon | 17% | 24% | 30% | 41% | 12% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Atalanta | 5% | 31% | 34% | 36% | 11% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Inter | 8% | 26% | 39% | 33% | 10% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Olympiakos | 6% | 19% | 55% | 25% | 7% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Brugge | 10% | 22% | 41% | 31% | 7% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Dinamo Zagreb | 3% | 20% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Zenit | 10% | 17% | 28% | 27% | 6% | 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Lille | 5% | 11% | 23% | 16% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Slavia Praha | 2% | 12% | 28% | 14% | 3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Genk | 1% | 10% | 25% | 11% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Crvena Zvezda | < 1% | 3% | 20% | 4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Galatasaray | 3% | 10% | 26% | 13% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
| Lok Moskva | 2% | 7% | 21% | 9% | 2% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||||
Table shows probabilities for each team to finish 1st, 2nd and 3rd in the group as well as the probability that the team reach the different rounds.
No comments:
Post a Comment