Posts
| Chance in Group | Stage-by-stage Probabilities | ||||||||
| Group | Team | 2nd | 1st | Last 24 | Last 16 | QF | Semi | Final | Champ |
| A | Arsenal | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 66% | 45% | 29% | 17% |
| Barcelona | 100% | 76% | 59% | 40% | 26% | 15% | |||
| Ajax | 100% | 76% | 57% | 39% | 26% | 15% | |||
| C | Betis | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 56% | 30% | 15% | 7% |
| Sevilla | 100% | 66% | 46% | 26% | 13% | 7% | |||
| Juventus | 100% | 63% | 39% | 20% | 10% | 4.6% | |||
| E | Man United | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 51% | 34% | 18% | 9% | 4.4% |
| E | Sociedad | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 24% | 10% | 4.3% |
| Sporting | 100% | 59% | 35% | 17% | 7% | 3.3% | |||
| F | Feyenoord | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 46% | 20% | 8% | 3.2% |
| Leverkusen | 100% | 58% | 34% | 16% | 7% | 2.9% | |||
| G | Freiburg | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 42% | 18% | 7% | 2.9% |
| A | PSV | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 46% | 28% | 13% | 6% | 2.7% |
| C | Roma | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 46% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2.6% |
| Salzburg | 100% | 56% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 2.4% | |||
| D | Union Berlin | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 43% | 24% | 11% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| H | Monaco | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 40% | 21% | 9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| B | Rennes | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 38% | 19% | 8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| B | Fenerbahce | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 25% | 6% | 1.4% | < 1% |
| Shakhtar | 100% | 40% | 16% | 4.7% | 1.2% | < 1% | |||
| G | Nantes | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 26% | 10% | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% |
| D | St Gillis | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 16% | 2.4% | < 1% | < 1% |
| H | Ferencvaros | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 15% | 2.2% | < 1% | < 1% |
| F | Midtjylland | 100% | < 1% | 100% | 17% | 4.7% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
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