Nations League

Important matches for Euro '24 qualifications

Albania vs Israel (1.3%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Israel	33%	39%	46%
Albania	35%	28%	23%

Sweden vs Serbia (1.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Serbia	72%	77%	83%
Sweden	74%	67%	63%

North Macedonia vs Georgia (0.5%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
North Macedonia	44%	37%	33%
Georgia	21%	25%	30%

Romania vs Finland (0.5%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Finland	52%	57%	62%
Romania	39%	33%	30%

Ireland vs Ukraine (0.4%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Ireland	48%	41%	38%
Ukraine	77%	81%	84%

Montenegro vs Bosnia and Herzegovina (0.2%)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Bosnia and Herzegovina	26%	30%	34%
Montenegro	16%	12%	11%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A1	Denmark	3.4	1	16	12.7	6	18	4				1.2%	98.8%
2	A4	Netherlands	4.7	1	16	11.3	3	18	5.2				6%	94%
3	A2	Portugal	5	1	16	10.6	4	16	5.7				5%	95%
4	A1	France	5.8	1	16	10	1	13	5.2				5%	95%
5	A4	Belgium	6.3	1	16	10	0	15	2.1				11%	89%
6	A3	Italy	6.8	1	16	9.6	4	16	1.1				12%	88%
7	A2	Spain	7	1	16	9.1	2	14	2.6				15%	85%
8	A3	Germany	7.2	1	16	9.1	1	16	2
9	A3	England	7.5	1	16	8.8	0	15	2.2				18%	82%
10	A2	Czechia	10.3	1	16	7.1	4	16	-3.2				43%	57%
11	A4	Poland	10.4	1	16	7.1	3	18	-3.8				45%	55%
12	A4	Wales	12.1	1	16	5.5	0	15	-3.5				65%	35%
13	A1	Austria	12.2	1	16	5.6	3	15	-3.8				65%	35%
14	A2	Switzerland	12.2	1	16	5.6	0	12	-5				65%	35%
15	A3	Hungary	12.5	1	16	5.6	3	15	-5.3				73%	27%
16	A1	Croatia	12.6	1	16	5.2	1	13	-5.4				70%	30%
17	B4	Norway	19.6	17	31	8.5	3	12	1.9			20%	80%
18	B1	Ukraine	20.6	17	31	6.9	0	12	2.4			33%	67%
19	B3	Finland	21.9	17	31	6.1	1	12	1			45%	55%
20	B2	Israel	22.3	17	28	5.4	1	10	0.4			55%	45%
21	B2	Albania	22.3	17	28	5.3	1	10	0.3			57%	43%
22	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	22.9	17	31	5.7	1	12	-0.3			58%	42%
23	B1	Scotland	23.1	17	31	5.4	0	12	-0.4			62%	38%
24	B2	Iceland	23.7	17	28	4.4	2	8	-0.6			76%	24%
25	B4	Serbia	23.8	17	31	4.6	0	12	-0.5			72%	28%
26	B4	Sweden	24.3	17	31	4.1	0	12	-1.4			77%	23%
27	B1	Ireland	25.8	17	31	4.7	0	12	-2			83%	17%
28	B3	Montenegro	26.1	17	31	4.6	0	12	-3.2			85%	15%
29	B3	Romania	26.3	17	31	4.8	0	9	-1.7			85%	15%
30	B1	Armenia	27.5	17	31	4.2	0	12	-6.1			93%	7%
31	B4	Slovenia	29.8	17	31	3.2	0	9	-8.1			98.5%	1.5%
32	C1	Turkey	32.8	32	44	15.7	6	18	17.6	< 1%	>99.99%
33	C2	Greece	33.7	32	45	14.8	6	18	7.6	< 1%	99.83%
34	C3	Slovakia	35.4	32	47	12.3	3	15	6.5	1.6%	98.4%
35	C4	Georgia	35.4	32	45	12.6	6	18	8.9	< 1%	99.67%
36	C4	North Macedonia	35.6	32	46	12.4	4	16	7.9	< 1%	99.55%
37	C1	Luxembourg	37.1	32	46	11.1	6	18	1.8	2.4%	97.6%
38	C3	Kazakhstan	38.3	32	46	9.7	6	18	0	13%	87%
39	C2	Kosovo	39.9	32	47	7.9	3	15	-0.1	29%	71%
40	C2	Northern Ireland	39.9	32	47	7.7	1	13	1	29%	71%
41	C4	Bulgaria	40.3	32	47	7.7	1	13	-0.4	24%	76%
42	C3	Belarus	41	32	47	6.8	1	13	-0.7	45%	55%
43	C3	Azerbaijan	43.4	33	47	4.6	1	13	-5.8	81%	19%
44	C1	Lithuania	43.6	33	47	4.4	0	12	-10.6	88%	12%
45	C1	Faroe Islands	44.3	33	47	3.4	0	12	-8.8	93%	7%
46	C2	Cyprus	44.8	33	47	3	1	13	-8.6	95%	5%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.5	34	47	1.1	0	12	-16.4	99.59%	< 1%
48	D2	Estonia	48.9	48	53	9.2	3	12	5.8	99.92%
49	D1	Latvia	49.2	48	54	8.2	3	12	4	97.6%
50	D2	Malta	49.6	48	53	7.7	3	12	3.6	99.74%
51	D1	Moldova	50.6	48	54	5.7	1	12	0.4	84%
52	D1	Andorra	52.7	48	54	3.1	0	10	-5.8	11%
53	D2	San Marino	52.9	48	53	0.4	0	6	-9.4	< 1%
54	D1	Liechtenstein	53.1	48	54	2.6	0	9	-5.5	7%

Country	Playoff	2nd	1st	Euro	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
France	< 1%	9%	90%	99.79%	93%	70%	49%	33%	21%
Belgium	1.6%	13%	85%	99.51%	90%	64%	41%	25%	14%
Germany				100%	79%	54%	35%	21%	12%
England	2.4%	17%	80%	99.19%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Spain	2.4%	17%	81%	99.24%	88%	59%	36%	21%	11%
Italy	3.8%	20%	76%	98.6%	84%	53%	30%	15%	7%
Portugal	4.2%	20%	75%	98.4%	82%	50%	28%	14%	6%
Netherlands	7%	25%	68%	97.1%	77%	43%	21%	9%	3.7%
Denmark	7%	24%	69%	97.2%	77%	42%	21%	9%	3.7%
Switzerland	11%	40%	50%	95%	74%	40%	19%	8%	3.0%
Croatia	18%	44%	37%	89%	63%	29%	11%	4.0%	1.3%
Wales	20%	44%	35%	88%	61%	27%	10%	3.4%	1.0%
Serbia	13%	45%	25%	77%	54%	24%	9%	3.0%	< 1%
Czechia	22%	41%	37%	87%	58%	24%	9%	2.7%	< 1%
Ukraine	23%	48%	22%	81%	54%	22%	8%	2.4%	< 1%
Poland	26%	42%	33%	84%	53%	20%	7%	2.0%	< 1%
Sweden	15%	43%	19%	69%	45%	18%	6%	1.9%	< 1%
Norway	37%	44%	13%	72%	41%	14%	3.8%	< 1%	< 1%
Hungary	42%	42%	16%	71%	38%	12%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%
Austria	43%	41%	16%	70%	36%	11%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
Scotland	29%	37%	11%	58%	31%	10%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Turkey	61%	28%	8%	62%	34%	10%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
Finland	37%	36%	9%	56%	28%	8%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
Greece	69%	22%	4.9%	51%	24%	6%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%
Ireland	19%	30%	7%	42%	20%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovakia	55%	23%	5%	44%	21%	5%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
North Macedonia	50%	21%	4.4%	40%	18%	4.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Romania	19%	25%	4.8%	35%	15%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Israel	44%	25%	3.9%	39%	15%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovenia	3.0%	20%	3.3%	24%	9%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	48%	19%	2.4%	30%	10%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Albania	50%	19%	2.3%	30%	10%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	62%	11%	1.3%	23%	8%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Northern Ireland	10%	14%	2.0%	18%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Iceland	44%	12%	1.2%	19%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Montenegro	26%	10%	< 1%	13%	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Armenia	15%	8%	< 1%	10%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Bulgaria	7%	6%	< 1%	8%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kosovo	11%	5%	< 1%	7%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Belarus	9%	3.8%	< 1%	5%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cyprus	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Azerbaijan	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Lithuania	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kazakhstan	32%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Luxembourg	40%	1.7%	< 1%	3.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Faroe Islands	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Gibraltar	1.4%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Moldova	16%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Andorra	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Malta	26%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Latvia	55%	< 1%	< 1%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Estonia	55%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
San Marino	< 1%