Mexico favorite in Group A

Mexico are favorites in Group A challenged primarily by South Korea and Czechia. As detailed below, if Mexico beat South Africa they have almost (>99%) secured a place in R32. The winner between South Korea and Czechia have >90%, whereas a draw mean 70-75% for both teams.

Group A				Probabilities
Team	Pld	GF	Pts	xPts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 32
Mexico	0	0	0	6.7	2.5%	9%	24%	65%	96.5%
South Korea	0	0	0	4.32	15%	32%	35%	18%	76%
Czechia	0	0	0	4.02	18%	35%	32%	15%	72%
South Africa	0	0	0	1.8	64%	24%	9%	2.5%	25%

Mexico

Mexico - South Africa
Home	Draw	Away
99.36%	90%	74%	Sou - Cze
99.3%	90%	75%	96.5%	Home
99.4%	90%	71%	96.3%	Draw
99.4%	90%	75%	96.6%	Away

South Korea

South Korea - Czechia
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
97%	96.7%	95.7%	94%	74%	60%	54%	49%	45%	Mex - Sou
97%	96.8%	95.8%	94%	75%	61%	55%	50%	45%	77%	Home
96%	97%	96%	95%	74%	56%	51%	47%	42%	75%	Draw
97%	96%	96%	94%	72%	49%	46%	42%	39%	73%	Away

Czechia

South Korea - Czechia
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
40%	46%	51%	57%	72%	93%	95%	95.8%	96%	Mex - Sou
41%	46%	52%	58%	72%	92%	95%	96%	96%	72%	Home
40%	45%	49%	53%	71%	93%	95%	95%	96%	70%	Draw
34%	39%	43%	47%	70%	92%	94%	96%	97%	68%	Away

South Africa

Mexico - South Africa
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
16%	18%	21%	24%	36%	68%	71%	74%	74%	Sou - Cze
16%	18%	21%	24%	37%	67%	71%	75%	76%	25%	Home
16%	19%	23%	25%	36%	69%	72%	72%	72%	26%	Draw
16%	18%	20%	23%	36%	67%	70%	75%	72%	24%	Away