Group B

The possibly toughest group has started - and what a start. The big re-match between last cup's finalists ended with world champions floored, but remember that this is the first round, and not the knock-out round. They still have a 48% to survive the group compared with the 84% they entered the tournament with. A win against Chile in next game is more or less a necessity. The Dutch improved their chances from 62% to 93%. Likewise, Chile jumped up from 44% to 57% after their win against Australia. An interesting scenario is that Australia fly home pointless and that three contenders beat each other and finish on 6 points, in which case goal difference decide. And then having a 5-1 win in your trunk is not a disadvantage.