| Name | Final | Champ |
| N Djokovic | 90% (+28) | 68% (+20.5) |
| S Tsitsipas | 69% (+9) | 23% (-1.2) |
| K Khachanov | 31% (+14.5) | 6% (+2) |
| B Shelton | 10% (+4.6) | 2.5% (+1.1) |
| Final | Champion | |
S Tsitsipas (69%) K Khachanov (31%) | ||
N Djokovic (68%) S Tsitsipas (23%) | ||
N Djokovic (90%) |
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Wednesday, January 25, 2023
Australian Open: Final Four
Tuesday, January 24, 2023
PL: Forest vs Leeds in import relegation game
Hot Teams
Brentford: 11 points in the last 5 matches, 4.5 more than expected
Arsenal: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 more than expected
Brighton: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.6 more than expected
Aston Villa: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.5 more than expected
Forest: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 3.5 more than expected
Cold Teams
Leicester: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 6.0 less than expected
Everton: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 5.0 less than expected
Bournemouth: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 4.0 less than expected
Southampton: 3 points in the last 5 matches, 3.5 less than expected
Liverpool: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 3.0 less than expected
| Average Simulated Season | Probabilities | |||||||||||
| Pts | Team | Pts | GD | Relegated | Top 7 | Top 6 | Top 5 | Top 4 | Win League | ECL | EL | CL |
| 50 | Arsenal | 85.1 | +45 | < 1% | >99.99% | >99.99% | 99.97% | 99.85% | 58% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.88% |
| 45 | Man City | 82.8 | +56 | < 1% | >99.99% | 99.98% | 99.92% | 99.64% | 41% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.72% |
| 39 | Man United | 70.0 | +17 | < 1% | 97.0% | 91% | 80% | 62% | < 1% | 6% | 26% | 65% |
| 29 | Liverpool | 68.2 | +31 | < 1% | 95.9% | 89% | 75% | 53% | < 1% | 4.9% | 31% | 60% |
| 39 | Newcastle | 67.8 | +28 | < 1% | 95% | 86% | 70% | 48% | < 1% | 11% | 36% | 48% |
| 36 | Tottenham | 64.9 | +19 | < 1% | 86% | 69% | 45% | 25% | < 1% | 14% | 43% | 28% |
| 29 | Chelsea | 60.1 | +11 | < 1% | 55% | 30% | 14% | 6% | < 1% | 20% | 22% | 11% |
| 31 | Brighton | 59.7 | +14 | < 1% | 53% | 29% | 14% | 6% | < 1% | 20% | 25% | 6% |
| 30 | Brentford | 53.2 | +1 | < 1% | 11% | 3.8% | 1.3% | < 1% | < 1% | 6% | 3.5% | < 1% |
| 31 | Fulham | 50.2 | -7 | < 1% | 3.3% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | < 1% |
| 28 | Aston Villa | 50.0 | -9 | < 1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | < 1% |
| 24 | Crystal Palace | 46.4 | -13 | 1.6% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 18 | Leicester | 41.8 | -9 | 9% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 3.3% | < 1% |
| 18 | West Ham | 40.1 | -13 | 14% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 18% | < 1% |
| 18 | Leeds | 39.6 | -16 | 18% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1.4% | < 1% |
| 21 | Forest | 37.1 | -35 | 36% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 4.7% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 17 | Wolves | 36.8 | -27 | 36% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 34.0 | -37 | 61% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 15 | Everton | 33.8 | -24 | 58% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 15 | Southampton | 33.0 | -30 | 66% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 7% | 1.7% | < 1% |
Titles
| Team | One Title | Two titles | Three titles | Four titles | Double | Triple | Quadruple |
| Arsenal | 69% | 16% | < 1% | 5% | |||
| Man City | 72% | 27% | 3.8% | 16% | 3.8% | ||
| Man United | 54% | 8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Liverpool | 34% | 3.4% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Newcastle | 43% | < 1% | |||||
| Tottenham | 12% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| Chelsea | 5% | < 1% | |||||
| Brighton | 3.0% | < 1% | < 1% | ||||
| Fulham | < 1% | ||||||
| Leicester | 3.3% | ||||||
| West Ham | 18% | < 1% | |||||
| Leeds | 1.4% | ||||||
| Forest | 4.7% | ||||||
| Southampton | 8% | < 1% |
| Important matches for title race | |||
| Tottenham vs Man City (2.7%) | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
| Man City | 33% | 38% | 48% |
| Arsenal | 66% | 61% | 51% |
| Everton vs Arsenal (2.6%) | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
| Arsenal | 49% | 54% | 64% |
| Man City | 50% | 45% | 35% |
| Arsenal | Man City | |||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 97 | 1.3% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 96 | 2.2% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% |
| 95 | 3.5% | 1.3% | 99.8% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% |
| 94 | 5% | 1.9% | 99.5% | 1.3% | < 1% | 98% |
| 93 | 8% | 2.5% | 98.8% | 2.2% | < 1% | 97% |
| 92 | 11% | 3.3% | 97.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 95% |
| 91 | 15% | 4.2% | 96% | 6% | 2.2% | 93% |
| 90 | 20% | 5.0% | 93% | 9% | 2.9% | 89% |
| 89 | 26% | 6% | 89% | 13% | 4.1% | 84% |
| 88 | 33% | 7% | 84% | 18% | 4.9% | 78% |
| 87 | 40% | 7% | 78% | 24% | 6% | 71% |
| 86 | 47% | 7% | 70% | 31% | 7% | 62% |
| 85 | 55% | 7% | 61% | 38% | 7% | 54% |
| 84 | 62% | 7% | 53% | 46% | 8% | 46% |
| 83 | 69% | 7% | 44% | 54% | 8% | 38% |
| 82 | 75% | 6% | 36% | 61% | 8% | 30% |
| 81 | 80% | 5% | 28% | 68% | 7% | 23% |
| 80 | 85% | 4.7% | 21% | 75% | 6% | 17% |
| 79 | 89% | 3.8% | 15% | 80% | 6% | 12% |
| 78 | 92% | 3.1% | 10% | 85% | 4.8% | 8% |
| 77 | 94% | 2.4% | 6% | 89% | 3.9% | 5% |
| 76 | 96.3% | 1.8% | 4% | 92% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| 75 | 97.5% | 1.3% | 2% | 95% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| 74 | 98.4% | < 1% | 1% | 96.3% | 1.8% | < 1% |
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Important matches for CL race | |||
| Newcastle vs West Ham (2%) | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
| Newcastle | 54% | 42% | 36% |
| Man United | 63% | 67% | 68% |
| Liverpool | 59% | 62% | 64% |
| Man United | Liverpool | Newcastle | Tottenham | Chelsea | Brighton | |||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 79 | 5% | 1.8% | 100% | 1.8% | < 1% | 100% | 2.4% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 78 | 8% | 2.5% | 99.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 99.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.9% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% |
| 77 | 11% | 3.3% | 99.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 99.9% | 5% | 1.8% | 99.9% | 1.1% | < 1% | 99.7% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% |
| 76 | 15% | 4.0% | 99.6% | 8% | 2.7% | 99.7% | 8% | 2.4% | 99.5% | 1.9% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% | < 1% | < 1% | 99% |
| 75 | 20% | 5.0% | 99.0% | 11% | 3.4% | 99.1% | 11% | 3.1% | 98.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% | < 1% | < 1% | 98% |
| 74 | 26% | 6% | 97.7% | 15% | 4.4% | 98.1% | 15% | 3.9% | 97.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 95% | < 1% | < 1% | 96% | < 1% | < 1% | 95% |
| 73 | 32% | 6% | 95.3% | 21% | 5% | 96.1% | 19% | 4.6% | 95% | 7% | 2.3% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 92% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% |
| 72 | 39% | 7% | 91% | 27% | 6% | 93% | 25% | 5% | 90% | 10% | 3.1% | 85% | 1.3% | < 1% | 86% | 1.5% | < 1% | 83% |
| 71 | 47% | 7% | 85% | 34% | 7% | 88% | 31% | 6% | 83% | 14% | 3.9% | 76% | 2.1% | < 1% | 75% | 2.4% | < 1% | 72% |
| 70 | 54% | 7% | 75% | 41% | 7% | 80% | 38% | 7% | 74% | 19% | 4.8% | 65% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 63% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 59% |
| 69 | 62% | 7% | 65% | 49% | 8% | 71% | 45% | 7% | 62% | 24% | 6% | 53% | 5% | 1.8% | 49% | 5% | 1.7% | 46% |
| 68 | 69% | 7% | 52% | 56% | 8% | 60% | 52% | 7% | 49% | 31% | 6% | 40% | 8% | 2.4% | 37% | 8% | 2.3% | 33% |
| 67 | 75% | 6% | 39% | 64% | 7% | 48% | 59% | 7% | 36% | 38% | 7% | 28% | 11% | 3.3% | 25% | 11% | 3.0% | 21% |
| 66 | 80% | 6% | 28% | 71% | 7% | 38% | 66% | 7% | 24% | 45% | 7% | 19% | 15% | 4.1% | 17% | 14% | 3.8% | 12% |
| 65 | 85% | 4.7% | 20% | 77% | 6% | 29% | 73% | 6% | 14% | 53% | 8% | 12% | 20% | 5.0% | 11% | 19% | 4.6% | 6% |
| 64 | 89% | 3.9% | 14% | 82% | 5% | 23% | 79% | 6% | 8% | 60% | 7% | 8% | 26% | 6% | 8% | 24% | 5% | 2.8% |
| 63 | 92% | 3.1% | 11% | 87% | 4.4% | 19% | 83% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 68% | 7% | 6% | 32% | 7% | 6% | 30% | 6% | 1.0% |
| 62 | 95% | 2.4% | 9% | 90% | 3.6% | 17% | 88% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 74% | 6% | 4.8% | 39% | 7% | 6% | 37% | 7% | < 1% |
| 61 | 96.3% | 1.8% | 9% | 93% | 2.9% | 15% | 91% | 3.4% | < 1% | 80% | 6% | 4.3% | 47% | 7% | 5% | 44% | 7% | < 1% |
| 60 | 97.6% | 1.3% | 9% | 95.1% | 2.2% | 15% | 94% | 2.7% | < 1% | 85% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 54% | 8% | 5% | 51% | 7% | < 1% |
| 59 | 98.5% | < 1% | 8% | 96.7% | 1.6% | 15% | 95.7% | 2.0% | < 1% | 89% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 62% | 7% | 5% | 58% | 7% | < 1% |
| 58 | 99.05% | < 1% | 9% | 97.9% | 1.1% | 15% | 97.1% | 1.5% | < 1% | 92% | 3.2% | 4% | 69% | 7% | 5% | 65% | 7% | < 1% |
| 57 | 99.44% | < 1% | 8% | 98.6% | < 1% | 15% | 98.2% | 1.0% | < 1% | 94% | 2.5% | 4% | 75% | 6% | 5% | 72% | 6% | < 1% |
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL) | |||
| Chelsea vs Fulham (2.1%) | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
| Chelsea | 57% | 46% | 39% |
| Fulham | 2.8% | 4.5% | 9% |
| Brighton | Chelsea | Tottenham | Newcastle | Southampton | Man United | Brentford | Liverpool | Forest | Fulham | Aston Villa | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 65 | 19% | 4.6% | 91% | 20% | 5.0% | 90% | 53% | 8% | 95.3% | 73% | 6% | 97.5% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 85% | 4.7% | 97.0% | 1.6% | < 1% | 86% | 77% | 6% | 97.6% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 85% | < 1% | < 1% | 87% |
| 64 | 24% | 5% | 86% | 26% | 6% | 85% | 60% | 7% | 92% | 79% | 6% | 95.8% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 89% | 3.9% | 95% | 2.5% | < 1% | 79% | 82% | 5% | 95.9% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 77% | < 1% | < 1% | 80% |
| 63 | 30% | 6% | 80% | 32% | 7% | 78% | 68% | 7% | 88% | 83% | 5.0% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 92% | 3.1% | 92% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 69% | 87% | 4.4% | 93% | < 1% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 67% | < 1% | < 1% | 69% |
| 62 | 37% | 7% | 72% | 39% | 7% | 70% | 74% | 6% | 82% | 88% | 4.2% | 90% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 95% | 2.4% | 88% | 6% | 1.8% | 58% | 90% | 3.6% | 90% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 1.4% | < 1% | 55% | 1.5% | < 1% | 57% |
| 61 | 44% | 7% | 63% | 47% | 7% | 62% | 80% | 6% | 76% | 91% | 3.4% | 85% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 96.3% | 1.8% | 83% | 8% | 2.5% | 47% | 93% | 2.9% | 84% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 2.2% | < 1% | 45% | 2.4% | < 1% | 45% |
| 60 | 51% | 7% | 54% | 54% | 8% | 52% | 85% | 4.9% | 67% | 94% | 2.7% | 80% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 97.6% | 1.3% | 78% | 11% | 3.2% | 36% | 95.1% | 2.2% | 78% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 3.5% | 1.2% | 33% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 33% |
| 59 | 58% | 7% | 44% | 62% | 7% | 43% | 89% | 4.0% | 57% | 95.7% | 2.0% | 73% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 98.5% | < 1% | 74% | 15% | 4.1% | 26% | 96.7% | 1.6% | 71% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 5% | 1.7% | 24% | 5% | 1.8% | 23% |
| 58 | 65% | 7% | 35% | 69% | 7% | 34% | 92% | 3.2% | 48% | 97.1% | 1.5% | 66% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 99.05% | < 1% | 68% | 20% | 4.9% | 18% | 97.9% | 1.1% | 64% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 8% | 2.4% | 16% | 8% | 2.4% | 15% |
| 57 | 72% | 6% | 27% | 75% | 6% | 26% | 94% | 2.5% | 38% | 98.2% | 1.0% | 61% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 99.44% | < 1% | 63% | 26% | 6% | 12% | 98.6% | < 1% | 55% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 11% | 3.2% | 10% | 11% | 3.1% | 10% |
| 56 | 78% | 6% | 20% | 81% | 6% | 20% | 96.3% | 1.8% | 31% | 98.9% | < 1% | 55% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 99.69% | < 1% | 62% | 33% | 6% | 7% | 99.16% | < 1% | 49% | < 1% | < 1% | 16% | 15% | 3.9% | 6% | 15% | 3.9% | 6% |
| 55 | 83% | 5% | 14% | 85% | 4.7% | 15% | 97.6% | 1.3% | 24% | 99.34% | < 1% | 51% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 99.83% | < 1% | 59% | 40% | 7% | 4.3% | 99.49% | < 1% | 44% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | 20% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 19% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| 54 | 87% | 4.3% | 10% | 89% | 3.9% | 11% | 98.5% | < 1% | 19% | 99.62% | < 1% | 49% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 99.91% | < 1% | 53% | 47% | 7% | 2.3% | 99.70% | < 1% | 39% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | 25% | 6% | 2.2% | 25% | 6% | 1.4% |
| 53 | 90% | 3.5% | 7% | 92% | 3.1% | 8% | 99.12% | < 1% | 15% | 99.80% | < 1% | 47% | < 1% | < 1% | - | 99.95% | < 1% | 57% | 55% | 8% | 1.2% | 99.83% | < 1% | 38% | < 1% | < 1% | 4% | 32% | 7% | 1.2% | 31% | 6% | < 1% |
| 52 | 93% | 2.8% | 5% | 95% | 2.4% | 7% | 99.49% | < 1% | 14% | 99.90% | < 1% | 46% | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | 99.98% | < 1% | 57% | 62% | 7% | < 1% | 99.91% | < 1% | 38% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 39% | 7% | < 1% | 38% | 7% | < 1% |
| 51 | 95.4% | 2.1% | 4% | 96.6% | 1.7% | 6% | 99.72% | < 1% | 13% | 99.95% | < 1% | 42% | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | 99.99% | < 1% | 50% | 69% | 7% | < 1% | 99.95% | < 1% | 36% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 47% | 8% | < 1% | 46% | 7% | < 1% |
| 50 | 96.9% | 1.6% | 4% | 97.8% | 1.2% | 5% | 99.85% | < 1% | 11% | 99.97% | < 1% | 49% | < 1% | < 1% | 6% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 76% | 6% | < 1% | 99.98% | < 1% | 37% | < 1% | < 1% | 5% | 55% | 8% | < 1% | 53% | 8% | < 1% |
| 49 | 98.0% | 1.1% | 3% | 98.6% | < 1% | 5% | 99.93% | < 1% | 13% | 99.99% | < 1% | 39% | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 81% | 6% | < 1% | 99.99% | < 1% | 26% | 1.4% | < 1% | 5% | 62% | 8% | < 1% | 61% | 7% | < 1% |
| 48 | 98.8% | < 1% | 4% | 99.17% | < 1% | 5% | 99.96% | < 1% | 15% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 86% | 4.9% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 2.1% | < 1% | 4% | 70% | 7% | < 1% | 68% | 7% | < 1% |
| 47 | 99.27% | < 1% | 3% | 99.52% | < 1% | 6% | 99.99% | < 1% | 12% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 90% | 3.9% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 3.3% | 1.2% | 4% | 76% | 7% | < 1% | 75% | 7% | < 1% |
| 46 | 99.59% | < 1% | 3% | 99.73% | < 1% | 4% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | >99.99% | < 1% | - | < 1% | < 1% | 9% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 93% | 3.1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 4.9% | 1.6% | 5% | 82% | 6% | < 1% | 80% | 6% | < 1% |
| 45 | 99.78% | < 1% | 3% | 99.86% | < 1% | 6% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 1.4% | < 1% | 8% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 95.4% | 2.3% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 7% | 2.2% | 5% | 87% | 4.9% | < 1% | 85% | 5.0% | < 1% |
| 44 | 99.88% | < 1% | 3% | 99.93% | < 1% | 5% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 2.2% | < 1% | 8% | 100% | < 1% | - | 97.1% | 1.7% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 10% | 2.9% | 5% | 91% | 3.9% | < 1% | 89% | 4.1% | < 1% |
| 43 | 99.94% | < 1% | 4% | 99.97% | < 1% | 5% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 100% | < 1% | - | 3.3% | 1.1% | 9% | 100% | < 1% | - | 98.2% | 1.2% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | - | 14% | 3.7% | 5% | 94% | 3.0% | < 1% | 93% | 3.2% | < 1% |
| 42 | 99.97% | < 1% | 4% | 99.98% | < 1% | 4% | >99.99% | < 1% | - | 100% | < 1% | - | 4.9% | 1.6% | 8% | 100% | < 1% | - | 99.0% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | - | 18% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 96.3% | 2.1% | < 1% | 95.2% | 2.4% | < 1% |
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Important matches for avoiding relegation | |||
| Forest vs Leeds (5.1%) | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
| Forest | 75% | 62% | 53% |
| Leeds | 75% | 82% | 90% |
| Everton vs Arsenal (2.2%) | Home Win | Draw | Away Win |
| Everton | 56% | 42% | 35% |
| Southampton | Bournemouth | Everton | Wolves | Forest | Leeds | West Ham | Leicester | Crystal Palace | |||||||||||||||||||
| points | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance | Q | Probability | Chance |
| 49 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.4% | < 1% | 100% | 1.4% | < 1% | 100% | 5% | 1.6% | 100% | 6% | 1.8% | 100% | 11% | 3.0% | 100% | 34% | 7% | 100% |
| 48 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.1% | < 1% | 100% | 2.1% | < 1% | 100% | 7% | 2.2% | 100% | 8% | 2.5% | 100% | 14% | 3.8% | 100% | 41% | 7% | 100% |
| 47 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 100% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 100% | 10% | 2.8% | 100% | 12% | 3.2% | 100% | 19% | 4.6% | 100% | 49% | 7% | 100% |
| 46 | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 1.5% | < 1% | 100% | 1.3% | < 1% | 100% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 100% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 100% | 14% | 3.6% | 100% | 15% | 4.0% | 100% | 24% | 5% | 100% | 56% | 7% | 100% |
| 45 | 1.4% | < 1% | 100% | 2.3% | < 1% | 100% | 2.1% | < 1% | 100% | 7% | 2.2% | 100% | 7% | 2.2% | 100% | 18% | 4.3% | 100% | 20% | 4.8% | 100% | 30% | 6% | 100% | 64% | 7% | 100% |
| 44 | 2.2% | < 1% | 100% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 100% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 100% | 10% | 2.9% | 100% | 10% | 2.9% | 100% | 23% | 5% | 100% | 26% | 6% | 100% | 37% | 7% | 100% | 70% | 7% | 100% |
| 43 | 3.3% | 1.1% | 100% | 5% | 1.7% | 99.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 100% | 14% | 3.7% | 100% | 14% | 3.7% | >99.99% | 29% | 6% | 100% | 32% | 6% | 100% | 44% | 7% | >99.99% | 77% | 6% | 100% |
| 42 | 4.9% | 1.6% | 99.9% | 7% | 2.3% | 99.9% | 7% | 2.1% | 99.9% | 18% | 4.5% | 99.96% | 18% | 4.6% | 99.95% | 36% | 7% | 99.99% | 39% | 7% | >99.99% | 52% | 7% | >99.99% | 82% | 6% | >99.99% |
| 41 | 7% | 2.2% | 99.7% | 10% | 2.9% | 99.6% | 10% | 2.8% | 99.8% | 23% | 5% | 99.8% | 24% | 6% | 99.7% | 43% | 7% | 99.94% | 47% | 7% | 99.96% | 59% | 7% | 99.96% | 87% | 4.7% | 99.9% |
| 40 | 10% | 2.9% | 99.0% | 14% | 3.8% | 98.5% | 13% | 3.6% | 99.3% | 30% | 6% | 99.3% | 30% | 6% | 99.0% | 50% | 7% | 99.6% | 54% | 8% | 99.8% | 66% | 7% | 99.8% | 91% | 3.7% | 99.6% |
| 39 | 14% | 3.7% | 96.5% | 19% | 4.6% | 95.7% | 18% | 4.5% | 97.3% | 36% | 7% | 97.4% | 38% | 7% | 96.8% | 58% | 7% | 98.7% | 62% | 7% | 99.0% | 73% | 7% | 99.2% | 94% | 2.9% | 98.5% |
| 38 | 18% | 4.6% | 91% | 24% | 5% | 89% | 23% | 5% | 93% | 44% | 7% | 93% | 45% | 8% | 91% | 65% | 7% | 96.0% | 69% | 7% | 96.8% | 79% | 6% | 97.0% | 95.8% | 2.2% | 95% |
| 37 | 24% | 5% | 80% | 31% | 6% | 77% | 29% | 6% | 84% | 52% | 8% | 85% | 53% | 8% | 82% | 71% | 7% | 90% | 75% | 6% | 91% | 84% | 5% | 92% | 97.3% | 1.5% | 88% |
| 36 | 30% | 6% | 65% | 38% | 7% | 61% | 36% | 7% | 70% | 59% | 8% | 71% | 61% | 8% | 67% | 78% | 6% | 79% | 81% | 6% | 82% | 88% | 4.3% | 83% | 98.4% | 1.1% | 74% |
| 35 | 37% | 7% | 47% | 45% | 8% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 52% | 67% | 7% | 54% | 69% | 8% | 49% | 83% | 5% | 63% | 86% | 4.9% | 67% | 92% | 3.4% | 67% | 99.08% | < 1% | 57% |
| 34 | 45% | 8% | 29% | 53% | 8% | 26% | 51% | 8% | 35% | 73% | 7% | 36% | 76% | 7% | 32% | 88% | 4.5% | 44% | 90% | 4.0% | 49% | 94% | 2.7% | 50% | 99.51% | < 1% | 37% |
| 33 | 53% | 8% | 16% | 61% | 8% | 14% | 59% | 8% | 20% | 80% | 6% | 21% | 82% | 6% | 18% | 91% | 3.6% | 27% | 93% | 3.2% | 32% | 96.2% | 2.0% | 31% | 99.75% | < 1% | 21% |
| 32 | 60% | 8% | 7% | 68% | 8% | 6% | 67% | 8% | 10% | 85% | 5% | 11% | 88% | 5% | 9% | 94% | 2.8% | 14% | 95.3% | 2.4% | 17% | 97.6% | 1.4% | 17% | 99.88% | < 1% | 9% |
| 31 | 68% | 7% | 3.0% | 75% | 7% | 2.4% | 74% | 7% | 4.0% | 89% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 92% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 96.0% | 2.1% | 6% | 97.0% | 1.7% | 9% | 98.5% | < 1% | 8% | 99.95% | < 1% | 4% |
| 30 | 75% | 7% | < 1% | 81% | 6% | < 1% | 80% | 6% | 1.5% | 93% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 95% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 97.5% | 1.5% | 2% | 98.2% | 1.2% | 3% | 99.16% | < 1% | 3% | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 29 | 81% | 6% | < 1% | 86% | 5% | < 1% | 85% | 5% | < 1% | 95.2% | 2.6% | < 1% | 96.8% | 2.2% | < 1% | 98.5% | 1.0% | < 1% | 98.9% | < 1% | 1% | 99.53% | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% |
| 28 | 86% | 5% | < 1% | 91% | 4.2% | < 1% | 89% | 4.3% | < 1% | 97.0% | 1.8% | < 1% | 98.2% | 1.4% | < 1% | 99.16% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.43% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.76% | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - |
| 27 | 90% | 4.2% | < 1% | 94% | 3.2% | < 1% | 93% | 3.4% | < 1% | 98.2% | 1.2% | < 1% | 99.09% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.56% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.71% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.88% | < 1% | < 1% | >99.99% | < 1% | - |
| 26 | 94% | 3.3% | < 1% | 96.1% | 2.3% | < 1% | 95.4% | 2.6% | < 1% | 99.0% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.59% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.78% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.86% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.95% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | - |
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points
| Europe | EL (or CL) | CL | |
| Fourth team | 100% | 100% | 99.63% |
| Fifth team | >99.99% | 99.98% | 6% |
| FA cup winners | 100% | 100% | 68% |
| League cup winners | 100% | 78% | 50% |
| Sixth team | 96.8% | 83% | 4.9% |
| Seventh team | 77% | 16% | 3.6% |
| Eighth team | 18% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
Simulated points for winner: 84 - 90
Simulated points for fourth: 68 - 72
Simulated points for 17th team: 34 - 37
Coming Matches
| Home | Draw | Away | ||
| Chelsea | 69% | 18% | 13% | Fulham |
| Everton | 24% | 23% | 53% | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 46% | 24% | 31% | Leicester |
| Man United | 61% | 20% | 18% | Crystal Palace |
| Wolves | 18% | 20% | 62% | Liverpool |
| Brighton | 65% | 19% | 16% | Bournemouth |
| Brentford | 59% | 21% | 20% | Southampton |
| Newcastle | 61% | 20% | 19% | West Ham |
| Forest | 40% | 24% | 36% | Leeds |
| Tottenham | 32% | 24% | 44% | Man City |
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