World Cup: Asian qualifications

In Asian qualifications, the 8 group winners qualify to the next round and the four best runner-ups. Top-3 in each group qualify for the Asian Cup.

Syria, Japan and Australia have already practically clinched a spot in the next round.

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Round 3	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Qatar
Syria	5	15	22	(21-24)	4%	96%	100%	15%	7%	2%	15%	4%	9%
China	5	10	16.3	(15-17)	86%	4%	83%	11%	5%	1%	11%	3%	6%
Philippines	5	7	12.1	(11-13)	10%	< 1%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Maldives	5	6	7.2	(6-9)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Guam	6	0	0.421	(0-0)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Syria have practically clinched a spot in next round, while China have good chance to qualify as one of the best runner-ups.

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Round 3	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Qatar
Australia	5	15	22.9	(22-24)	3%	97%	100%	20%	31%	34%	20%	15%	66%
Jordan	4	9	16.9	(15-18)	91%	3%	89%	15%	8%	2%	15%	5%	10%
Kuwait	6	9	12.7	(12-13)	6%	< 1%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Nepal	5	6	6.39	(6-6)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Taiwan	6	0	0.357	(0-0)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Australia can only miss next round in theory, while Jordan have a good chance to grap a spot as 2nd in the group.

Group C
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Round 3	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Qatar
Iraq	5	11	17.5	(17-18)	38%	54%	91%	23%	24%	16%	23%	14%	40%
Iran	5	9	15.8	(15-18)	34%	33%	66%	10%	20%	31%	10%	8%	51%
Bahrain	6	12	15.2	(15-16)	28%	13%	39%	9%	7%	3%	9%	4%	10%
Hong Kong	6	5	5.67	(5-6)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cambodia	6	1	1.09	(1-1)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

I tight race between Iraq, Iran and Bahrain.

Group D
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Round 3	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Qatar
Uzbekistan	4	9	16.5	(15-18)	44%	56%	79%	18%	12%	5%	18%	8%	17%
Saudi Arabia	4	8	15.9	(14-18)	54%	44%	73%	18%	13%	6%	18%	8%	20%
Palestine	7	7	8.98	(8-10)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Singapore	6	7	7.72	(7-8)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Yemen	5	5	6.69	(5-8)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

A two-horse race between Uzbekistan and Saudi.

Group E

Country

MP

Pts

Simulated Pts

2nd

1st

Round 3

3rd

2nd

1st

Round 4

Playoff

Qatar

Qatar

7

19

20.9

(20-22)

18%

82%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

Oman

5

12

18.1

(18-19)

82%

18%

97%

17%

9%

3%

17%

5%

12%

India

6

3

6.97

(6-9)

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Afghanistan

6

5

6.64

(5-8)

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Bangladesh

6

2

2.56

(2-3)

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Qatar will not play next round as they are already qualified as host of the World Cup. If they win the group, the extra spot goes to the 5ft runner-up. Oman have really good chances to qualify, likely as runner-up.

Group F

Country

MP

Pts

Simulated Pts

2nd

1st

Round 3

3rd

2nd

1st

Round 4

Playoff

Qatar

Japan

6

18

23.3

(22-24)

< 1%

100%

100%

15%

30%

48%

15%

12%

77%

Tajikistan

6

10

12.2

(11-13)

65%

< 1%

2%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Kyrgyzstan

5

7

12.1

(11-13)

32%

< 1%

4%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Myanmar

6

6

7.52

(6-9)

3%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Mongolia

7

3

3.2

(3-3)

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan race about the 2nd place, but have little chance of taking enough points to qualify to next round.

Group G
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Round 3	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Qatar
Vietnam	5	11	16.6	(15-18)	27%	66%	78%	7%	2%	< 1%	7%	1%	3%
United Arab Emirates	5	9	14.4	(13-16)	43%	27%	49%	5%	2%	< 1%	5%	1%	3%
Thailand	6	9	12	(10-13)	23%	6%	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malaysia	6	9	10.7	(9-12)	7%	< 1%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Indonesia	6	1	2.08	(1-3)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Vietnam in head position, challenged by UAE and Thailand.

Group H
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Round 3	3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Qatar
South Korea	4	8	18.5	(17-20)	9%	89%	97%	14%	29%	46%	14%	11%	75%
Lebanon	5	8	13.1	(12-14)	28%	5%	11%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
North Korea	5	8	13	(12-14)	44%	5%	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Turkmenistan	5	9	11.3	(10-12)	18%	< 1%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Sri Lanka	5	0	0.183	(0-0)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

South Korea nearly have qualified for the next round.