Man City lost the derby

Manchester City lost the derby and now need to focus on finishing top-four. Tottenham won easily and do everything to stress front runner, Leicester. Tottenham probably need another 16 points in their remaining seven matches to have a good chance.

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Chance%
Leicester	76.8	65-40	74.6
Tottenham	72.2	67-33	16.5
Arsenal	70.9	65-38	8.43
Man City	65.6	67-41	0.48

Important Matches			1					X					2
Home		Away		Leices	Totten	Arsena	Man Ci		Leices	Totten	Arsena	Man Ci		Leices	Totten	Arsena	Man Ci	Importance
Leicester	-	Everton		83.8	10.9	5.14	0.21		69.1	19.9	10.3	0.611		60.3	25.2	13.6	0.926	27
Leicester	-	Southampton		83.9	10.8	5.1	0.199		69.4	19.8	10.2	0.594		60.6	25	13.5	0.939	26.8
Leicester	-	West Ham		83.2	11.3	5.31	0.223		68.1	20.5	10.7	0.636		59.4	25.6	14	0.97	26.7
Sunderland	-	Leicester		62.7	23.7	12.7	0.842		71.3	18.6	9.59	0.536		85.1	10	4.66	0.183	26.2
Leicester	-	Swansea		82.4	11.8	5.54	0.237		67.1	21.1	11.1	0.659		58.1	26.3	14.5	1.04	26.1
Liverpool	-	Tottenham		80.3	9.48	9.65	0.583		76.8	13.8	8.85	0.519		66.1	26.9	6.64	0.327	21.2
Stoke	-	Tottenham		80.6	9.18	9.66	0.598		76.9	13.6	8.93	0.526		66.7	26.2	6.78	0.322	20.9
Chelsea	-	Tottenham		79.3	10.6	9.48	0.572		75.5	15.5	8.48	0.486		64.5	28.9	6.32	0.294	19.9
Man United	-	Leicester		67.9	20.6	10.8	0.667		75.7	15.9	7.96	0.415		88.1	8.17	3.65	0.132	19.8
Newcastle	-	Tottenham		81.6	7.79	9.97	0.631		78.4	11.7	9.3	0.551		69	23.5	7.17	0.364	19.3
Tottenham	-	Man United		69.1	23.2	7.25	0.386		78.7	11.6	9.23	0.537		81.7	7.65	10	0.613	19
Man City	-	Arsenal		77.2	17.4	4.56	0.839		75.7	16.6	7.56	0.135		68.1	14.5	17.4	0.0341	18
Chelsea	-	Leicester		68.7	20.1	10.5	0.646		76.5	15.3	7.75	0.389		88.3	8.02	3.51	0.131	17.9
Tottenham	-	Southampton		70.2	22	7.38	0.383		79.2	10.7	9.48	0.563		81.9	7.25	10.2	0.657	17.1
West Ham	-	Arsenal		78.3	17.9	3.25	0.578		76.7	17.2	5.63	0.514		70.7	15.1	13.8	0.388	15.6
Tottenham	-	West Brom		71.3	20.7	7.64	0.399		79.8	9.98	9.62	0.572		82.4	6.53	10.3	0.711	14.4
Sunderland	-	Arsenal		78.6	17.9	2.83	0.591		77.2	17.5	4.78	0.533		71.8	15.5	12.4	0.409	13.5
Arsenal	-	Crystal Palace		72.9	15.9	10.8	0.44		77.8	17.6	4.02	0.55		79	18.1	2.31	0.584	9.72
Arsenal	-	Watford		73	15.9	10.6	0.447		77.8	17.6	3.99	0.543		79.1	18.1	2.22	0.576	9.16
Arsenal	-	West Brom		72.9	16	10.7	0.439		77.9	17.5	4.11	0.556		79.1	18	2.27	0.598	9.06

Points	Leicester		Tottenham		Arsenal		Man City
87	0.207	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	0.852	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	1.5	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	1.44	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	4.99	99.7	0.31	95.2	-	-	-	-
81	5.42	99.7	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	6.61	98.7	1.2	84.7	-	-	-	-
79	11.3	96	1.83	77.3	1.13	74	-	-
78	10.1	93.9	1.91	65.5	-	-	-	-
77	11	86.2	5.85	55	3.36	49.8	-	-
76	12.5	76.9	6	42.5	4.61	37.3	-	-
75	9.3	66.4	7.47	29.4	4.22	24.9	0.566	25.8
74	8.17	50.6	11.7	20	10.9	15.4	-	-
73	6.88	36.5	10.2	11.4	9.41	8.26	1.95	8.52
72	4.08	24	11.1	5.69	10.5	3.87	2.41	3.49
71	2.76	13.4	11.8	2.65	13.4	1.62	2.93	1.44
70	1.72	6.79	8.75	0.939	9.93	0.497	7.08	0.469
69	0.726	2.93	7.52	0.291	9.43	0.139	6.69	0.0912
68	0.335	0.807	6.07	0.0692	8.19	0.0256	8.73	0.0149
67	0.142	0.351	3.55	0.0141	5.3	0.00189	11.6	0.00173