Monday, July 13, 2020

PL - Three matches to go

These are the predictions of the last 3 matches in Premier League. Chelsea, Leicester and Man United are fighting over two tickets to CL. Chelsea have the advantage with one more point and that Leicester and Man United play in the last match.

Under them, Wolves, Sheffield U, Tottenham, Arsenal and Burnley are fighting over the two remaining tickets to Europe. At the botom we have listed the most important events for this fight, for example, that Tottenham win against Newcaste is key for Tottenham - more than doubling their chances.

In the relegation fight, West Ham, Watford, Bournemouth and Aston Villa are fighting over two new contracts, whereas Brighton almost have clinched a place in next season's Premier League.


TeamPldGDPtsaverage GDaverage PtsCLELContract
1. Liverpool35+4993+53.199.6100%100%100%
2. Man City35+5772+62.779.2100%100%100%
3. Chelsea35+1460+14.864.879%99.94%100%
4. Leicester35+2959+30.163.968%99.71%100%
5. Man United35+2659+26.463.449%99.86%100%
6. Wolves35+1155+10.8593.9%77%100%
7. Sheffield United35+554+3.7657.4< 1%45%100%
8. Tottenham35+952+9.8156.7< 1%43%100%
9. Arsenal35+750+7.5854.5< 1%25%100%
10. Burnley35-850-7.1754.7< 1%10%100%
11. Everton35-1145-9.0650.4< 1%< 1%100%
12. Southampton35-1345-1249.8< 1%< 1%100%
13. Newcastle35-1643-17.746.1< 1%< 1%100%
14. Crystal Palace35-1542-15.845.6< 1%< 1%100%
15. Brighton35-1636-17.339.3< 1%< 1%99.16%
16. West Ham35-1534-14.738.4< 1%< 1%95%
17. Watford35-2134-23.736.5< 1%< 1%78%
18. Bournemouth35-2431-2733.6< 1%< 1%17%
19. Aston Villa35-2730-29.332.7< 1%< 1%11%
20. Norwich35-4121-45.123.1< 1%< 1%< 1%


The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications
Chelsea have 87.8% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 53.7%
Man United have 70.3% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 36.6%
Leicester have 78.7% chance if they win against Sheffield United; otherwise 50.2%
Wolves have 10.2% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 0.54%
Chelsea have 84.2% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 69.3%
Man United have 63.2% chance if Norwich draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 43.7%


The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications
Tottenham have 65.1% chance if they win against Newcastle; otherwise 27.1%
Wolves have 95.4% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 67.7%
Burnley have 22.8% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 1.94%
Sheffield United have 78.4% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 38.1%
Arsenal have 46.1% chance if they win against Liverpool; otherwise 19.2%


The Most Important Events for New Contract
Watford have 98% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 70.9%
Aston Villa have 31.8% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.34%
West Ham have 99.9% chance if they win against Watford; otherwise 89.6%
Bournemouth have 56.4% chance if they win against Man City; otherwise 14.5%
Bournemouth have 23.4% chance if West Ham win against Watford; otherwise 11.3%
Watford have 80% chance if Man City draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 52.4%

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