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A tight race between Canada, Panama, Costa Rica and Honduras
| Most interesting matches on Thursday |
| Honduras vs Costa Rica |
| - Costa Rica have 47.4% if they win; 31.7% if draw; 22% if lose. |
| - Honduras have 36.5% if they win; 21.8% if draw; 13.9% if lose. |
| El Salvador vs Panama |
| - Panama have 45.1% if they win; 30.8% if draw; 23.8% if lose. |
| - El Salvador have 6.2% if they win; 2.4% if draw; 1.1% if lose. |
| Country | MP | Pts | Simulated Pts | Playoff | 1st-3rd | Playoff Winner | Qatar | ||
| Mexico | 3 | 7 | 32.4 | (30-35) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| United States | 3 | 5 | 24.8 | (22-28) | 7% | 88% | 4% | 91% | |
| Canada | 3 | 5 | 18.8 | (16-22) | 21% | 38% | 11% | 49% | |
| Panama | 3 | 5 | 17.2 | (14-20) | 20% | 23% | 10% | 33% | |
| Costa Rica | 3 | 2 | 16.9 | (14-20) | 19% | 22% | 9% | 32% | |
| Honduras | 3 | 2 | 16.2 | (13-19) | 18% | 17% | 9% | 26% | |
| Jamaica | 3 | 1 | 14.5 | (12-17) | 12% | 10% | 6% | 16% | |
| El Salvador | 3 | 2 | 11.1 | (9-14) | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | |
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