Leicester won again and now has more than 75% predicted chance to win the league.
Expected Outcome |
Team | Points | Expected +/- | Chance% |
Leicester | 76.8 | 65-40 | 75.9 |
Tottenham | 71.4 | 67-34 | 13 |
Arsenal | 70.9 | 65-38 | 8.77 |
Man City | 67.6 | 69-41 | 2.41 |
Important Matches | | | 1 | | | | | X | | | | | 2 | | | | |
Home | | Away | | Leices | Totten | Arsena | Man Ci | | Leices | Totten | Arsena | Man Ci | | Leices | Totten | Arsena | Man Ci | Importance |
Leicester | - | Everton | | 84.9 | 8.44 | 5.31 | 1.31 | | 70.5 | 15.7 | 10.8 | 3 | | 61.7 | 19.9 | 14.2 | 4.18 | 27.3 |
Leicester | - | Southampton | | 85 | 8.42 | 5.24 | 1.32 | | 70.9 | 15.5 | 10.6 | 2.91 | | 61.9 | 19.7 | 14.2 | 4.15 | 27 |
Leicester | - | West Ham | | 84.3 | 8.84 | 5.51 | 1.37 | | 69.9 | 16 | 11.1 | 3.07 | | 60.7 | 20.2 | 14.6 | 4.37 | 26.7 |
Sunderland | - | Leicester | | 64.1 | 18.8 | 13.2 | 3.87 | | 72.7 | 14.6 | 10 | 2.7 | | 86.3 | 7.73 | 4.8 | 1.18 | 26.6 |
Leicester | - | Swansea | | 83.6 | 9.16 | 5.79 | 1.49 | | 68.6 | 16.7 | 11.5 | 3.22 | | 59.7 | 20.7 | 15.1 | 4.41 | 25.8 |
Man City | - | Arsenal | | 78.1 | 13.4 | 4.6 | 3.92 | | 77.3 | 13.4 | 8.1 | 1.13 | | 69.9 | 11.5 | 18.3 | 0.397 | 23.4 |
Man United | - | Leicester | | 69.3 | 16.2 | 11.3 | 3.19 | | 77.1 | 12.4 | 8.24 | 2.2 | | 89 | 6.28 | 3.81 | 0.919 | 19.7 |
Liverpool | - | Tottenham | | 80.5 | 7.06 | 9.78 | 2.7 | | 77.6 | 10.7 | 9.17 | 2.57 | | 69.1 | 21.7 | 7.27 | 1.95 | 18.2 |
Stoke | - | Tottenham | | 80.5 | 6.86 | 9.9 | 2.74 | | 78 | 10.4 | 9.1 | 2.52 | | 69.5 | 21.1 | 7.35 | 1.99 | 18 |
Chelsea | - | Leicester | | 70.1 | 15.8 | 11 | 3.11 | | 77.7 | 12.2 | 8 | 2.12 | | 89.3 | 6.14 | 3.75 | 0.854 | 17.6 |
Chelsea | - | Tottenham | | 79.7 | 7.96 | 9.64 | 2.71 | | 76.6 | 12 | 8.93 | 2.41 | | 67.7 | 23.5 | 6.95 | 1.83 | 17.5 |
Newcastle | - | Tottenham | | 81.3 | 5.79 | 10.1 | 2.76 | | 78.9 | 8.92 | 9.5 | 2.66 | | 71.4 | 18.8 | 7.69 | 2.11 | 16.3 |
Tottenham | - | Man United | | 71.6 | 18.5 | 7.81 | 2.09 | | 79.2 | 8.76 | 9.4 | 2.65 | | 81.4 | 5.62 | 10.1 | 2.84 | 16.2 |
West Ham | - | Arsenal | | 79.9 | 14 | 3.44 | 2.66 | | 77.9 | 13.6 | 5.94 | 2.59 | | 71.8 | 11.8 | 14.3 | 2.12 | 15.9 |
Tottenham | - | Southampton | | 72.3 | 17.5 | 7.96 | 2.16 | | 79.6 | 8.21 | 9.5 | 2.69 | | 81.7 | 5.21 | 10.3 | 2.81 | 14.5 |
Sunderland | - | Arsenal | | 80.1 | 14.2 | 2.96 | 2.71 | | 78.7 | 13.7 | 5.09 | 2.58 | | 72.9 | 12.1 | 12.8 | 2.22 | 13.7 |
Tottenham | - | West Brom | | 73.2 | 16.4 | 8.17 | 2.2 | | 80 | 7.51 | 9.74 | 2.78 | | 82.3 | 4.73 | 10.1 | 2.86 | 12.2 |
Tottenham | - | Bournemouth | | 73.5 | 16.1 | 8.21 | 2.25 | | 80.4 | 7.21 | 9.75 | 2.66 | | 82.1 | 4.7 | 10.3 | 2.89 | 11.2 |
Arsenal | - | Crystal Palace | | 74.1 | 12.4 | 11.2 | 2.29 | | 79.2 | 13.9 | 4.35 | 2.6 | | 80.4 | 14.3 | 2.5 | 2.77 | 9.62 |
Arsenal | - | Watford | | 74.2 | 12.5 | 11 | 2.3 | | 79.3 | 13.8 | 4.18 | 2.67 | | 80.6 | 14.2 | 2.44 | 2.7 | 9.25 |
Points | Leicester | | Tottenham | | Arsenal | | Man City | |
87 | 0.207 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
85 | 0.846 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
84 | 1.51 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
83 | 1.43 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
82 | 4.93 | 99.8 | 0.221 | 95.3 | - | - | - | - |
81 | 5.36 | 99.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
80 | 6.63 | 99 | 0.887 | 84.1 | - | - | - | - |
79 | 11.4 | 97 | 1.3 | 77.3 | 1.12 | 75 | - | - |
78 | 10 | 94.8 | 1.56 | 65.7 | - | - | 0.342 | 66.5 |
77 | 11 | 88.4 | 4.5 | 54.4 | 3.38 | 50.9 | - | - |
76 | 12.5 | 79 | 4.72 | 41.8 | 4.59 | 37.9 | 1.27 | 41.1 |
75 | 9.32 | 69 | 6.44 | 28.7 | 4.25 | 26.3 | 1.52 | 27.3 |
74 | 8.22 | 52.9 | 9.92 | 19 | 10.9 | 16.4 | 2.14 | 18.4 |
73 | 6.87 | 38.2 | 9.13 | 10.4 | 9.38 | 8.75 | 5.08 | 9.2 |
72 | 4.1 | 24.9 | 10.7 | 4.99 | 10.6 | 4.12 | 5.03 | 3.95 |
71 | 2.75 | 13.8 | 11.6 | 2.09 | 13.3 | 1.69 | 7.25 | 1.76 |
70 | 1.75 | 6.64 | 9.29 | 0.72 | 9.94 | 0.577 | 9.58 | 0.49 |
69 | 0.734 | 2.78 | 8.82 | 0.193 | 9.47 | 0.145 | 8.97 | 0.115 |
68 | 0.325 | 1.26 | 7.35 | 0.0327 | 8.19 | 0.0318 | 10.5 | 0.0219 |
67 | 0.147 | 0.408 | 4.92 | 0 | 5.28 | 0.00757 | 10.5 | 0.000954 |
66 | 0.0274 | 0 | 3.7 | 0 | 3.99 | 0.0025 | 8.81 | 0.00114 |
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