Monday, June 20, 2016

Euro: Group B

Wales and England clinched spots in round three and Slovakia need to wait for the remaining groups before we know if they push through.

Today we groups C and D will be completed.




Group Appts+/-Chance
France374-1100%
Switzerland352-1100%
Albania331-346%
Romania312-40%




Likely Opponents
CountryRound of 16Quarter-final
FranceNorthern Ireland (55%)England (77%)

Ireland (19%)Hungary (9.3%)

Belgium (12%)Austria (5.4%)
SwitzerlandPoland (89%)Spain (59%)

Germany (9%)Croatia (12%)

Northern Ireland (2.2%)Austria (9.1%)
AlbaniaWales (78%)Belgium (50%)

Germany (19%)Portugal (26%)

Poland (1.8%)Hungary (8.6%)


Group Bppts+/-Chance
Wales366-3100%
England353-2100%
Slovakia343-399.99%
Russia312-60%


Slovakia clinch knockout berth if
  • Germany win against Northern Ireland or
  • Turkey draw (or win) against Czechia or
  • Spain win against Croatia with at least 2 goals




Likely Opponents
CountryRound of 16Quarter-final
WalesAlbania (36%)Belgium (48%)

Turkey (19%)Portugal (29%)

Czechia (15%)Hungary (9.9%)
EnglandHungary (47%)France (84%)

Iceland (25%)Northern Ireland (4.9%)

Austria (19%)Belgium (3.7%)
SlovakiaGermany (78%)Italy (48%)

Spain (7.9%)Croatia (25%)

Poland (7.2%)Spain (12%)


Group Cppts+/-Chance
Germany242-099.99%
Poland241-099.96%
Northern Ireland232-178%
Ukraine200-40%


Germany clinch knockout berth if
  • they win, draw, or lose with one goal against Northern Ireland or
  • Turkey draw (or win) against Czechia or

Poland clinch knockout berth if
  • they draw (or win) against Ukraine or
  • Germany draw (or win) against Northern Ireland or
  • Turkey draw (or win) against Czechia
Northern Ireland clinch knockout berth if
  • they draw (or win) against Germany or
  • they lose with less than 3 goals against Germany and Turkey draw (or win) against Czechia




Likely Opponents
CountryRound of 16Quarter-final
GermanySlovakia (78%)Italy (47%)

Switzerland (9%)Croatia (25%)

Albania (8.7%)Spain (17%)
PolandSwitzerland (89%)Spain (54%)

Slovakia (7.2%)Croatia (13%)

France (2.4%)Austria (8.2%)
Northern IrelandFrance (71%)England (27%)

Wales (20%)Portugal (20%)

Slovakia (5.9%)Belgium (14%)


Group Dppts+/-Chance
Spain264-0100%
Croatia243-299.9%
Czechia212-332%
Turkey200-423%


Croatia clinch knockout berth if
  • Germany win against Northern Ireland or
  • Turkey draw (or win) against Czechia or
  • they draw (or win) against Spain


Czechia clinch knockout berth if
  • they win against Turkey

Czechia are eliminated if
  • Turkey win against Czechia

Turkey clinch knockout berth if
  • they win against Czechia with at least 3 goals and Germany win against Northern Ireland with at least 3 goals


Turkey are eliminated if
  • they do not win against Czechia




Likely Opponents
CountryRound of 16Quarter-final
SpainAustria (25%)Switzerland (39%)

Italy (21%)Poland (37%)

Portugal (14%)Germany (19%)
CroatiaItaly (64%)Germany (41%)

Wales (13%)Slovakia (13%)

Austria (6.4%)Poland (13%)
CzechiaWales (48%)Belgium (33%)

Italy (46%)Germany (24%)

France (5.7%)Portugal (16%)
TurkeyWales (81%)Belgium (52%)

France (19%)Portugal (21%)


Hungary (13%)


Group Eppts+/-Chance
Italy263-0100%
Belgium233-293%
Sweden212-322%
Ireland212-525%




Likely Opponents
CountryRound of 16Quarter-final
ItalyCroatia (64%)Germany (70%)

Spain (21%)Slovakia (23%)

Czechia (15%)Poland (4.2%)
BelgiumPortugal (46%)Wales (39%)

Hungary (31%)Albania (16%)

France (13%)Turkey (14%)
SwedenPortugal (53%)Wales (44%)

Hungary (36%)Northern Ireland (15%)

Iceland (8.6%)Croatia (9.6%)
IrelandFrance (77%)England (51%)

Spain (17%)Switzerland (14%)

Croatia (4.6%)Poland (13%)


Group Fppts+/-Chance
Hungary243-199.95%
Iceland222-249%
Portugal221-181%
Austria210-250%


Hungary clinch knockout berth if
  • Germany win against Northern Ireland or
  • Turkey draw (or win) against Czechia




Likely Opponents
CountryRound of 16Quarter-final
HungaryEngland (47%)France (34%)

Belgium (28%)Wales (19%)

Spain (13%)Turkey (7.9%)
IcelandEngland (51%)France (40%)

Spain (25%)Switzerland (15%)

Belgium (14%)Poland (14%)
PortugalBelgium (52%)Wales (32%)

Spain (18%)Albania (11%)

Sweden (15%)Switzerland (9.6%)
AustriaSpain (49%)France (32%)

England (38%)Switzerland (30%)

Croatia (13%)Poland (28%)


CountryLast 16QFSFFChampions
France10084573726
Germany99.9979542919
Spain10072513317
England10077331810
Belgium935439218.6
Portugal814028155.8
Italy10054227.73.6
Croatia99.949207.42.4
Switzerland10048166.71.6
Poland99.9649166.61.6
Slovakia99.99269.92.60.83
Turkey23146.32.70.81
Austria50145.72.20.59
Sweden229.95.720.49
Wales10044112.80.43
Hungary99.952382.20.43
Czechia321551.60.39
Ireland2551.90.670.19
Iceland499.62.80.720.13
Northern Ireland78143.20.630.1
Albania46173.70.750.091
Ukraine00000
Russia00000
Romania00000


Expected result of 4th third-placed team


pts+/-Chance
4099%
4-196%
4-292%
3+191%
3075%
3-161%
3-211%
3-34.7%
3-43.4%
3-52.8%
3-62.6%
3-72.5%
2-10%

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