World Cup: North and Central American Qualifiers

Five teams start in round 3. The remaining three teams in round 3 are identified from the six group winners in round 1 playing a head-to-head ties (round 2). Haiti, Canada and Panama are likely winning their groups (>80%), while the other groups are more open.

 

NORTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA

Country	Group	2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Mexico		< 1%	100%	2%	< 1%	99%
United States		< 1%	100%	13%	7%	81%
Costa Rica		< 1%	100%	19%	9%	66%
Honduras		< 1%	100%	20%	10%	35%
Jamaica		< 1%	100%	19%	10%	31%
Canada	B	88%	55%	10%	5%	17%
Haiti	E	86%	41%	6%	3%	8%
Panama	D	81%	49%	5%	2%	6%
El Salvador	A	78%	59%	3%	2%	3%
Guatemala	C	48%	26%	2%	1%	2%
Curaçao	C	52%	22%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Trinidad/Tobago	F	56%	25%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Suriname	B	11%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
St Kitts and Nevis	F	33%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Guyana	F	11%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Dominican Rep	D	18%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Barbados	D	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Puerto Rico	F	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Turks and Caicos	E	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Saint Lucia	E	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belize	E	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Nicaragua	E	10%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
St Vincent/Gren	C	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bermuda	B	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Montserrat	A	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Grenada	A	10%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Antigua/Barbuda	A	12%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
El Salvador	2	4	9.15	(8-10)	78%	59%	3%	2%	3%
Grenada	2	3	6.74	(6-9)	10%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Antigua/Barbuda	2	4	5.99	(4-7)	12%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Montserrat	2	2	4	(3-5)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
US Virgin Islands	2	0	1.28	(0-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Canada	2	6	11	(10-12)	88%	55%	10%	5%	17%
Suriname	2	6	8.06	(7-9)	11%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bermuda	2	3	6.67	(6-9)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cayman Islands	2	0	2.04	(1-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Aruba	2	0	1.3	(0-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group C
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Guatemala	2	6	10.1	(9-12)	48%	26%	2%	1%	2%
Curaçao	2	6	10	(9-12)	52%	22%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cuba	2	0	4.54	(3-6)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
St Vincent/Gren	2	3	4.49	(3-6)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Br Virgin Islands	2	0	0.205	(0-0)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group D
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Panama	2	6	11.2	(10-12)	81%	49%	5%	2%	6%
Dominican Rep	2	6	8.27	(7-9)	18%	3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Barbados	2	3	5.69	(4-7)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Dominica	2	0	3.73	(3-4)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Anguilla	2	0	0.306	(0-0)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group E
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Haiti	1	3	10.9	(10-12)	86%	41%	6%	3%	8%
Nicaragua	1	3	6.85	(6-9)	10%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belize	2	3	5.62	(4-7)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Saint Lucia	0	0	4.91	(3-6)	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Turks and Caicos	2	0	0.542	(0-1)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group F
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd round	3rd round	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Trinidad/Tobago	2	4	8.55	(7-10)	56%	25%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
St Kitts and Nevis	2	6	8.41	(7-9)	33%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Guyana	2	3	6.3	(5-7)	11%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Puerto Rico	2	1	3.42	(2-4)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bahamas	2	0	1.33	(0-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%