Nations League

 

Important matches for Euro '24 qualifications

Sweden vs Norway (1%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Sweden	80%	74%	70%
Norway	60%	66%	73%

Iceland vs Albania (0.7%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Albania	25%	30%	35%
Iceland	25%	19%	16%

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Romania (0.5%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Romania	34%	38%	44%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	31%	25%	22%

Ireland vs Ukraine (0.4%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Ireland	48%	41%	38%
Ukraine	77%	81%	84%

Finland vs Montenegro (0.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	57%	50%	46%
Montenegro	14%	16%	20%

Kosovo vs Greece (0.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Greece	41%	45%	50%
Kosovo	11%	9%	7%

Bulgaria vs Georgia (0.1%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Georgia	16%	19%	23%
Bulgaria	12%	9%	8%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A4	Netherlands	4.7	1	16	11.3	3	18	5.2				6%	94%
2	A1	Denmark	4.7	1	16	11.5	3	18	3.6				6%	94%
3	A1	France	5	1	16	10.9	0	15	6				5%	95%
4	A2	Spain	6.3	1	16	9.8	1	16	3.1				13%	87%
5	A4	Belgium	6.4	1	16	10	0	15	2.1				11%	89%
6	A2	Portugal	6.8	1	16	9.5	1	16	2.5				16%	84%
7	A3	Germany	7.2	1	16	9.1	1	16	2
8	A3	Italy	7.4	1	16	9	1	16	1.9				18%	82%
9	A3	England	7.5	1	16	8.8	0	15	2.2				20%	80%
10	A2	Czechia	10.4	1	16	7.1	3	18	-3.8				47%	53%
11	A4	Poland	10.5	1	16	7.1	3	18	-3.8				46%	54%
12	A2	Switzerland	10.9	1	16	6.4	0	15	-1.8				52%	48%
13	A1	Austria	11	1	16	6.6	3	18	-3.4				52%	48%
14	A3	Hungary	12.1	1	16	6	3	18	-6.2				68%	32%
15	A4	Wales	12.2	1	16	5.5	0	15	-3.5				66%	34%
16	A1	Croatia	12.9	1	16	5.1	0	15	-6.2				74%	26%
17	B1	Ukraine	20.7	17	31	6.9	0	12	2.4			33%	67%
18	B4	Sweden	21.7	17	31	6	0	12	0.6			47%	53%
19	B4	Norway	22.2	17	31	6.5	0	12	0			52%	48%
20	B2	Israel	22.4	17	28	5.4	1	10	0.4			59%	41%
21	B2	Albania	22.4	17	28	5.5	0	12	-0			57%	43%
22	B3	Finland	22.7	17	31	5.9	0	12	0.7			53%	47%
23	B2	Iceland	23	17	28	4.9	1	10	-0.4			66%	34%
24	B1	Scotland	23.2	17	31	5.4	0	12	-0.4			62%	38%
25	B4	Serbia	24.4	17	31	4.7	0	12	-0.7			74%	26%
26	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	24.7	17	31	5	0	12	-1.1			72%	28%
27	B3	Romania	24.7	17	31	5.2	0	12	-1.4			72%	28%
28	B3	Montenegro	25.2	17	31	5	0	12	-2.5			77%	23%
29	B1	Ireland	25.9	17	31	4.7	0	12	-2			83%	17%
30	B1	Armenia	27.6	17	31	4.2	0	12	-6.1			94%	6%
31	B4	Slovenia	29.3	17	31	3.3	0	12	-7			97.7%	2.3%
32	C1	Turkey	33.3	32	47	15	3	18	13	< 1%	99.81%
33	C3	Slovakia	33.5	32	47	14.9	3	18	9.8	< 1%	99.66%
34	C2	Greece	34.7	32	47	13.4	3	18	7	1.2%	98.8%
35	C4	North Macedonia	35.7	32	47	12.1	1	16	8.5	1.4%	98.6%
36	C4	Georgia	37.1	32	47	10.8	3	18	5.7	5%	95%
37	C1	Luxembourg	38.2	32	47	9.7	3	18	1.1	14%	86%
38	C4	Bulgaria	38.8	32	47	9.2	1	16	2.9	13%	87%
39	C2	Kosovo	39	32	47	9.1	3	18	0.6	20%	80%
40	C2	Northern Ireland	39.3	32	47	8.6	0	15	1.9	23%	77%
41	C3	Belarus	39.7	32	47	8	0	15	0.6	31%	69%
42	C3	Kazakhstan	41	32	47	7	3	18	-3.2	51%	49%
43	C1	Lithuania	43.1	32	47	4.9	0	15	-6	80%	20%
44	C1	Faroe Islands	43.4	32	47	4.6	0	15	-8	82%	18%
45	C3	Azerbaijan	43.8	32	47	4.2	0	15	-7.2	85%	15%
46	C2	Cyprus	45	32	47	2.9	0	15	-9.4	94%	6%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.4	34	47	1.3	0	15	-17	99.49%	< 1%
48	D2	Estonia	48.9	48	53	9.2	3	12	5.8	99.78%
49	D1	Latvia	49.4	48	54	7.9	0	12	4.2	94%
50	D2	Malta	49.8	48	53	7.2	0	12	3.5	97.7%
51	D1	Moldova	50.5	48	54	5.9	0	12	0.4	82%
52	D1	Andorra	52.7	48	54	3.4	0	12	-5.9	15%
53	D2	San Marino	52.8	48	53	0.8	0	9	-9.3	2.5%
54	D1	Liechtenstein	53	48	54	3	0	12	-6.3	9%

Country	Playoff	2nd	1st	Euro	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
France	< 1%	10%	90%	99.78%	93%	70%	49%	33%	21%
Belgium	1.2%	14%	85%	99.52%	90%	64%	41%	25%	14%
Germany				100%	79%	54%	35%	21%	12%
England	1.6%	18%	80%	99.17%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Spain	1.6%	17%	81%	99.23%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Italy	2.4%	22%	74%	98.5%	84%	53%	29%	15%	7%
Portugal	2.8%	23%	73%	98.3%	83%	50%	28%	14%	6%
Netherlands	4.0%	26%	67%	97.0%	77%	43%	21%	9%	3.7%
Denmark	4.0%	26%	67%	97.0%	77%	42%	21%	9%	3.7%
Switzerland	5%	37%	53%	95.1%	74%	40%	19%	8%	3.0%
Croatia	8%	45%	36%	89%	63%	29%	11%	3.9%	1.2%
Wales	9%	44%	35%	88%	61%	27%	10%	3.4%	1.0%
Serbia	6%	44%	25%	75%	53%	23%	9%	3.0%	< 1%
Czechia	9%	42%	36%	87%	58%	24%	8%	2.7%	< 1%
Ukraine	11%	47%	23%	81%	54%	22%	8%	2.4%	< 1%
Sweden	10%	45%	21%	77%	50%	20%	7%	2.1%	< 1%
Poland	10%	42%	32%	84%	53%	20%	7%	2.0%	< 1%
Norway	12%	40%	13%	64%	36%	12%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%
Hungary	13%	41%	17%	71%	38%	12%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%
Austria	13%	39%	18%	71%	37%	11%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
Scotland	10%	37%	11%	58%	31%	10%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Turkey	25%	27%	8%	60%	32%	10%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
Finland	10%	35%	9%	54%	27%	8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovakia	24%	23%	5%	51%	25%	6%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
Ireland	5%	30%	7%	42%	20%	5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
Greece	19%	22%	5.0%	46%	22%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
North Macedonia	15%	21%	4.5%	40%	18%	4.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Romania	7%	27%	5%	39%	17%	4.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Israel	10%	24%	3.9%	38%	15%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovenia	1.0%	20%	3.4%	25%	9%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Albania	8%	19%	2.4%	29%	10%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	6%	18%	2.4%	26%	9%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Northern Ireland	3.8%	14%	2.1%	20%	7%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	7%	11%	1.4%	19%	6%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Iceland	6%	13%	1.3%	21%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Montenegro	4.0%	10%	< 1%	15%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bulgaria	2.9%	6%	< 1%	10%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Armenia	1.6%	8%	< 1%	10%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kosovo	2.8%	5%	< 1%	9%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belarus	1.5%	4.0%	< 1%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kazakhstan	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Estonia	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malta	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Andorra	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Moldova	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Lithuania	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Azerbaijan	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cyprus	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Faroe Islands	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Luxembourg	1.5%	1.7%	< 1%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%