Premier League - Matchweek 6

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
18	Man City	86.5	+51		>99.99%	99.99%	99.96%	99.86%	58%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	99.94%
15	Arsenal	84.5	+45		>99.99%	99.98%	99.93%	99.74%	41%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	99.89%
9	Liverpool	66.6	+21	< 0.1%	91%	85%	76%	62%	0.49%	4.4%	16%	74%
13	Brighton	64.4	+24	< 0.1%	85%	77%	66%	51%	0.30%	6%	19%	64%
10	Chelsea	60.4	+12	< 0.1%	67%	56%	42%	27%	< 0.1%	10%	25%	39%
10	Brentford	57.1	+11	0.11%	50%	38%	26%	14%	< 0.1%	12%	23%	24%
5	Aston Villa	56.8	+7	0.14%	48%	36%	24%	13%	< 0.1%	11%	24%	22%
8	Newcastle	56.6	+4	0.16%	46%	34%	23%	13%	< 0.1%	12%	22%	21%
6	Man United	54.8	+7	0.32%	37%	27%	17%	9%	< 0.1%	9%	20%	16%
3	Bournemouth	51.7	+1	0.99%	22%	14%	8%	3.7%	< 0.1%	8%	14%	7%
9	Leeds	51.2	-0	1.1%	19%	12%	7%	3.1%	< 0.1%	7%	11%	6%
10	Everton	50.7	-2	1.1%	17%	11%	6%	2.6%	< 0.1%	8%	11%	5%
7	Crystal Palace	48.6	-7	2.3%	11%	7%	3.4%	1.4%	< 0.1%	6%	7%	3.1%
5	Forest	44.0	-11	8%	3.3%	1.7%	0.76%	0.26%		1.9%	2.9%	0.67%
3	Tottenham	42.3	-14	13%	1.9%	0.98%	0.43%	0.15%		1.2%	2.0%	0.38%
2	Fulham	41.4	-11	15%	1.5%	0.74%	0.31%	< 0.1%		2.4%	1.9%	0.27%
4	Sunderland	35.2	-25	47%	0.12%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%		0.40%	0.27%	< 0.1%
9	Ipswich	34.9	-35	52%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%	0.11%	< 0.1%
6	Coventry	31.7	-37	71%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%		< 0.1%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%
9	Hull	28.4	-40	87%	< 0.1%	< 0.1%				< 0.1%	< 0.1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Man City	58%	27%	18%
Arsenal	41%	31%	48%
Liverpool	0.49%	9%	10%
Brighton	0.30%	4.4%	1.7%
Chelsea	< 0.1%	3.7%	3.9%
Brentford	< 0.1%	2.7%	4.6%
Aston Villa	< 0.1%	4.7%	2.4%
Newcastle	< 0.1%	3.6%	4.6%
Man United	< 0.1%	3.6%
Bournemouth	< 0.1%	2.7%	1.2%
Leeds	< 0.1%	1.2%
Everton	< 0.1%	1.4%	1.7%
Crystal Palace	< 0.1%	1.3%	2.0%
Forest		0.91%
Tottenham		0.79%
Fulham		0.95%	1.4%
Sunderland		0.19%	0.31%
Ipswich		< 0.1%
Coventry		< 0.1%
Hull		< 0.1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Everton	29%	26%	45%	Chelsea
Brentford	27%	24%	49%	Liverpool
Fulham	62%	22%	16%	Hull
Man City	81%	12%	7%	Ipswich
Newcastle	36%	24%	40%	Aston Villa
Bournemouth	55%	25%	20%	Sunderland
Brighton	47%	25%	28%	Crystal Palace
Leeds	29%	24%	47%	Man United
Forest	11%	20%	69%	Arsenal

Most likely combo of teams in CL

12%	Arsenal, Brighton, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
6%	Arsenal, Brentford, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
6%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
6%	Arsenal, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
4.7%	Arsenal, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City
4.0%	Arsenal, Brighton, Liverpool, Man City, Man United
2.8%	Arsenal, Brentford, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
2.4%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Newcastle
2.4%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
2.1%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City

Most likely combo of teams being relegated

24%	Coventry, Hull, Ipswich
20%	Coventry, Hull, Sunderland
11%	Hull, Ipswich, Sunderland
5%	Coventry, Fulham, Hull
4.9%	Coventry, Hull, Tottenham
4.7%	Coventry, Ipswich, Sunderland
3.1%	Coventry, Forest, Hull
2.9%	Fulham, Hull, Ipswich
2.5%	Fulham, Hull, Sunderland
2.4%	Hull, Ipswich, Tottenham