| Group A | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| France | 1 | 3 | 2-1 | 99.6% |
| Switzerland | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 84% |
| Romania | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 63% |
| Albania | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 17% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| France | Poland (27%) | England (17%) |
| Ukraine (24%) | Portugal (15%) |
| Northern Ireland (7.9%) | Russia (15%) |
| Switzerland | Poland (27%) | Spain (29%) |
| Ukraine (27%) | Portugal (11%) |
| Germany (15%) | Croatia (9.7%) |
| Romania | Poland (26%) | Spain (31%) |
| Ukraine (26%) | Portugal (11%) |
| Germany (17%) | Belgium (11%) |
| Albania | England (27%) | Portugal (19%) |
| Germany (22%) | Belgium (16%) |
| Poland (13%) | Spain (13%) |
| Group B | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Wales | 1 | 3 | 2-1 | 78% |
| England | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 92% |
| Russia | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 74% |
| Slovakia | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 30% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Wales | Germany (27%) | France (30%) |
| Austria (11%) | Belgium (11%) |
| Portugal (9%) | Portugal (11%) |
| England | Turkey (11%) | France (21%) |
| Switzerland (9.9%) | Portugal (18%) |
| Romania (9.7%) | Belgium (17%) |
| Russia | Germany (20%) | France (37%) |
| Austria (15%) | Belgium (9.5%) |
| Portugal (12%) | Portugal (9.2%) |
| Slovakia | Germany (35%) | France (32%) |
| Austria (11%) | Italy (13%) |
| Portugal (9.4%) | Belgium (8.3%) |
| Group C | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Germany | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 99.4% |
| Poland | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 81% |
| Northern Ireland | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 14% |
| Ukraine | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 70% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Germany | Wales (22%) | Italy (34%) |
| Russia (15%) | Spain (20%) |
| Switzerland (13%) | Croatia (19%) |
| Poland | France (33%) | Spain (31%) |
| Switzerland (28%) | Croatia (13%) |
| Romania (20%) | Italy (9.7%) |
| Northern Ireland | France (57%) | Spain (21%) |
| Switzerland (19%) | Portugal (11%) |
| Romania (11%) | Austria (9.1%) |
| Ukraine | France (35%) | Spain (36%) |
| Switzerland (33%) | Croatia (12%) |
| Romania (23%) | Portugal (7.2%) |
| Group D | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Croatia | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 88% |
| Spain | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 97% |
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 40% |
| Turkey | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 45% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Croatia | Italy (39%) | Germany (36%) |
| Sweden (7.9%) | Poland (9.9%) |
| Ireland (7.8%) | Ukraine (9.1%) |
| Spain | Italy (22%) | Germany (23%) |
| Hungary (11%) | Ukraine (17%) |
| Iceland (10%) | Poland (15%) |
| Czechia | Italy (35%) | Germany (32%) |
| England (18%) | Portugal (13%) |
| France (12%) | Belgium (10%) |
| Turkey | England (23%) | Germany (21%) |
| Italy (21%) | Portugal (16%) |
| France (15%) | Belgium (12%) |
| Group E | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Italy | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 95% |
| Ireland | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 47% |
| Sweden | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 48% |
| Belgium | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 69% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Italy | Croatia (36%) | Germany (53%) |
| Spain (23%) | England (9.5%) |
| Czechia (14%) | Poland (6.3%) |
| Ireland | Portugal (25%) | England (23%) |
| Spain (19%) | Germany (16%) |
| Croatia (15%) | Switzerland (7.9%) |
| Sweden | Portugal (25%) | England (23%) |
| Spain (19%) | Germany (16%) |
| Croatia (15%) | Switzerland (7.7%) |
| Belgium | Portugal (34%) | England (27%) |
| Austria (15%) | Germany (9.6%) |
| Spain (14%) | Switzerland (7.8%) |
| Group F | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Austria | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 74% |
| Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 55% |
| Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 49% |
| Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 91% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Austria | Russia (15%) | France (35%) |
| Belgium (14%) | England (12%) |
| Spain (13%) | Switzerland (8.3%) |
| Hungary | Spain (19%) | France (36%) |
| Russia (14%) | Switzerland (8.9%) |
| England (11%) | England (8.7%) |
| Iceland | Spain (20%) | France (37%) |
| Russia (14%) | Switzerland (9.3%) |
| England (11%) | Ukraine (8.7%) |
| Portugal | Belgium (26%) | France (22%) |
| Sweden (13%) | England (22%) |
| Ireland (13%) | Switzerland (7.6%) |
| Country | Last 16 | QF | SF | F | Champions |
| France | 99.6 | 78 | 60 | 40 | 27 |
| Germany | 99.4 | 78 | 54 | 32 | 20 |
| Spain | 97 | 69 | 45 | 28 | 15 |
| England | 92 | 63 | 37 | 21 | 10 |
| Portugal | 91 | 53 | 27 | 14 | 5.7 |
| Belgium | 69 | 39 | 22 | 12 | 5 |
| Italy | 95 | 50 | 22 | 9.3 | 3.9 |
| Croatia | 88 | 42 | 17 | 6.7 | 2.2 |
| Ukraine | 70 | 32 | 15 | 6.3 | 2.1 |
| Switzerland | 84 | 35 | 13 | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| Turkey | 45 | 20 | 9 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Poland | 81 | 32 | 12 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Austria | 74 | 31 | 11 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| Russia | 74 | 31 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 0.87 |
| Romania | 63 | 25 | 8.8 | 3 | 0.72 |
| Sweden | 48 | 18 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 0.59 |
| Ireland | 47 | 17 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.57 |
| Czechia | 40 | 14 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Slovakia | 30 | 11 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.36 |
| Hungary | 55 | 18 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.25 |
| Wales | 78 | 23 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Iceland | 49 | 14 | 3.4 | 0.79 | 0.15 |
| Albania | 17 | 3.9 | 0.89 | 0.18 | 0.026 |
| Northern Ireland | 14 | 2.7 | 0.66 | 0.13 | 0.021 |
Expected result for 4th third-placed team
| pts | +/- | Chance |
| 4 | +1 | 99.92% |
| 4 | 0 | 98% |
| 4 | -1 | 94% |
| 4 | -2 | 92% |
| 4 | -3 | 91% |
| 4 | -4 | 90% |
| 3 | +2 | 89% |
| 3 | +1 | 87% |
| 3 | 0 | 77% |
| 3 | -1 | 55% |
| 3 | -2 | 31% |
| 3 | -3 | 17% |
| 3 | -4 | 10% |
| 3 | -5 | 7.1% |
| 3 | -6 | 5.9% |
| 3 | -7 | 5.3% |
| 3 | -8 | 5.1% |
| 3 | -10 | 5% |
| 2 | -1 | 1.2% |
| 2 | -2 | 0.42% |
| 2 | -3 | 0.29% |
| 2 | -4 | 0.23% |
| 2 | -5 | 0.22% |
| 2 | -7 | 0.21% |
| 1 | -2 | 0.033% |
| 1 | -3 | 0.0017% |
| 1 | -4 | 0% |
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