Tuesday, June 8, 2021

World Cup: Asian qualifications

Interesting matches in groups B and C with a deciding match between Jordan and Kuwait and Iraq play a crucial match against Hong Kong. 

Group A
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Syria72122.4 (21-24)< 1%100%100%15%6%2%15%4%8%
China61317 (16-19)100%< 1%96%12%5%2%12%3%7%
Philippines6711.6 (10-13)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Maldives666.98 (6-7)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Guam700.338 (0-0)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

Syria have clinched spot 1 and China are very likely to clinch a spot as one the four best runner-ups.

Group B
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Australia61823 (22-24)< 1%100%100%20%31%33%20%15%64%
Jordan61315.4 (14-16)61%< 1%57%9%5%1%9%3%6%
Kuwait61013.7 (13-14)39%< 1%30%2%< 1%< 1%2%< 1%< 1%
Nepal766.05 (6-6)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Taiwan700.291 (0-0)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

Australia have clinched the group. Jordan and Kuwait play a deciding match on Friday.

Group C
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Iraq61417.6 (17-18)47%47%92%24%24%15%24%14%39%
Iran61216.8 (15-18)46%53%97%15%28%46%15%12%74%
Bahrain71214.5 (15-15)7%< 1%5%1%< 1%< 1%1%< 1%1%
Hong Kong655.65 (5-6)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Cambodia711.03 (1-1)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

Bahrain have to win against Hong Kong to have any chance to reach the final round.

Group D
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Uzbekistan51217 (15-18)42%58%86%20%13%5%20%8%18%
Saudi Arabia51116.4 (15-18)58%42%79%19%14%6%19%8%20%
Palestine778.98 (8-10)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Singapore777.34 (7-7)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Yemen656.28 (5-8)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

Uzbekistan and Saudi should win the next matches against Yemen and Singapore, respectevily, and the group will most likely be decided in the last match where Saudi and Uzbekistan play.

Group E
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Qatar82222 (22-22)< 1%100%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%100%
Oman61217.2 (16-18)100%< 1%94%16%8%2%16%5%11%
India767.56 (6-9)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Afghanistan656.66 (5-8)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Bangladesh722.11 (2-2)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

Oman have clinched the 2nd spot, but need another point to be sure for a spot in the final round.


Group F
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Japan72123.7 (24-24)< 1%100%100%16%29%46%16%13%76%
Tajikistan71012 (11-13)90%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Kyrgyzstan679.34 (8-10)3%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Myanmar667.51 (6-9)7%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Mongolia866 (6-6)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


Japan have clinched a spot in the final round and Tajikistan are likely to be runner-up.


Group G
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
Vietnam61417.3 (16-18)35%63%87%7%3%< 1%7%1%3%
United Arab Emirates61215.8 (15-18)62%37%74%8%3%< 1%8%2%3%
Thailand7910.9 (10-12)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Malaysia6910.6 (9-12)3%< 1%1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Indonesia711.5 (1-2)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


Vietnam and UAE play in the last round next week, most likely deciding the group.


Group H
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stRound 33rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffQatar
South Korea3715.1 (14-16)10%90%90%14%28%40%14%11%68%
Lebanon3712 (11-13)87%10%11%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Turkmenistan467.25 (6-9)3%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Sri Lanka400.103 (0-0)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

North Korea have withdrawn from this group. South Korea are likely winning the group. It remains to see how the runner-up will be compared with the other runner-ups.

 

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