EL: PSG favorites to win Europa League (10%)

Predictions after one match

 

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 32	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
	Paris SG			39%	32%	25%	20%	14%	10%
J	Tottenham	20%	72%	92%	65%	41%	24%	13%	7%
B	Arsenal	18%	77%	95.2%	67%	42%	24%	13%	7%
C	Leverkusen	25%	63%	88%	61%	37%	21%	11%	6%
	Real Madrid			24%	19%	15%	11%	8%	5%
I	Villarreal	14%	82%	95.4%	65%	38%	20%	10%	4.8%
	RB Leipzig			36%	27%	19%	13%	8%	4.7%
	Atletico			21%	16%	12%	9%	6%	3.6%
H	Milan	27%	54%	81%	53%	30%	16%	8%	3.5%
G	Leicester	23%	63%	86%	55%	31%	16%	7%	3.3%
F	Napoli	32%	45%	77%	49%	28%	14%	7%	3.2%
	Inter			28%	20%	14%	9%	6%	3.1%
	Ajax			59%	37%	22%	12%	6%	2.8%
A	Roma	28%	55%	82%	51%	28%	14%	6%	2.7%
L	Hoffenheim	23%	66%	89%	54%	28%	13%	6%	2.5%
	Dortmund			22%	16%	11%	7%	4.2%	2.3%
	Man United			15%	12%	8%	6%	3.8%	2.3%
F	Sociedad	34%	38%	72%	43%	23%	11%	5.0%	2.2%
	Salzburg			49%	30%	17%	9%	4.5%	2.1%
	Atalanta			23%	16%	11%	7%	3.9%	2.1%
D	Benfica	26%	58%	84%	48%	24%	11%	4.4%	1.8%
E	Granada	28%	48%	76%	44%	21%	10%	3.9%	1.6%
	Chelsea			17%	12%	8%	4.6%	2.6%	1.4%
	Gladbach			28%	18%	10%	6%	2.7%	1.3%
	Sevilla			9%	7%	5.0%	3.3%	2.1%	1.2%
	Man City			3.7%	3.2%	2.7%	2.1%	1.6%	1.1%
	Porto			34%	20%	11%	5%	2.4%	1.1%
	Shakhtar			21%	13%	7%	4.0%	2.0%	< 1%
	Liverpool			2.4%	2.1%	1.8%	1.5%	1.2%	< 1%
	Olympiakos			32%	18%	9%	4.5%	1.9%	< 1%
H	Lille	35%	27%	62%	30%	14%	5%	1.9%	< 1%
	Bayern			1.6%	1.4%	1.3%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Barcelona			2.2%	1.9%	1.5%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Young Boys	36%	28%	64%	29%	12%	4.6%	1.5%	< 1%
	Lazio			21%	12%	6%	3.0%	1.3%	< 1%
	Zenit			24%	13%	7%	3.0%	1.3%	< 1%
	Juventus			5%	3.7%	2.5%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
	Marseille			30%	16%	8%	3.2%	1.2%	< 1%
K	Dinamo Zagreb	27%	38%	65%	30%	12%	4.3%	1.4%	< 1%
	Rennes			39%	19%	8%	3.0%	1.0%	< 1%
E	PSV	31%	27%	58%	25%	10%	3.4%	1.0%	< 1%
C	Slavia Praha	37%	19%	56%	24%	10%	3.4%	1.1%	< 1%
	Brugge			32%	15%	6%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
J	LASK	42%	18%	60%	24%	9%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Nice	34%	17%	51%	21%	8%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Alkmaar	25%	14%	39%	16%	6%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Feyenoord	27%	26%	53%	21%	7%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Celtic	27%	15%	42%	16%	6%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
E	PAOK	28%	20%	47%	18%	6%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Rangers	34%	23%	57%	21%	7%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Rapid Wien	48%	15%	63%	21%	7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
	Dynamo Kyiv			53%	19%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Braga	31%	16%	47%	17%	5%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
A	CFR Cluj	27%	15%	42%	15%	4.8%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
K	CSKA Moskva	25%	20%	45%	16%	4.9%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
G	AEK	29%	15%	44%	15%	4.6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Gent	36%	18%	55%	18%	5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Standard	31%	17%	48%	15%	4.5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Lok Moskva			29%	10%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	FC Krasnodar			35%	12%	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
K	Wolfsberg	21%	15%	37%	11%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Crvena Zvezda	31%	13%	44%	12%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Midtjylland			16%	5%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Ferencvaros			39%	11%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Molde	33%	8%	40%	10%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	M Tel Aviv	40%	10%	50%	12%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Bueyueksehir			9%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
J	Razgrad	19%	4.9%	24%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
J	Antwerp	20%	5%	25%	6%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Zorya	17%	6%	24%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Omonia	14%	6%	19%	4.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Sparta Praha	11%	3.8%	15%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Rijeka	9%	3.1%	12%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	Karabakh Agdam	24%	4.5%	29%	5.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	CSKA Sofia	10%	3.0%	13%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
I	Sivasspor	22%	3.9%	26%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
D	Lech	9%	2.5%	11%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
L	Slovan Liberec	10%	2.5%	13%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Beer-Sheva	3.8%	< 1%	4.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
B	Dundalk	1.2%	< 1%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%