PL: Who will reach Champions League?

Man City have 97.8%. Need 1 point against Fulham to secure CL play. If the
lose they need that one of Newcastle, Chelsea or Aston Villa fail to
win (93%).

Newcastle have 84%. Secure CL spot if they beat Everton. If they draw, they
need Man United to take a point (or win) against Aston Villa or that
Chelsea draw against Forest. If Newcastle lose, they need that Man
United beat Aston Villa.

Chelsea have 52%. Secure CL if they beat Forest. If they draw, they need
that Newcastle lose against Everton or that Aston Villa fail to win
against Man United.

Forest have 33%. They need to beat Chelsea and that Aston Villa or
Newcastle fail to win.

Aston Villa have 33%. If they beat Man United, they need that either
Chelsea or Newcastle fail to win. If they draw, they need that Forest
and Newcastle fail to win.

Brighton get a slot in Conference League if they following happens:
- They take a point or Brentford fail to win
- Forest beat Chelsea
- Aston Villa take (at least) a point against Man United
- Chelsea win the Conference League final

Brentford have the same condition except that they need to win against
Wolves plus that Brighton lose against Tottenham.

Average Simulated Season

Probabilities

Pts

Team

Pts

GD

Relegated

Top 7

Top 6

Top 5

Top 4

Win League

ECL

EL

CL

83

Liverpool

85.3

+47

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

71

Arsenal

73.4

+36

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

68

Man City

69.6

+26

< 1%

100%

100%

97.8%

88%

< 1%

< 1%

2.2%

97.8%

66

Newcastle

68.0

+23

< 1%

100%

99.94%

84%

64%

< 1%

< 1%

16%

84%

66

Chelsea

67.3

+20

< 1%

100%

77%

52%

24%

< 1%

9%

39%

52%

66

Aston Villa

67.2

+9

< 1%

100%

72%

33%

14%

< 1%

28%

39%

33%

65

Forest

66.5

+13

< 1%

100%

51%

33%

11%

< 1%

49%

19%

33%

58

Brighton

59.0

+3

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

12%

< 1%

< 1%

55

Brentford

56.2

+9

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

2.5%

< 1%

< 1%

53

Bournemouth

55.3

+12

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

54

Fulham

55.2

+2

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

52

Crystal Palace

52.5

-2

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

< 1%

45

Everton

45.8

-4

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

41

Wolves

42.5

-15

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

40

West Ham

41.5

-18

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39

Man United

40.5

-12

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

52%

38

Tottenham

39.7

+3

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

48%

25

Leicester

25.5

-47

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

22

Ipswich

23.3

-44

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

12

Southampton

12.5

-61

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

 

Important matches for CL race
Forest vs Chelsea (146%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Chelsea	< 1%	73%	100%
Forest	80%	< 1%	< 1%
Man United vs Aston Villa (81.2%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (33%)
Aston Villa	< 1%	19%	86%
Newcastle	99.90%	81%	66%
Forest	41%	41%	16%
Newcastle vs Everton (35.8%)	Home Win (61%)	Draw (20%)	Away Win (19%)
Newcastle	100%	75%	43%
Aston Villa	25%	33%	57%
Man City	96.3%	100%	100%

	Man City			Newcastle			Chelsea			Man United			Tottenham			Forest			Aston Villa
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
69	68%	24%	100%	61%	61%	100%	35%	35%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	33%	33%	86%
68	100%	32%	93%	61%	< 1%	-	35%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	41%	41%	80%	33%	< 1%	-
67	100%	< 1%	-	81%	20%	75%	59%	24%	73%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	41%	< 1%	-	57%	24%	19%
66	100%	< 1%	-	100%	19%	43%	100%	41%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	65%	24%	< 1%	100%	43%	< 1%
65	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	35%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	-
64	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
Forest vs Chelsea (109.3%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Forest	100%	43%	< 1%
Aston Villa	57%	57%	100%
Chelsea	79%	100%	100%
Man United vs Aston Villa (57%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (33%)
Aston Villa	35%	100%	100%
Chelsea	100%	85%	85%
Forest	65%	41%	41%

	Chelsea			Aston Villa			Man United			Forest			Tottenham
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
69	35%	35%	100%	33%	33%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	35%	< 1%	-	33%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	41%	41%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-
67	59%	24%	100%	57%	24%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	41%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
66	100%	41%	79%	100%	43%	35%	< 1%	< 1%	-	65%	24%	43%	< 1%	< 1%	-
65	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	35%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	-
64	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
Forest vs Chelsea (21%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Brighton	30%	< 1%	< 1%
Brentford	6%	< 1%	< 1%
Man United vs Aston Villa (13%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (33%)
Brighton	< 1%	22%	22%
Brentford	< 1%	4.3%	4.3%

	Man United			Tottenham			Brighton			Brentford
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
61	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	27%	27%	15%	< 1%	< 1%	-
60	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	27%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
59	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	50%	23%	15%	< 1%	< 1%	-
58	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	50%	10%	33%	33%	7%
57	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	33%	< 1%	-
56	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	57%	24%	< 1%
55	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	43%	< 1%
54	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

PL: Will City stay in pole position after Bournemouth?

City secure a CL spot if they take at least 4 points in the last two matches. Newcastle and Chelsea also have it in their own hands, as a win on Sunday guarantees them a spot in CL. A draw can also suffice but then they need help from Man United. Forest have to beat Chelsea and hop that Newcastle or Aston Villa fail to win.

Average Simulated Season

Probabilities

Pts

Team

Pts

GD

Relegated

Top 7

Top 6

Top 5

Top 4

Win League

ECL

EL

CL

83

Liverpool

87.2

+48

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

71

Arsenal

73.4

+36

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

65

Man City

68.7

+26

< 1%

100%

96.8%

88%

72%

< 1%

3.2%

9%

88%

66

Newcastle

68.0

+23

< 1%

100%

99.94%

86%

66%

< 1%

< 1%

14%

86%

66

Chelsea

67.3

+20

< 1%

100%

78%

54%

29%

< 1%

8%

38%

54%

66

Aston Villa

67.2

+9

< 1%

100%

73%

37%

17%

< 1%

27%

36%

37%

65

Forest

66.5

+13

< 1%

100%

52%

35%

15%

< 1%

48%

17%

35%

55

Brighton

57.0

+2

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

5%

< 1%

< 1%

55

Brentford

56.2

+9

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

4.1%

< 1%

< 1%

53

Bournemouth

55.9

+12

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

3.5%

< 1%

< 1%

54

Fulham

55.2

+2

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

1.2%

< 1%

< 1%

49

Crystal Palace

51.4

-3

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

< 1%

45

Everton

45.8

-4

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

41

Wolves

43.4

-14

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

40

West Ham

41.5

-18

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39

Man United

40.5

-12

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

52%

38

Tottenham

39.7

+3

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

48%

25

Leicester

25.5

-47

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

22

Ipswich

23.3

-44

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

12

Southampton

12.5

-61

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Important matches for CL race
Forest vs Chelsea (139.2%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Chelsea	2.3%	77%	100%
Forest	84%	2.1%	< 1%
Man United vs Aston Villa (74.2%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (33%)
Aston Villa	1.7%	31%	89%
Newcastle	99.91%	82%	69%
Man City	95.0%	87%	79%
Newcastle vs Everton (31.1%)	Home Win (61%)	Draw (20%)	Away Win (18%)
Newcastle	100%	79%	46%
Aston Villa	31%	37%	58%
Fulham vs Man City (12.3%)	Home Win (32%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (44%)
Man City	71%	90%	98.9%
Aston Villa	46%	36%	32%

	Man City			Newcastle			Chelsea			Man United			Tottenham			Aston Villa			Forest
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
71	29%	29%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	29%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
69	53%	24%	100%	61%	61%	100%	35%	35%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	33%	33%	89%	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	81%	28%	93%	61%	< 1%	-	35%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	33%	< 1%	-	41%	41%	84%
67	85%	4.5%	85%	82%	20%	79%	59%	24%	77%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	57%	24%	31%	41%	< 1%	-
66	95.0%	10%	53%	100%	18%	46%	100%	41%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	43%	1.7%	65%	24%	2.1%
65	100%	5.0%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	35%	< 1%
64	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
Forest vs Chelsea (109.1%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Forest	100%	46%	< 1%
Aston Villa	59%	59%	100%
Chelsea	80%	100%	100%
Fulham vs Man City (5.7%)	Home Win (32%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (44%)
Man City	90%	>99.99%	100%

	Man City			Chelsea			Aston Villa			Forest			Man United			Tottenham
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
69	53%	24%	100%	35%	35%	100%	33%	33%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	81%	28%	100%	35%	< 1%	-	33%	< 1%	-	41%	41%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
67	85%	4.5%	100%	59%	24%	100%	57%	24%	100%	41%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
66	95.0%	10%	99.98%	100%	41%	80%	100%	43%	38%	65%	24%	46%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
65	100%	5.0%	35%	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	35%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
64	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
Forest vs Chelsea (18.8%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Brighton	13%	< 1%	< 1%
Brentford	10%	< 1%	< 1%
Bournemouth	8%	< 1%	< 1%
Fulham	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
Wolves vs Brentford (5.9%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (33%)
Brentford	< 1%	1.5%	11%
Bournemouth	4.8%	4.6%	1.0%
Fulham	1.8%	1.8%	< 1%
Brighton	7%	6%	2.4%

	Man United			Tottenham			Brighton			Brentford			Bournemouth			Fulham
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
61	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	6%	6%	14%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
60	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	6%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
59	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	18%	11%	13%	< 1%	< 1%	-	11%	11%	9%	< 1%	< 1%	-
58	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	44%	26%	9%	33%	33%	11%	11%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
57	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	49%	5%	6%	33%	< 1%	-	27%	16%	5%	32%	32%	3.7%
56	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	73%	24%	1.0%	57%	24%	1.5%	75%	48%	3.3%	32%	< 1%	-
55	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	27%	< 1%	100%	43%	< 1%	79%	3.2%	1.2%	56%	24%	< 1%
54	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	92%	13%	< 1%	100%	44%	< 1%
53	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	8%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	-
52	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

 

PL: Forest must win to keep dreams alive

Crystal Palace win the FA cup and thereby take one of the EL spots. That also mean that Brentford, Brighton and Bournemouth can only win a place in Conference League if Chelsea win Conference League (64%) and finish 7th in the league (8%).

In the CL race Forest visit West Ham today and must win to keep the CL dream realistic. Newcastle can secure a CL spot with a win against Arsenal, while Arsenal would secure a spot with a draw.

Average Simulated Season

Probabilities

Pts

Team

Pts

GD

Relegated

Top 7

Top 6

Top 5

Top 4

Win League

ECL

EL

CL

83

Liverpool

87.2

+48

< 1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

68

Arsenal

72.5

+36

< 1%

100%

100%

99.90%

99.40%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

99.90%

66

Newcastle

68.7

+23

< 1%

100%

99.84%

92%

77%

< 1%

< 1%

8%

92%

65

Man City

68.7

+26

< 1%

100%

98.4%

89%

73%

< 1%

1.6%

10%

89%

66

Chelsea

67.3

+20

< 1%

100%

92%

66%

29%

< 1%

2.8%

31%

66%

66

Aston Villa

67.2

+9

< 1%

100%

87%

41%

18%

< 1%

13%

45%

41%

62

Forest

64.8

+12

< 1%

100%

23%

12%

4.3%

< 1%

77%

11%

12%

55

Brentford

58.0

+10

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

3.0%

< 1%

< 1%

55

Brighton

57.0

+2

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

1.1%

< 1%

< 1%

53

Bournemouth

55.9

+12

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

51

Fulham

53.2

+0

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

49

Crystal Palace

51.4

-3

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

100%

< 1%

42

Everton

45.1

-4

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

41

Wolves

43.4

-14

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

40

West Ham

42.9

-17

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

39

Man United

40.5

-12

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

52%

38

Tottenham

39.7

+3

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

48%

22

Ipswich

24.4

-43

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

22

Leicester

24.2

-48

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

12

Southampton

13.0

-60

100%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

< 1%

Important matches for CL race
Forest vs Chelsea (57.8%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Chelsea	31%	76%	100%
Forest	29%	< 1%	< 1%
Aston Villa	52%	40%	30%
West Ham vs Forest (21.9%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Forest	< 1%	1.3%	34%
Chelsea	72%	72%	54%
Newcastle vs Everton (14.7%)	Home Win (61%)	Draw (20%)	Away Win (18%)
Newcastle	100%	89%	70%
Aston Villa	37%	43%	52%
Fulham vs Man City (11.8%)	Home Win (32%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (44%)
Man City	72%	92%	98.8%
Aston Villa	51%	39%	35%

	Newcastle			Man City			Chelsea			Man United			Tottenham			Aston Villa			Forest
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
71	10%	< 1%	-	29%	29%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	26%	15%	100%	29%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
69	68%	42%	100%	53%	24%	100%	35%	35%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	33%	33%	88%	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	72%	4.0%	92%	81%	28%	92%	35%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	33%	< 1%	-	14%	14%	81%
67	88%	17%	85%	85%	4.6%	89%	59%	24%	76%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	57%	24%	45%	14%	< 1%	-
66	100%	12%	57%	95.0%	10%	63%	100%	41%	31%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	43%	3.4%	33%	18%	2.6%
65	100%	< 1%	-	100%	5.0%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	62%	29%	< 1%
64	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	68%	6%	< 1%
63	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	86%	18%	< 1%
62	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	14%	< 1%
61	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
West Ham vs Forest (42.9%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Forest	< 1%	19%	52%
Aston Villa	100%	83%	73%
Chelsea	100%	99.82%	92%
Forest vs Chelsea (36.1%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Forest	46%	16%	< 1%
Aston Villa	76%	86%	100%
Chelsea	93%	100%	100%

	Man City			Chelsea			Aston Villa			Man United			Tottenham			Forest
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
69	53%	24%	100%	35%	35%	100%	33%	33%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	81%	28%	100%	35%	< 1%	-	33%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	14%	14%	100%
67	85%	4.6%	100%	59%	24%	100%	57%	24%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	14%	< 1%	-
66	95.0%	10%	>99.99%	100%	41%	93%	100%	43%	69%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	33%	18%	46%
65	100%	5.0%	67%	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	62%	29%	< 1%
64	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	68%	6%	< 1%
63	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	86%	18%	< 1%
62	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	14%	< 1%
61	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
West Ham vs Forest (7.1%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Brentford	< 1%	< 1%	9%
Brighton	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%
Bournemouth	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%
Forest vs Chelsea (6.5%)	Home Win (41%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (35%)
Brentford	7%	< 1%	< 1%
Brighton	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Bournemouth	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%

	Man United			Tottenham			Brentford			Brighton
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
61	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	17%	17%	5.0%	6%	6%	4.1%
60	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	17%	< 1%	-	6%	< 1%	-
59	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	37%	20%	4.2%	18%	11%	2.9%
58	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	67%	30%	3.7%	44%	26%	1.5%
57	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	73%	6%	2.1%	50%	5%	< 1%
56	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	89%	16%	< 1%	73%	24%	< 1%
55	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	11%	< 1%	100%	27%	< 1%
54	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points