| Group A |
| Chance | m | p | +/- | | Key |
| 99.87% | 3 | 7 | 6-0 | Real Madrid | qualified if they win against Malmoe; otherwise 98.3% |
| 98.4% | 3 | 7 | 5-0 | Paris SG | qualified if they win against Malmoe; otherwise 96% |
| 0.9% | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | Malmoe | 5% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 0.05% |
| 0.8% | 3 | 0 | 0-8 | Shakhtar | 4% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 0% |
This groups is more less closed after Match Day 3 regarding which teams will be top 2. Madrid and Paris are fighting about the top seat, while Malmoe and Shakhtar fight about the third and a ticket to Europa League.
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