Euro: France clinched round of 16 spot

France was the first country to secure a spot in round of 16 with a late winning goal against Albania.

Today all Wales, England, Germany and Poland have the chance to clinch a place in the round of 16, while Northern Ireland and Ukraine risk to be eliminated with the wrong results.

Group A	p	pts	+/-	Chance
France	2	6	4-1	100%
Switzerland	2	4	2-1	99%
Romania	2	1	2-3	57%
Albania	2	0	0-3	15%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
France	Poland (27%)	Portugal (18%)
	Ukraine (24%)	Russia (15%)
	Turkey (8.3%)	England (12%)
Switzerland	Poland (25%)	Spain (27%)
	Ukraine (25%)	Portugal (12%)
	England (16%)	Belgium (9.8%)
Romania	Ukraine (28%)	Spain (35%)
	Poland (28%)	Croatia (11%)
	Germany (16%)	Belgium (11%)
Albania	England (45%)	Belgium (24%)
	Germany (23%)	Portugal (20%)
	Wales (17%)	Italy (15%)

Group B	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Wales	1	3	2-1	74%
Slovakia	2	3	3-3	58%
England	1	1	1-1	91%
Russia	2	1	2-3	50%

Wales clinch knockout berth if

they win against England

England clinch knockout berth if

they win against Wales with at least 3 goals and Northern Ireland win against Ukraine with at least 2 goals or

they win against Wales with at least 2 goals and Northern Ireland win against Ukraine with at least 3 goals

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Wales	Germany (21%)	France (32%)
	Portugal (12%)	Belgium (12%)
	Hungary (11%)	Portugal (9.4%)
Slovakia	Germany (35%)	France (30%)
	Portugal (9.8%)	Italy (13%)
	Hungary (9.1%)	Belgium (10%)
England	Switzerland (18%)	Belgium (21%)
	Turkey (12%)	Portugal (17%)
	Romania (9.3%)	France (15%)
Russia	Germany (23%)	France (56%)
	Portugal (20%)	Italy (7.1%)
	Hungary (19%)	Ukraine (5.4%)

Group C	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Germany	1	3	2-0	99.3%
Poland	1	3	1-0	80%
Northern Ireland	1	0	0-1	13%
Ukraine	1	0	0-2	68%

Germany clinch knockout berth if

they win against Poland or

they draw against Poland, and Northern Ireland win against Ukraine with at least 3 goals or

they draw against Poland, and Wales win against England with at least 3 goals

Poland clinch knockout berth if

they win against Germany

Northern Ireland are eliminated if

Ukraine win against Northern Ireland, and Germany draw (or win) against Poland

Ukraine are eliminated if

Northern Ireland win against Ukraine and Poland draw (or win) against Germany

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Germany	Slovakia (20%)	Italy (34%)
	Wales (16%)	Spain (20%)
	Switzerland (15%)	Croatia (19%)
Poland	France (33%)	Spain (32%)
	Switzerland (31%)	Croatia (13%)
	Romania (20%)	Italy (9.9%)
Northern Ireland	France (58%)	Spain (22%)
	Switzerland (21%)	Portugal (12%)
	Romania (9.8%)	Croatia (8.7%)
Ukraine	Switzerland (36%)	Spain (36%)
	France (35%)	Croatia (12%)
	Romania (24%)	Portugal (8.1%)

Group D	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Croatia	1	3	1-0	87%
Spain	1	3	1-0	97%
Czechia	1	0	0-1	39%
Turkey	1	0	0-1	44%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Croatia	Italy (40%)	Germany (37%)
	Sweden (7.8%)	Poland (10%)
	Ireland (7.8%)	Ukraine (9.3%)
Spain	Italy (22%)	Germany (23%)
	Hungary (11%)	Ukraine (17%)
	Iceland (10%)	Switzerland (16%)
Czechia	Italy (35%)	Germany (34%)
	England (19%)	Portugal (10%)
	France (15%)	Belgium (9.6%)
Turkey	England (24%)	Germany (22%)
	Italy (22%)	Portugal (13%)
	France (19%)	Belgium (12%)

Group E	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Italy	1	3	2-0	95%
Ireland	1	1	1-1	47%
Sweden	1	1	1-1	47%
Belgium	1	0	0-2	68%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Italy	Croatia (36%)	Germany (52%)
	Spain (23%)	England (10%)
	Czechia (14%)	Poland (6.2%)
Ireland	Portugal (20%)	England (27%)
	Hungary (19%)	Germany (15%)
	Spain (19%)	Switzerland (10%)
Sweden	Portugal (20%)	England (27%)
	Hungary (19%)	Germany (15%)
	Spain (19%)	Switzerland (10%)
Belgium	Portugal (26%)	England (32%)
	Hungary (25%)	Switzerland (9.9%)
	Spain (13%)	Germany (9.1%)

Group F	p	pts	+/-	Chance
Hungary	1	3	2-0	88%
Iceland	1	1	1-1	57%
Portugal	1	1	1-1	86%
Austria	1	0	0-2	41%

Likely Opponents
Country	Round of 16	Quarter-final
Hungary	Belgium (20%)	France (29%)
	Spain (12%)	England (20%)
	Russia (11%)	Switzerland (10%)
Iceland	Spain (18%)	France (41%)
	Russia (15%)	Switzerland (9.8%)
	Wales (13%)	England (9.1%)
Portugal	Belgium (21%)	France (28%)
	Russia (12%)	England (21%)
	Sweden (11%)	Switzerland (9.7%)
Austria	Spain (22%)	France (39%)
	Russia (14%)	Switzerland (11%)
	Wales (12%)	Ukraine (9.3%)

Country	Last 16	QF	SF	F	Champions
France	100	79	62	40	28
Germany	99.3	78	53	32	20
Spain	97	69	45	28	15
England	91	63	38	22	11
Portugal	86	50	25	12	5.2
Belgium	68	40	23	12	5.2
Italy	95	50	22	9.3	3.9
Croatia	87	41	17	6.6	2.1
Ukraine	68	32	14	6.2	2
Switzerland	99	41	16	5.6	1.4
Turkey	44	19	8.4	3.3	1.1
Poland	80	32	12	4.1	1.1
Slovakia	58	23	7.6	2.4	0.7
Romania	57	22	7.8	2.7	0.65
Sweden	47	18	7.1	2.4	0.61
Ireland	47	18	6.9	2.3	0.6
Austria	41	17	5.7	2	0.58
Russia	50	21	5.9	1.7	0.52
Hungary	88	29	7.9	2.1	0.42
Czechia	39	14	4.7	1.4	0.38
Wales	74	23	5.4	1.2	0.21
Iceland	57	17	4	0.93	0.18
Albania	15	3.2	0.76	0.15	0.022
Northern Ireland	13	2.5	0.63	0.13	0.02

Expected result of 4th third-placed team

pts	+/-	Chance
4	+1	99.9%
4	0	96%
4	-1	90%
4	-2	86%
4	-3	84%
4	-4	83%
3	+2	82%
3	+1	81%
3	0	71%
3	-1	49%
3	-2	24%
3	-3	13%
3	-4	8.6%
3	-5	6.5%
3	-6	5.7%
3	-7	5.3%
3	-8	5.2%
3	-10	5.1%
2	-1	0.42%
2	-2	0.096%
2	-3	0.056%
2	-4	0.044%
2	-5	0.04%
2	-6	0.039%
1	-2	0.0052%
1	-3	0.0001%
1	-4	0%