World Cup: Chile are unlikely to qualify

Peru won against Chile and Chile are now very unlikely to qualify, while Ecuador looks like a contender for the 4th spot or 5th, which would mean playoff. Uruguat and Colombia drew, which gives them both good chances to finish top 4.

Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		Playoff	1st-4th	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Brazil	9	27	46.9	(45-49)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%
Argentina	9	19	33.6	(31-36)	2%	98%	< 1%	99%
Uruguay	10	16	28.9	(26-31)	11%	83%	5%	89%
Colombia	10	14	26.1	(24-28)	27%	54%	14%	67%
Ecuador	10	16	25.2	(23-28)	26%	45%	13%	57%
Peru	10	11	21.4	(19-24)	16%	11%	8%	19%
Paraguay	10	12	20.7	(18-23)	12%	8%	6%	14%
Chile	10	7	18	(16-20)	5%	2%	3%	4%
Venezuela	10	4	14.3	(12-17)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bolivia	10	6	11.3	(9-13)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Most interesting matches on Sunday

Venezuela vs Ecuador

- Ecuador have 72.8% if they win; 56.7% if draw; 47.8% if lose.

- Colombia have 70.5% if Venezuela win; 67.7% if draw; 62.2% if Ecuador win.

- Venezuela have 1% if they win; 0.2% if draw; 0% if lose.

- Peru have 20.8% if Venezuela win; 18.9% if draw; 15.5% if Ecuador win.

Chile vs Paraguay

- Paraguay have 26% if they win; 14.1% if draw; 9.4% if lose.

- Chile have 6.8% if they win; 2.3% if draw; 0.9% if lose.