Euro: Group A: Switzerland clinched second place

Quite expectedly France and Switzerland drew, which means France won the group and Switzerland secured a place in the knock-out stage. Albania is in third place and need to wait for other groups to see if they are among the four best third-placed. With their result and since the third-placed country at best can get four points and +1 in goal difference, we know that a third place with four points and +2 in goal difference guarantees a place in round of 16.

Tonight we have the completion of the very open group B (see below). Apart from those countries a number of countries on four points can clinch place in knock-out stage if England win against Slovakia.

Group A	p	pts	+/-	Chance
France	3	7	4-1	100%
Switzerland	3	5	2-1	100%
Albania	3	3	1-3	52%
Romania	3	1	2-4	0%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
France	Northern Ireland (61%)	Russia (21%)
	Ireland (15%)	Hungary (20%)
	Belgium (9.3%)	Wales (15%)
Switzerland	Poland (89%)	Spain (59%)
	Germany (9%)	Croatia (11%)
	Northern Ireland (2.2%)	Austria (8.2%)
Albania	England (55%)	Belgium (41%)
	Germany (25%)	Portugal (23%)
	Slovakia (9.3%)	Italy (12%)

Group B	p	pts	+/-	Chance
England	2	4	3-2	99.99%
Wales	2	3	3-3	74%
Slovakia	2	3	3-3	62%
Russia	2	1	2-3	50%

England clinch knockout berth if

they draw (or win) against Slovakia or

Wales draw against Russia

Wales clinch knockout berth if

they win against Russia or they draw against Russia and England draw (or win) against Slovakia

Wales are eliminated if

Russia win against Wales and Slovakia draw (or win) against England

Slovakia clinch knockout berth if

they win against England or they draw against England and Russia win against Wale

Slovakia are eliminated if

they lose against England and Russia win against Wales

Russia clinch knockout berth if

they win against Wales and England win against Slovakia or they win against Wales with at least 3 goals or they win against Wales with at least 2 goals and Slovakia win against England they win against Wales and Slovakia win against England with at least 2 goals

Russia are eliminated if

they fail to win against Wales

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
England	Albania (29%)	Belgium (39%)
	Turkey (16%)	Portugal (23%)
	Czechia (12%)	France (10%)
Wales	Germany (30%)	France (52%)
	Hungary (22%)	Belgium (11%)
	Iceland (12%)	Italy (9.2%)
Slovakia	Germany (41%)	France (29%)
	Hungary (12%)	Belgium (17%)
	Albania (7.8%)	Italy (16%)
Russia	Hungary (36%)	France (74%)
	Iceland (19%)	Italy (6%)
	Germany (19%)	Northern Ireland (4.8%)

Group C	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Germany	2	4	2-0	99.99%
Poland	2	4	1-0	99.99%
Northern Ireland	2	3	2-1	80%
Ukraine	2	0	0-4	0%

Germany clinch knockout berth if

England win against Slovakia

Poland clinch knockout berth if

England win against Slovakia

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Germany	Slovakia (26%)	Italy (48%)
	Wales (22%)	Croatia (25%)
	Albania (13%)	Spain (17%)
Poland	Switzerland (89%)	Spain (54%)
	France (2.6%)	Croatia (13%)
	Slovakia (2.3%)	Austria (7.5%)
Northern Ireland	France (76%)	Portugal (13%)
	England (11%)	Hungary (12%)
	Slovakia (4.3%)	Russia (11%)

Group D	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Spain	2	6	4-0	100%
Croatia	2	4	3-2	99.95%
Czechia	2	1	2-3	32%
Turkey	2	0	0-4	25%

Croatia clinch knockout berth if

England win against Slovakia

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Spain	Austria (22%)	Switzerland (39%)
	Italy (21%)	Poland (37%)
	Portugal (13%)	Germany (19%)
Croatia	Italy (64%)	Germany (45%)
	England (10%)	Poland (14%)
	Austria (5.8%)	Switzerland (12%)
Czechia	Italy (46%)	Germany (35%)
	England (36%)	Belgium (24%)
	Slovakia (6.5%)	Portugal (12%)
Turkey	England (64%)	Belgium (49%)
	France (18%)	Portugal (22%)
	Slovakia (10%)	Hungary (13%)

Group E	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Italy	2	6	3-0	100%
Belgium	2	3	3-2	93%
Sweden	2	1	2-3	22%
Ireland	2	1	2-5	26%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Italy	Croatia (64%)	Germany (70%)
	Spain (21%)	Slovakia (7.4%)
	Czechia (15%)	England (5.3%)
Belgium	Portugal (46%)	England (53%)
	Hungary (31%)	Turkey (8.3%)
	France (10%)	Slovakia (7.5%)
Sweden	Portugal (53%)	England (58%)
	Hungary (35%)	Slovakia (7.9%)
	Iceland (8.5%)	Turkey (5.9%)
Ireland	France (59%)	Switzerland (23%)
	Spain (31%)	Poland (21%)
	Croatia (8.1%)	Hungary (11%)

Group F	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Hungary	2	4	3-1	99.98%
Iceland	2	2	2-2	49%
Portugal	2	2	1-1	82%
Austria	2	1	0-2	50%

Hungary clinch knockout berth if

England win against Slovakia

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Hungary	Belgium (28%)	France (51%)
	Russia (18%)	England (17%)
	Wales (17%)	Switzerland (4.4%)
Iceland	Spain (22%)	France (57%)
	Russia (19%)	England (8.7%)
	Wales (18%)	Switzerland (8.3%)
Portugal	Belgium (52%)	England (40%)
	Spain (16%)	France (12%)
	Sweden (14%)	Switzerland (8.3%)
Austria	Spain (44%)	France (46%)
	Russia (14%)	Switzerland (20%)
	Wales (14%)	Poland (19%)

Country	Last 16	QF	SF	F	Champions
France	100	85	70	45	31
Germany	99.99	79	54	30	19
Spain	100	72	51	30	15
England	99.99	74	44	25	12
Belgium	93	55	31	16	6.6
Portugal	82	42	22	12	4.5
Italy	100	54	22	8.1	3.6
Croatia	99.95	45	18	6.4	2.1
Poland	99.99	49	16	5.5	1.3
Switzerland	100	48	16	5.5	1.3
Slovakia	62	25	8.1	2.5	0.7
Austria	50	19	6.8	2.2	0.61
Turkey	25	9.3	4.3	1.8	0.55
Russia	50	24	5.7	1.6	0.5
Hungary	99.98	34	7.9	2	0.42
Sweden	22	9.9	3.7	1.3	0.33
Czechia	32	10	3.4	1	0.26
Ireland	26	5.6	2.7	0.83	0.23
Wales	74	24	4.6	0.94	0.17
Iceland	49	15	3.2	0.71	0.13
Northern Ireland	80	11	3.2	0.57	0.097
Albania	52	9.4	2	0.39	0.051
Ukraine	0	0	0	0	0
Romania	0	0	0	0	0

Expected result of 4th third-placed team

pts	+/-	Chance
4	0	99.5%
4	-1	98%
4	-2	97%
4	-3	96%
3	0	88%
3	-1	72%
3	-2	17%
3	-3	6.3%
3	-4	3.9%
3	-5	2.9%
3	-6	2.6%
3	-7	2.5%
3	-8	2.4%
2	-1	0%