Congratulations Algeria, Croatia, France, Ghana, Greece, Mexico, Portugal,  and Uruguay.

Going back to the predictions of the qualification back in July 2012, we can conclude that the greatest [positive] surprises were:

1. Algeria (15%)
2. Cameroon (23%)
3. Belgium (39%)
4. Costa Rica (39%)
5. Bosnia and Herzegovina (3242%)

where the percentage indicates the chance the team was estimated to have back in July 2012. Likewise the greatest disappointments were:

1. Egypt (63%)
2. Sweden (61%)
3. Panama (49%)
4. Tunisia (44%)
5. Uzbekistan (39%)

We have 32 countries, which will be drawn into eight groups on 6th of December. The countries will most likely be divided into five pots as:

• Pot A (seeded): Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Colombia, Germany, Spain, Switzerland, and Uruguay
• Pot B (North America & Asia): Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Iran, Japan, Mexico, South Korea, and United States 
• Pot C (Europe): Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, England, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Portugal, and Russia
• Pot D (South America & Africa): Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Ecuador, Ghana, Ivory Coast, and Nigeria.
• Special Pot: France

France (special pot) will be drawn together with a non-European team from Pot 1, a team from Pot 2, and a team from Pot 3. This is to ensure that there is no group with three Europeans teams. Then each South American team in Pot D is drawn with a European team from Pot A, a team from Pot B, and a team from Pot C. Then the remaining five groups are drawn by picking one team from each of the four pots.

Country	Qual	2013-Oct	2012-Jul	Champ	2013-Oct	2012-Jul
Brazil	100	+0.0	+0.0	33.9	-0.4	+17.1
Spain	100	+0.0	+0.4	20.5	-0.1	-13.7
Argentina	100	+0.0	+0.5	7.5	-0.2	-1.4
Germany	100	+0.0	+2.9	13.7	+0.1	-0.6
England	100	+0.0	+3.8	3.43	+0.0	-1.9
South Korea	100	+0.0	+5.2	0.01	-0.0	-0.3
Netherlands	100	+0.0	+5.7	6.6	-0.1	+1.5
Japan	100	+0.0	+6.9	0.037	-0.0	-0.3
Colombia	100	+0.0	+11.3	2.17	-0.1	+0.7
Australia	100	+0.0	+15.2	0.024	-0.0	-0.1
Italy	100	+0.0	+16.0	1.82	-0.3	+0.1
Ecuador	100	+0.0	+18.4	0.33	+0.0	-0.3
United States	100	+0.0	+18.9	0.58	-0.1	+0.5
Russia	100	+0.0	+19.2	0.55	-0.0	-0.6
Switzerland	100	+0.0	+21.1	0.92	+0.4	+0.7
Iran	100	+0.0	+29.3	0.017	-0.0	+0.0
Chile	100	+0.0	+36.9	0.9	+0.0	+0.7
Honduras	100	+0.0	+53.3	0.008	-0.0	+0.0
Bosnia and Herzegov	100	+0.0	+57.8	0.23	+0.0	+0.2
Costa Rica	100	+0.0	+61.2	0.035	-0.0	+0.0
Belgium	100	+0.0	+61.5	1.02	-0.0	+0.9
Ghana	100	+0.1	+55.2	0.04	-0.0	+0.0
Nigeria	100	+2.5	+42.2	0.05	+0.0	+0.0
Ivory Coast	100	+3.3	+18.2	0.25	+0.0	-0.4
Uruguay	100	+9.3	+16.2	2.41	+0.2	+1.9
Croatia	100	+14.4	+18.3	0.31	+0.0	-0.6
Mexico	100	+27.3	+1.4	0.06	+0.0	-2.5
Cameroon	100	+28.0	+77.4	0.001	+0.0	+0.0
Greece	100	+32.9	+24.1	0.44	+0.2	+0.2
France	100	+39.5	+40.5	0.76	+0.1	+0.3
Portugal	100	+44.3	+11.6	1.35	+0.6	-1.3
Algeria	100	+70.6	+85.3	0.001	+0.0	+0.0