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Bolivia are out with zero points after three matches, and hence the other teams in group A (Argentina, Paraguay, Cila and Uruguay) have clinched a spot in quarterfinals.
In group B, Peru have almost clinched quarterfinal (97%) with 4 points; they can only miss out if they lose against Venezuela and Ecuador win against Brazil. Venezuela and Ecuador both have two points and Venezuela are trailing behind two goals worse goal difference.
| Country | 5th | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Quarterfinal | Semifinal | Finalist | Champion |
| Brazil | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 88% | 78% | 63% |
| Argentina | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 10% | 90% | 100% | 70% | 43% | 14% |
| Uruguay | < 1% | 20% | 21% | 54% | 4% | 100% | 53% | 24% | 8% |
| Colombia | < 1% | 8% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 50% | 23% | 6% |
| Chile | < 1% | 80% | 20% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 19% | 6% | 2% |
| Peru | 3% | 36% | 2% | 59% | < 1% | 97% | 39% | 8% | 2% |
| Paraguay | < 1% | < 1% | 59% | 36% | 6% | 100% | 43% | 8% | 2% |
| Venezuela | 36% | 25% | 3% | 36% | < 1% | 64% | 26% | 6% | 1% |
| Ecuador | 61% | 31% | 3% | 5% | < 1% | 39% | 14% | 5% | 1% |
| Bolivia | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||
Brazil (100%) | ||||||
Brazil (88%) | ||||||
Chile (80%) Uruguay (20%) | ||||||
Brazil (78%) Uruguay (6%) | ||||||
Peru (59%) Venezuela (36%) | ||||||
Peru (28%) Paraguay (27%) Venezuela (17%) Uruguay (14%) | ||||||
Paraguay (59%) Uruguay (21%) Chile (20%) | ||||||
Brazil (63%) Argentina (14%) | ||||||
Uruguay (54%) Paraguay (36%) | ||||||
Colombia (47%) Uruguay (31%) Paraguay (13%) | ||||||
Colombia (92%) | ||||||
Argentina (43%) Colombia (23%) Uruguay (18%) Paraguay (5%) | ||||||
Argentina (90%) | ||||||
Argentina (63%) Peru (10%) | ||||||
Peru (36%) Ecuador (31%) Venezuela (25%) |
| Important matches | |
| Mutual Information | |
| 5.4803 | Ecuador 2.2% if Peru win against Venezuela; otherwise 0.36% |
| 4.61583 | Venezuela 2.1% if they draw (or win) against Peru; otherwise 0.3% |
| 3.55832 | Ecuador 1.6% if Peru draw (or win) against Venezuela; otherwise 0.24% |
| 2.84028 | Venezuela 2.4% if they win against Peru; otherwise 0.81% |
| 1.92295 | Brazil 66% if Uruguay win against Paraguay; otherwise 61% |
| 1.85229 | Colombia 7% if Paraguay draw (or win) against Uruguay; otherwise 4.6% |
| 1.78426 | Ecuador 2.1% if they draw (or win) against Brazil; otherwise 0.77% |
| 1.57835 | Ecuador 3.1% if they win against Brazil; otherwise 0.89% |
| 1.26337 | Brazil 65% if Uruguay draw (or win) against Paraguay; otherwise 59% |
| 0.983574 | Argentina 16% if Paraguay draw (or win) against Uruguay; otherwise 13% |
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