Premier League 23/24

Below are the predictions. Note that these predictions are based on the teams' performances last year and thus not taking into account transfers.

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
0	Man City	85.3	+58	< 1%	99.98%	99.95%	99.87%	99.64%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	99.78%
0	Liverpool	71.5	+31	< 1%	96.1%	93%	89%	81%	8%	2.2%	9%	86%
0	Arsenal	68.4	+26	< 1%	91%	86%	79%	68%	3.8%	5%	16%	71%
0	Newcastle	63.2	+17	< 1%	76%	67%	55%	40%	1.0%	9%	24%	44%
0	Man United	63.0	+17	< 1%	75%	65%	53%	39%	< 1%	11%	24%	39%
0	Brighton	57.6	+8	< 1%	48%	37%	26%	16%	< 1%	10%	23%	22%
0	Aston Villa	57.5	+8	< 1%	48%	37%	26%	16%	< 1%	7%	44%	16%
0	Brentford	57.1	+7	< 1%	46%	35%	24%	15%	< 1%	11%	23%	15%
0	Tottenham	56.0	+5	< 1%	40%	30%	20%	12%	< 1%	11%	16%	12%
0	Chelsea	52.8	-0	2.4%	25%	17%	10%	6%	< 1%	8%	10%	8%
0	West Ham	51.7	-2	3.2%	21%	14%	8%	4.3%	< 1%	7%	10%	4.3%
0	Crystal Palace	49.1	-6	6%	12%	8%	4.3%	2.1%	< 1%	5%	5%	2.1%
0	Fulham	46.6	-11	11%	7%	4.2%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	3.5%	4.4%	< 1%
0	Burnley	45.4	-13	14%	5%	3.0%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	2.8%	3.4%	< 1%
0	Wolves	44.6	-14	16%	4.3%	2.4%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	2.5%	1.9%	< 1%
0	Everton	43.3	-16	21%	3.0%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	1.2%	< 1%
0	Forest	39.4	-23	40%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.2%	< 1%
0	Bournemouth	37.9	-26	48%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Sheffield United	36.2	-29	58%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Luton	32.2	-37	78%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	One Title	Two titles	Three titles	Four titles	Double	Treble	Quadruple
Man City	96.2%	67%	25%	3.7%	24%	10%	3.5%
Liverpool	50%	11%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%
Arsenal	28%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Newcastle	21%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Man United	10%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Brighton	21%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Aston Villa	41%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Brentford	11%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Tottenham	4.9%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Chelsea	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
West Ham	5.0%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Crystal Palace	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Fulham	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Burnley	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Wolves	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Everton	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Forest	1.4%	< 1%
Bournemouth	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Sheffield United	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Luton	< 1%	< 1%