Ukraine is the first country to be eliminated. Today Italy, Croatia, and Spain have the chance to secure tickets to the knock-out stage.
| Group A | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| France | 2 | 6 | 4-1 | 100% |
| Switzerland | 2 | 4 | 2-1 | 99% |
| Romania | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 56% |
| Albania | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 14% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| France | Northern Ireland (46%) | Portugal (19%) |
| Poland (13%) | Russia (17%) |
| Turkey (7%) | Wales (12%) |
| Switzerland | Poland (47%) | Spain (28%) |
| England (20%) | Portugal (11%) |
| Germany (13%) | Croatia (9.5%) |
| Romania | Poland (61%) | Spain (37%) |
| England (17%) | Croatia (12%) |
| Germany (13%) | Belgium (9.5%) |
| Albania | England (54%) | Belgium (22%) |
| Germany (24%) | Portugal (18%) |
| Slovakia (9.4%) | Italy (17%) |
| Group B | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| England | 2 | 4 | 3-2 | 99.9% |
| Wales | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 69% |
| Slovakia | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 57% |
| Russia | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 50% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| England | Switzerland (20%) | Belgium (23%) |
| Turkey (13%) | Portugal (19%) |
| Germany (10%) | Hungary (10%) |
| Wales | Germany (27%) | France (47%) |
| Portugal (15%) | Italy (8.1%) |
| Hungary (14%) | Belgium (7%) |
| Slovakia | Germany (39%) | France (26%) |
| Portugal (8%) | Italy (14%) |
| Hungary (7.3%) | Belgium (11%) |
| Russia | Portugal (23%) | France (64%) |
| Hungary (21%) | Switzerland (6.2%) |
| Iceland (19%) | Northern Ireland (5.6%) |
| Group C | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Germany | 2 | 4 | 2-0 | 99.98% |
| Poland | 2 | 4 | 1-0 | 99.9% |
| Northern Ireland | 2 | 3 | 2-1 | 65% |
| Ukraine | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Germany | Slovakia (22%) | Italy (35%) |
| Wales (18%) | Croatia (19%) |
| Switzerland (12%) | Spain (19%) |
| Poland | Switzerland (46%) | Spain (45%) |
| Romania (34%) | Croatia (15%) |
| France (13%) | Italy (5.7%) |
| Northern Ireland | France (71%) | Portugal (16%) |
| Switzerland (13%) | Russia (12%) |
| England (6.7%) | Hungary (9.8%) |
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| Group D | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Croatia | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 86% |
| Spain | 1 | 3 | 1-0 | 97% |
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 38% |
| Turkey | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 43% |
| Croatia clinch knockout berth if |
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| Spain clinch knockout berth if |
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| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Croatia | Italy (40%) | Germany (37%) |
| England (9.6%) | Poland (17%) |
| Sweden (7.8%) | Switzerland (10%) |
| Spain | Italy (22%) | Poland (30%) |
| Hungary (11%) | Germany (21%) |
| Iceland (10%) | Switzerland (18%) |
| Czechia | Italy (36%) | Germany (37%) |
| England (25%) | Portugal (9.5%) |
| France (13%) | Belgium (8.9%) |
| Turkey | England (31%) | Germany (24%) |
| Italy (23%) | Portugal (12%) |
| France (16%) | Belgium (11%) |
| Group E | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Italy | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 95% |
| Ireland | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 46% |
| Sweden | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 47% |
| Belgium | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 67% |
| Italy clinch knockout berth if |
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| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Italy | Croatia (36%) | Germany (54%) |
| Spain (23%) | England (13%) |
| Czechia (15%) | Slovakia (6.1%) |
| Ireland | Portugal (20%) | England (33%) |
| Hungary (19%) | Germany (15%) |
| Spain (18%) | Switzerland (9.7%) |
| Sweden | Portugal (20%) | England (34%) |
| Hungary (19%) | Germany (15%) |
| Spain (18%) | Switzerland (9.6%) |
| Belgium | Portugal (27%) | England (40%) |
| Hungary (26%) | Switzerland (9.4%) |
| Spain (13%) | Germany (8.9%) |
| Group F | p | pts | +/- | Chance |
| Hungary | 1 | 3 | 2-0 | 87% |
| Iceland | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 57% |
| Portugal | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 86% |
| Austria | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 40% |
| Likely Opponents |
| Country | Round of 16 | Quarter-final |
| Hungary | Belgium (20%) | France (31%) |
| Russia (12%) | England (24%) |
| Spain (12%) | Switzerland (10%) |
| Iceland | Spain (18%) | France (44%) |
| Russia (17%) | England (11%) |
| Wales (16%) | Switzerland (11%) |
| Portugal | Belgium (21%) | France (31%) |
| Russia (13%) | England (26%) |
| Wales (12%) | Switzerland (9.7%) |
| Austria | Spain (22%) | France (43%) |
| Russia (16%) | Switzerland (12%) |
| Wales (15%) | Poland (11%) |
| Country | Last 16 | QF | SF | F | Champions |
| France | 100 | 83 | 66 | 43 | 29 |
| Germany | 99.98 | 78 | 54 | 31 | 19 |
| Spain | 97 | 68 | 46 | 28 | 14 |
| England | 99.9 | 69 | 43 | 25 | 12 |
| Portugal | 86 | 51 | 24 | 12 | 5.1 |
| Belgium | 67 | 40 | 22 | 12 | 4.9 |
| Italy | 95 | 51 | 22 | 9.1 | 3.8 |
| Croatia | 86 | 40 | 17 | 6.5 | 2.1 |
| Switzerland | 99 | 43 | 17 | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| Poland | 99.9 | 46 | 16 | 5.8 | 1.5 |
| Turkey | 43 | 17 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Slovakia | 57 | 22 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 0.69 |
| Romania | 56 | 23 | 8 | 2.7 | 0.64 |
| Sweden | 47 | 18 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 0.59 |
| Ireland | 46 | 18 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 0.57 |
| Austria | 40 | 17 | 5.7 | 2 | 0.57 |
| Russia | 50 | 22 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.53 |
| Hungary | 87 | 29 | 7.8 | 2 | 0.41 |
| Czechia | 38 | 13 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.35 |
| Iceland | 57 | 18 | 4.1 | 0.96 | 0.18 |
| Wales | 69 | 21 | 4.4 | 0.95 | 0.18 |
| Northern Ireland | 65 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 0.52 | 0.086 |
| Albania | 14 | 2.5 | 0.63 | 0.12 | 0.018 |
| Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Expected result of 4th third-placed team |
| pts | +/- | Chance |
| 4 | +1 | 99.9% |
| 4 | 0 | 96% |
| 4 | -1 | 91% |
| 4 | -2 | 89% |
| 4 | -3 | 87% |
| 4 | -5 | 86% |
| 3 | +1 | 85% |
| 3 | 0 | 71% |
| 3 | -1 | 43% |
| 3 | -2 | 17% |
| 3 | -3 | 7.9% |
| 3 | -4 | 4.5% |
| 3 | -5 | 3.3% |
| 3 | -6 | 2.9% |
| 3 | -7 | 2.8% |
| 3 | -9 | 2.7% |
| 2 | -1 | 0.092% |
| 2 | -2 | 0.023% |
| 2 | -3 | 0.0099% |
| 2 | -4 | 0.0071% |
| 2 | -5 | 0.0066% |
| 2 | -6 | 0.0064% |
| 2 | -7 | 0.0063% |
| 2 | -8 | 0.0062% |
| 1 | -2 | 0.0006% |
| 1 | -3 | 0% |
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