Group G started with two big upsets. Austria lost against Hungary and Portugal did not manage to beat Iceland. With that the first round is completed.
With the second round starting today the first teams might secure a spot in round of 16. Both France and Switzerland can secure a seat with a win today, while it is a bit more complicated for Russia.
| Group A | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| France | 1 | 3 | 2-1 | 99.6% |
| Switzerland | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 84% |
| Romania | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 63% |
| Albania | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 16% |
| France clinch knockout berth if |
| they win against Albania |
| Switzerland clinch knockout berth if |
| they win against Romania |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| France | Poland (27%) | Portugal (17%) |
| Ukraine (24%) | England (17%) |
| Northern Ireland (7.6%) | Russia (15%) |
| Switzerland | Poland (27%) | Spain (29%) |
| Ukraine (27%) | Portugal (11%) |
| Germany (15%) | Croatia (9.6%) |
| Romania | Ukraine (26%) | Spain (31%) |
| Poland (26%) | Belgium (11%) |
| Germany (17%) | Portugal (11%) |
| Albania | England (28%) | Belgium (18%) |
| Germany (21%) | Portugal (16%) |
| Poland (13%) | Spain (13%) |
| Group B | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Wales | 1 | 3 | 2-1 | 78% |
| England | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 92% |
| Russia | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 73% |
| Slovakia | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 30% |
Russia clinch knockout berth if
|
- they win against Slovakia with at least 3 goals and Switzerland and Romania do not draw or
|
- they win against Slovakia with at least 3 goals and Albania draw (or win) against France
|
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Wales | Germany (28%) | France (30%) |
| Portugal (10%) | Belgium (12%) |
| Hungary (9.5%) | Italy (10%) |
| England | Turkey (11%) | France (21%) |
| Switzerland (10%) | Belgium (18%) |
| Romania (9.9%) | Portugal (14%) |
| Russia | Germany (20%) | France (37%) |
| Portugal (14%) | Belgium (10%) |
| Hungary (13%) | Italy (8.2%) |
| Slovakia | Germany (35%) | France (32%) |
| Portugal (11%) | Italy (13%) |
| Hungary (10%) | Belgium (8.6%) |
| Group C | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Germany | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 99.4% |
| Poland | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 81% |
| Northern Ireland | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 14% |
| Ukraine | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 69% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Germany | Wales (22%) | Italy (34%) |
| Russia (15%) | Spain (20%) |
| Switzerland (12%) | Croatia (19%) |
| Poland | France (33%) | Spain (31%) |
| Switzerland (28%) | Croatia (13%) |
| Romania (20%) | Italy (9.7%) |
| Northern Ireland | France (56%) | Spain (20%) |
| Switzerland (20%) | Portugal (12%) |
| Romania (11%) | Croatia (8.3%) |
| Ukraine | France (34%) | Spain (36%) |
| Switzerland (33%) | Croatia (12%) |
| Romania (24%) | Portugal (8.2%) |
| Group D | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Croatia | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 88% |
| Spain | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 97% |
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 40% |
| Turkey | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 45% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Croatia | Italy (39%) | Germany (36%) |
| Sweden (7.7%) | Poland (10%) |
| Ireland (7.6%) | Ukraine (9.1%) |
| Spain | Italy (22%) | Germany (23%) |
| Hungary (11%) | Ukraine (17%) |
| Iceland (10%) | Poland (15%) |
| Czechia | Italy (35%) | Germany (32%) |
| England (18%) | Portugal (11%) |
| France (12%) | Belgium (11%) |
| Turkey | England (22%) | Germany (21%) |
| Italy (21%) | Belgium (13%) |
| France (15%) | Portugal (13%) |
| Group E | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Italy | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 95% |
| Ireland | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 47% |
| Sweden | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 47% |
| Belgium | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 69% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Italy | Croatia (36%) | Germany (52%) |
| Spain (23%) | England (10%) |
| Czechia (14%) | Poland (6.3%) |
| Ireland | Portugal (20%) | England (24%) |
| Hungary (19%) | Germany (15%) |
| Spain (18%) | Switzerland (7.7%) |
| Sweden | Portugal (20%) | England (24%) |
| Hungary (19%) | Germany (15%) |
| Spain (18%) | Switzerland (7.6%) |
| Belgium | Portugal (26%) | England (28%) |
| Hungary (25%) | Germany (9.1%) |
| Spain (13%) | Russia (7.8%) |
| Group F | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Hungary | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 88% |
| Iceland | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 57% |
| Portugal | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 86% |
| Austria | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 42% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Hungary | Belgium (19%) | France (27%) |
| Spain (12%) | England (17%) |
| Russia (11%) | Switzerland (8.2%) |
| Iceland | Spain (18%) | France (39%) |
| Russia (15%) | Switzerland (8.8%) |
| England (12%) | Ukraine (8.2%) |
| Portugal | Belgium (21%) | France (27%) |
| Russia (12%) | England (18%) |
| Sweden (11%) | Switzerland (7.9%) |
| Austria | Spain (23%) | France (36%) |
| Russia (14%) | Ukraine (9.9%) |
| England (11%) | Switzerland (9.8%) |
| Country | Last 16 | QF | SF | F | Champions |
| France | 99.6 | 78 | 60 | 40 | 27 |
| Germany | 99.4 | 78 | 53 | 32 | 20 |
| Spain | 97 | 69 | 45 | 28 | 15 |
| England | 92 | 63 | 37 | 21 | 11 |
| Belgium | 69 | 41 | 23 | 12 | 5.3 |
| Portugal | 86 | 49 | 25 | 12 | 5.3 |
| Italy | 95 | 50 | 22 | 9.4 | 3.9 |
| Croatia | 88 | 42 | 17 | 6.7 | 2.2 |
| Ukraine | 69 | 32 | 15 | 6.4 | 2.1 |
| Switzerland | 84 | 35 | 13 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Turkey | 45 | 20 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Poland | 81 | 32 | 12 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| Russia | 73 | 31 | 10 | 3.1 | 0.87 |
| Romania | 63 | 25 | 8.8 | 3 | 0.73 |
| Sweden | 47 | 19 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.62 |
| Ireland | 47 | 18 | 7 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Austria | 42 | 17 | 5.8 | 2 | 0.58 |
| Hungary | 88 | 29 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.45 |
| Czechia | 40 | 14 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.41 |
| Slovakia | 30 | 12 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.35 |
| Wales | 78 | 23 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.21 |
| Iceland | 57 | 17 | 4 | 0.96 | 0.18 |
| Albania | 16 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.18 | 0.024 |
| Northern Ireland | 14 | 2.7 | 0.68 | 0.13 | 0.021 |
| Expected result of 4th third-placed team |
| pts | +/- | Chance |
| 4 | +1 | 99.91% |
| 4 | 0 | 98% |
| 4 | -1 | 94% |
| 4 | -2 | 91% |
| 4 | -3 | 90% |
| 4 | -4 | 89% |
| 3 | +2 | 88% |
| 3 | +1 | 86% |
| 3 | 0 | 75% |
| 3 | -1 | 53% |
| 3 | -2 | 29% |
| 3 | -3 | 15% |
| 3 | -4 | 9.1% |
| 3 | -5 | 6.5% |
| 3 | -6 | 5.4% |
| 3 | -7 | 5% |
| 3 | -8 | 4.8% |
| 3 | -9 | 4.7% |
| 2 | -1 | 0.93% |
| 2 | -2 | 0.28% |
| 2 | -3 | 0.18% |
| 2 | -4 | 0.15% |
| 2 | -5 | 0.14% |
| 1 | -2 | 0.02% |
| 1 | -3 | 0.0002% |
| 1 | -4 | 0% |
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