PL: Leicester beat Newcastle

The match between Man City and Arsenal is no longer considered the most important match because they are not very strong contenders. The key matches are the ones Leicester play as they have it the title in their hands.

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Chance%
Leicester	75.1	66-42	66.1
Tottenham	71.4	67-34	20.8
Arsenal	69.4	64-40	8.43
Man City	67.6	69-41	4.67

Important Matches			1					X					2
Home		Away		Leices	Totten	Arsena	Man Ci		Leices	Totten	Arsena	Man Ci		Leices	Totten	Arsena	Man Ci	Importance
Sunderland	-	Leicester		53.2	28	11.9	6.83		62	23.2	9.51	5.29		77.8	14.2	5.28	2.75	26.8
Leicester	-	Southampton		76.2	15.1	5.63	3.04		59.9	24.5	10.1	5.6		51.2	29	12.6	7.14	26.7
Leicester	-	Everton		76.1	15.2	5.69	3.07		59.7	24.4	10.2	5.68		50.9	29.4	12.6	7.13	26.6
Leicester	-	West Ham		75.4	15.6	5.86	3.15		58.8	25	10.4	5.87		49.9	29.8	13	7.33	26.4
Man City	-	Arsenal		67.1	21.2	4.44	7.31		67.9	21.7	7.88	2.51		62.3	19.3	17.4	1.08	25.3
Crystal Palace	-	Leicester		55.3	26.8	11.4	6.5		64.1	22.1	8.92	4.9		79.1	13.4	4.87	2.54	25.2
Leicester	-	Swansea		74.4	16.1	6.17	3.3		57.8	25.6	10.7	5.91		48.9	30.4	13	7.64	24.9
Stoke	-	Tottenham		72.1	12.6	9.8	5.51		68.4	17.7	8.87	4.97		58.1	31.7	6.67	3.58	21.9
Liverpool	-	Tottenham		71.8	13	9.73	5.44		68.1	18.2	8.84	4.88		57.8	32.1	6.58	3.6	21.2
Man United	-	Leicester		58.6	25.1	10.5	5.87		67.1	20.4	8	4.5		81.5	12	4.3	2.24	21
Newcastle	-	Tottenham		73.4	10.8	10	5.72		70	15.6	9.21	5.2		60.3	28.7	7.18	3.85	20.5
Chelsea	-	Tottenham		70.8	14.3	9.52	5.32		66.9	19.9	8.57	4.7		56.2	34.3	6.2	3.38	20.1
Tottenham	-	Man United		60.5	28.4	7.15	3.95		70.3	15.4	9.28	5.12		73.4	10.7	10.2	5.72	20
Chelsea	-	Leicester		59.4	24.6	10.3	5.76		67.9	19.9	7.76	4.38		82	11.7	4.2	2.09	19.3
Tottenham	-	Southampton		61.5	27.1	7.33	4.04		70.9	14.4	9.49	5.23		73.7	10.1	10.3	5.83	18.4
Tottenham	-	West Brom		62.6	25.6	7.61	4.19		71.4	13.5	9.65	5.4		74.5	9.22	10.4	5.85	15.4
Everton	-	Arsenal		69.1	22.2	3.7	5.09		67.6	21.5	6.07	4.82		62.6	19.2	14	4.22	14.4
Tottenham	-	Bournemouth		63	25.1	7.67	4.22		71.6	13.1	9.77	5.45		74.4	9.1	10.5	5.95	14.3
West Ham	-	Arsenal		69.2	22.2	3.55	5.05		67.8	21.5	5.77	4.88		62.8	19.4	13.5	4.28	13.9
Sunderland	-	Arsenal		69.5	22.3	3.11	5.06		68.2	21.8	5.05	4.96		63.7	19.7	12.1	4.39	11.8

Points	Leicester		Tottenham		Arsenal		Man City
87	0.0745	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	0.359	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	0.634	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	0.736	100	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	2.51	99.9	0.216	97.2	-	-	-	-
81	2.91	99.8	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	4.2	99.1	0.878	91.3	-	-	-	-
79	7.36	97.5	1.32	86.5	0.45	84.8	-	-
78	7.38	95.8	1.55	78.5	-	-	0.336	78.6
77	9.41	90.8	4.5	70.6	1.62	66	-	-
76	11.5	83.4	4.72	59.6	2.24	53.3	1.27	57.7
75	10	74.3	6.45	46.4	2.52	40.8	1.54	43.7
74	10.3	60.8	9.91	34.9	6.7	28.8	2.14	31.9
73	9.63	46.7	9.12	23.3	6.43	17.7	5.13	19.9
72	7.1	32.4	10.7	14	8.4	10.1	5.03	11.3
71	5.93	20.3	11.5	7.69	11.5	4.81	7.24	5.67
70	4.35	11.2	9.38	3.47	9.86	1.91	9.61	2.29
69	2.52	5.61	8.77	1.35	10.8	0.717	8.97	0.788
68	1.64	2.26	7.31	0.431	10.5	0.195	10.5	0.253
67	0.908	1.02	4.93	0.13	7.97	0.0414	10.4	0.0636
66	0.381	0.21	3.7	0.0243	6.95	0.0115	8.81	0.0125
65	0.165	0	2.44	0.0164	5.22	0	8.25	0.00242
64	0.0625	0	1.27	0.00785	3.42	0	6.65	0