Copa: Costa Rica draw Brazil 0-0

Group D				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GF	Pts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16
Colombia	1	+1	3	1.2%	6%	31%	62%	93%
Brazil	1	0	1	5%	17%	45%	33%	78%
Costa Rica	1	0	1	46%	39%	13%	2.9%	16%
Paraguay	1	-1	0	48%	39%	11%	1.8%	13%

Colombia

Colombia - Costa Rica
Home	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
100%	83%	49%	41%	40%	38%	Bra - Par
100%	85%	46%	38%	37%	35%	93%	Home
100%	73%	59%	50%	50%	51%	93%	Draw
100%	77%	56%	45%	42%	-	93%	Away

Brazil

Brazil - Paraguay
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
96.6%	96.0%	95%	92%	45%	17%	11%	8%	4%	Col - Cos
99.6%	98.9%	97.5%	95.1%	47%	15%	8%	6%	2%	81%	Home
89%	90%	89%	84%	43%	25%	20%	16%	7%	74%	Draw
81%	79%	78%	74%	40%	33%	25%	16%	-	67%	-1
79%	78%	72%	68%	38%	26%	20%	16%	-	63%	-2
72%	73%	68%	64%	40%	25%	13%	-	-	60%	-3
-	73%	64%	62%	40%	-	-	-	-	58%	-4

Costa Rica

Colombia - Costa Rica
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
5%	6%	7%	9%	29%	71%	85%	90%	94%	Bra - Par
< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	26%	73%	82%	84%	-	10%	+4
< 1%	< 1%	1.3%	2.6%	26%	75%	85%	91%	98%	11%	+3
< 1%	1.3%	2.9%	5%	26%	76%	90%	96%	99%	12%	+2
1.6%	3.3%	6%	9%	28%	81%	95%	99%	99%	15%	+1
18%	17%	18%	19%	42%	56%	78%	84%	94%	25%	Draw
19%	19%	21%	25%	30%	59%	73%	76%	-	26%	Away

Paraguay

Brazil - Paraguay
Home	Draw	Away
< 1%	37%	66%	Col - Cos
< 1%	35%	66%	13%	Home
< 1%	43%	70%	14%	Draw
< 1%	41%	56%	12%	Away

Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
15.2; Brazil have 16% if they win against Paraguay; otherwise 5.6%
11.5; Brazil have 15% if they draw (or win) against Paraguay; otherwise 2.7%
4.18; Brazil have 14% if they and Paraguay do not draw ; otherwise 7.6%
2.71; Paraguay have 0.53% if they draw (or win) against Brazil; otherwise 0%
2.58; Colombia have 15% if they draw (or win) against Costa Rica; otherwise 7.9%
2.18; Colombia have 15% if they win against Costa Rica; otherwise 11%
1.22; Paraguay have 0.73% if they win against Brazil; otherwise 0.07%

Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Argentina (92%)
		Argentina (76%) Ecuador (8%)
Venezuela (32%) Ecuador (31%) Mexico (29%)
				Argentina (69%) Ecuador (8%)
Venezuela (45%) Mexico (37%) Ecuador (16%)
		Venezuela (22%) Mexico (20%) Peru (15%) Chile (14%) Canada (13%)
Peru (33%) Chile (31%) Canada (30%)
						Argentina (47%) Colombia (14%) Brazil (13%)
Uruguay (67%) United States (31%)
		Uruguay (37%) Brazil (26%) Colombia (17%) United States (14%)
Brazil (45%) Colombia (31%) Costa Rica (13%)
				Colombia (31%) Uruguay (27%) Brazil (27%)
Colombia (62%) Brazil (33%)
		Colombia (39%) Brazil (22%) United States (20%) Uruguay (14%)
United States (53%) Uruguay (29%) Panama (15%)