PL: Flying start for Brighton

Flying start for Brighton with two wins.  On Sunday we'll have an top match when Tottenham travels to Newcastle playing a match important for CL, EL and ECL.

Hot Teams
Brighton: 6 points in the last 2 matches, 3.4 more than expected
Arsenal: 6 points in the last 2 matches, 1.9 more than expected
Liverpool: 6 points in the last 2 matches, 1.6 more than expected
Man City: 6 points in the last 2 matches, 1.4 more than expected
Forest: 4 points in the last 2 matches, 1.2 more than expected

Cold Teams
Crystal Palace: 0 points in the last 2 matches, 3.0 less than expected
Everton: 0 points in the last 2 matches, 2.5 less than expected
Southampton: 0 points in the last 2 matches, 2.1 less than expected
Wolves: 0 points in the last 2 matches, 1.7 less than expected
Leicester: 1 point in the last 2 matches, 1.1 less than expected

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
6	Man City	87.9	+62	< 1%	>99.99%	>99.99%	99.98%	99.92%	81%	< 1%	< 1%	99.97%
6	Arsenal	77.8	+41	< 1%	99.71%	99.36%	98.5%	96.5%	14%	< 1%	1.5%	98.1%
6	Liverpool	72.4	+31	< 1%	97.9%	96.2%	93%	86%	4.3%	1.3%	6%	91%
3	Chelsea	60.7	+14	< 1%	71%	60%	47%	30%	< 1%	7%	33%	41%
4	Newcastle	59.4	+10	< 1%	64%	53%	39%	24%	< 1%	10%	25%	34%
4	Tottenham	58.2	+11	< 1%	58%	47%	34%	20%	< 1%	10%	20%	38%
3	Man United	56.2	+5	< 1%	47%	36%	24%	13%	< 1%	10%	19%	28%
3	Aston Villa	56.0	+4	< 1%	46%	34%	23%	12%	< 1%	11%	20%	20%
6	Brighton	52.0	-3	2.7%	25%	17%	10%	4.7%	< 1%	9%	13%	8%
0	Crystal Palace	51.0	-2	3.6%	22%	15%	8%	3.8%	< 1%	9%	14%	7%
3	West Ham	50.5	-3	4.1%	20%	13%	7%	3.3%	< 1%	7%	11%	6%
3	Brentford	49.2	-8	6%	15%	10%	5%	2.2%	< 1%	7%	9%	4.2%
3	Fulham	49.1	-7	6%	15%	9%	5%	2.2%	< 1%	6%	9%	4.1%
2	Bournemouth	45.4	-11	14%	7%	3.8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	3.2%	4.1%	1.5%
0	Everton	45.2	-15	15%	6%	3.5%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	4.0%	4.0%	1.3%
0	Wolves	42.6	-19	24%	3.1%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.2%	2.0%	< 1%
4	Forest	42.1	-20	26%	2.5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.6%	4.0%	< 1%
1	Leicester	39.3	-21	40%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.2%	2.1%	< 1%
0	Southampton	33.5	-31	73%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Ipswich	31.5	-37	82%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Important matches for CL race
Newcastle vs Tottenham (2.2%)	Home Win (50%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (27%)
Newcastle	40%	31%	26%
Tottenham	34%	38%	46%

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
Newcastle vs Tottenham (2.3%)	Home Win (50%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (27%)
Newcastle	65%	56%	50%
Tottenham	53%	59%	67%

 

Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
Newcastle vs Tottenham (2.1%)	Home Win (50%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (27%)
Newcastle	74%	65%	60%
Tottenham	63%	68%	75%