PL: Liverpool and Man City shared the points

Liverpool and Man City shared the points.

Hot Teams
Brentford: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 3.0 more than expected
Everton: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 more than expected
Arsenal: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 more than expected

Cold Teams
West Ham: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 4.0 less than expected
Norwich: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 3.7 less than expected
Burnley: 3 points in the last 5 matches, 3.2 less than expected

Likely combination of teams in CL

Probability	Teams
47.8%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United
7.5%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United, West Ham
6.6%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
4.3%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham
3.5%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, West Ham

Simulated points for winner: 80 - 86
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 36 - 40

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
14	Man City	79.5	+49	< 1%	99.91%	99.74%	99.25%	97.6%	49%	< 1%	1.3%	98.0%
15	Liverpool	75.6	+41	< 1%	99.51%	98.8%	97.0%	92%	23%	1.8%	4.0%	93%
16	Chelsea	75.0	+39	< 1%	99.37%	98.5%	96.5%	91%	21%	2.1%	4.8%	92%
14	Man United	69.8	+29	< 1%	96.5%	93%	86%	72%	6%	7%	13%	75%
10	Arsenal	60.0	+6	< 1%	66%	52%	35%	15%	< 1%	18%	23%	15%
12	Tottenham	58.1	+1	< 1%	55%	40%	24%	10%	< 1%	12%	39%	10%
14	Everton	57.0	+5	< 1%	49%	35%	20%	8%	< 1%	15%	17%	8%
8	West Ham	56.5	+10	< 1%	48%	34%	20%	8%	< 1%	13%	15%	19%
14	Brighton	52.0	-6	1.5%	22%	13%	6%	1.9%	< 1%	8%	8%	1.9%
10	Aston Villa	51.8	-1	1.7%	22%	13%	6%	1.9%	< 1%	8%	8%	1.9%
8	Leicester	49.5	-6	3.6%	14%	8%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%	4.7%	11%	3.1%
12	Brentford	48.2	-8	5%	10%	5%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.5%	4.5%	< 1%
6	Leeds	47.9	-10	6%	10%	5%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.5%	6%	< 1%
9	Wolves	45.7	-12	10%	5%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	3.9%	< 1%
7	Crystal Palace	43.0	-15	18%	2.5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%	< 1%
4	Southampton	40.4	-16	29%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.8%	< 1%
7	Watford	38.5	-23	41%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.5%	< 1%
3	Newcastle	38.0	-22	43%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.8%	< 1%
3	Burnley	36.5	-22	52%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%
1	Norwich	29.6	-39	87%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.2%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Watford	19%	21%	60%	Liverpool
Aston Villa	54%	22%	24%	Wolves
Man City	80%	12%	7%	Burnley
Leicester	32%	24%	44%	Man United
Norwich	35%	24%	40%	Brighton
Southampton	43%	24%	33%	Leeds
Brentford	25%	23%	53%	Chelsea
Everton	44%	24%	32%	West Ham
Newcastle	37%	24%	39%	Tottenham
Arsenal	65%	19%	16%	Crystal Palace