Group C

Colombia are through and will most likely win the group (98%). Ivory Coast are through if they win or if they draw and Japan fail to win against Colombia. The model predicts this to add up to 58%. Greece qualify if they win against Ivory Coast and Japan fails to win. If Japan wins, Greece needs to win two goals greater margin than Japan (31%). Japan needs to win against Colombia and Ivory Coast must fail to win against Greece. If Ivory Coast draws, a two-goal victory will make it for Japan (or possibly a one-goal viktory with lots of goals). If Greece and Japans both win goal difference will decide, where Japan has a two goal advantage.