Italy, Netherlands, Costa Rica, United States, Argentina, and Colombia all qualified yesterday. Congratulations! [Correction: Colombia is theoretically not qualified. They may miss it if: 1) Colombia lose remaining two matches AND 2) Ecuador and Uruguay draw AND 3) Uruguay beat Argentina AND 4) Ecuador beat Chile. In addition Colombia have to lose the goal difference advantage they've got against Uruguay (13) and Uruguay (9).]

In Asia, Uzbekistan and Jordan played 1-1, same result as in Jordan last Friday. After extra time and penalties Jordan managed to win and thereby qualified for the intercontinental playoff against 5th team in South America, likely Uruguay or Ecuador.

I've updated the ELO ratings that are used to determine teams strength (thanks Niclas for the feedback).

Country	Qual	Sep-01	Apr-01	Champ	Sep-01	Apr-01
Brazil	100	+0.0	+0.0	33.8	+8.2	+8.2
Japan	100	+0.0	+0.0	0.07	-0.3	-0.3
South Korea	100	+0.0	+1.8	0.013	-0.2	-0.2
Australia	100	+0.0	+21.4	0.028	-0.1	-0.1
Iran	100	+0.0	+58.5	0.02	+0.0	+0.0
Argentina	100	+0.0	+0.0	8.2	+0.2	+0.2
Netherlands	100	+0.0	+0.0	6.2	+1.4	+1.4
Colombia	100	+0.4	+0.5	3.13	+1.7	+1.7
United States	100	+0.7	+15.6	0.33	+0.2	+0.2
Italy	100	+2.0	+4.6	3.02	+1.2	+1.2
Costa Rica	100	+11.6	+52.4	0.05	+0.0	+0.0
Spain	99.89	+0.3	+0.3	22.7	-7.3	-7.4
Switzerland	99.89	+1.9	+5.1	0.39	+0.2	+0.1
Germany	99.87	+0.0	+0.6	11.1	-2.0	-1.9
Belgium	98.89	+28.2	+48.3	0.77	+0.7	+0.7
Chile	98.86	+5.4	+22.5	0.63	+0.3	+0.4
Ecuador	94.5	-2.9	-4.3	0.36	-0.2	-0.2
Uruguay	93.1	+50.0	+63.4	0.9	+0.7	+0.8
Russia	92.8	+1.3	-6.2	0.6	-0.6	-0.7
England	90.7	-2.9	-2.5	3.47	-1.0	-1.0
Honduras	88.8	+40.0	+32.0	0.007	+0.0	-0.0
Ivory Coast	84.1	-5.7	-4.2	0.21	-0.5	-0.5
Bosnia and Herzegov	83.1	+7.6	+13.0	0.12	+0.1	+0.1
Portugal	79.3	-2.1	+5.7	1.6	-0.6	-0.4
Nigeria	75.3	+12.9	+23.5	0.034	+0.0	+0.0
Ghana	74.3	+14.1	+35.6	0.023	+0.0	+0.0
Egypt	72.2	-5.8	-2.3	0.02	-0.0	-0.0
Greece	70.3	+2.6	+2.6	0.28	+0.1	+0.1
Croatia	66.7	-10.0	-22.0	0.58	-0.1	-0.3
France	63	-5.3	-5.5	0.42	-0.1	-0.1
Burkina Faso	56.5	+43.9	+51.6	0.001	+0.0	+0.0
Ukraine	52	+23.6	+40.7	0.18	+0.2	+0.2
Mexico	50.7	-46.1	-46.2	0.06	-2.2	-2.2
Sweden	50	+0.0	-15.5	0.54	+0.0	-0.1
Algeria	32.3	-2.1	+15.7	0.0004	+0.0	+0.0
Cameroon	32.1	+6.8	+9.2	0.001	+0.0	+0.0
Senegal	31.8	+10.7	+14.5	0.0002	+0.0	+0.0
New Zealand	30.9	-5.1	-5.5	0.001	+0.0	+0.0
Panama	29.6	+1.8	-26.3	0.01	+0.0	+0.0
Tunisia	26.8	-37.9	-29.8	0	-0.0	-0.0
Romania	21.9	-3.0	-2.5	0.027	-0.0	+0.0
Ethiopia	14.5	+2.8	+10.8	0	+0.0	+0.0
Jordan	12.7	+2.6	-5.3	0	+0.0	-0.0
Bulgaria	7.3	-1.2	+2.2	0.002	+0.0	+0.0
Norway	4.5	-8.5	-14.9	0.003	-0.0	-0.0
Hungary	4.05	-2.5	-2.4	0.001	+0.0	+0.0
Denmark	3.86	+3.0	-7.9	0.003	+0.0	-0.0
Iceland	3.35	+2.5	+1.1	0	+0.0	+0.0
Montenegro	3.08	-2.3	-14.8	0.001	+0.0	+0.0
Austria	2.23	+0.5	+1.8	0.0003	+0.0	+0.0
Turkey	1.39	+0.8	+0.8	0.0001	-0.0	-0.0
Slovenia	1.07	+0.3	+0.8	0	+0.0	+0.0
Venezuela	0.87	-25.3	-54.2	0.0002	-0.0	-0.0
Czechia	0.42	-17.7	-13.1	0.001	-0.0	-0.0
Poland	0.27	-2.8	-5.2	0	-0.0	-0.0
Albania	0.08	-0.9	-1.1	0	+0.0	+0.0
Jamaica	0.038	-2.7	-22.0	0	+0.0	-0.0
Israel	0.02	-1.8	-1.8	0	-0.0	+0.0
Armenia	0.018	-0.0	+0.0	0	+0.0	+0.0
Ireland	0.0001	-7.1	-3.6	0	-0.0	-0.0

 Table shows probability that a team will qualify for the playoff if they come second in their group.  Last column shows probability that team come second. The 9th runner up is not playing the playoff, and it seems likely that the 9th runner up will be a team from either group E or B.

Group	Country	Playoff	Second
E	Switzerland	100	0.20
C	Germany	100	1.01
I	Spain	100	1.36
A	Belgium	100	2.44
F	Russia	100	20.32
G	Bosnia and Herzegovina	100	25.95
G	Greece	100	74.04
I	France	100	98.63
F	Portugal	99.995	79.58
C	Sweden	99.90	86.60
H	England	99.85	18.09
H	Poland	99.45	0.773
H	Ukraine	99.38	74.95
H	Montenegro	98.72	6.17
E	Iceland	98.45	40.24
A	Croatia	98.25	97.55
C	Austria	97.97	12.37
F	Israel	97.79	0.090
D	Romania	95.71	70.02
D	Turkey	93.87	7.26
D	Hungary	80.91	22.70
B	Armenia	72.54	0.225
C	Ireland	66.66	0.0003
B	Bulgaria	54.71	59.46
E	Norway	42.73	38.71
B	Denmark	42.17	31.33
E	Slovenia	32.75	18.01
E	Albania	27.89	2.81
B	Czechia	15.66	8.97

Table shows probability that a team will be seeded in the playoff if they qualify for the playoff. Last column shows probability that team qualify for playoff.

Rank	Group	Country	Seeded	Playoff
1	I	Spain	100	1.36
2	C	Germany	100	1.01
6	H	England	100	18.06
7	F	Portugal	100	79.57
9	F	Russia	100	20.32
10	A	Croatia	99.997	95.85
11	G	Greece	99.59	74.04
13	E	Switzerland	85.6	0.20
17	I	France	86.4	98.63
19	C	Sweden	23.9	86.52
20	A	Belgium	29.4	2.44
23	B	Denmark	3.62	13.21
24	E	Norway	2.86	16.54
26	G	Bosnia and Herzegovina	8.17	25.95
29	B	Czechia	0.014	1.40
31	H	Montenegro	0.127	6.100
32	D	Hungary	0.066	18.37
33	D	Romania	0.128	67.02
40	D	Turkey	0.108	6.817
41	C	Ireland	0	0.0002
44	H	Ukraine	0	74.494
47	E	Slovenia	0	5.902
50	B	Bulgaria	0	32.540
56	H	Poland	0	0.769
63	E	Albania	0	0.784
68	C	Austria	0	12.126
75	B	Armenia	0	0.163
76	F	Israel	0	0.088
89	E	Iceland	0	39.624