Some interesting matches coming up in October. In Africa most matches are important with only four teams in each group, but particularly Algeria vs Cameroon and Tunisia vs Guinea are coming up, in which the loser will have a much smaller chance. In Asia we have a match between 2nd ranked and 3rd ranked Uzbekistan and Iran in Group A, while in group B Saudi Arabia (3rd) play both Australia (1st) and UAE (4th). In Europe we have a top-clash between France and Holland in Group A. Other interesting matches include Austria (3rd) vs Wales (1st) in Group D, Iceland (3nd) vs Turkey (2nd) in Group I, and Poland (1st) vs Denmark (2nd) in Group E. In South America, we have an importsant match between Ecuador and reigning Copa America Champs Chile.
| Group | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.0 | 99% | 99% |
| Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.9 | 93.0% | 88.1% |
| United States | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.0 | 90.2% | 83.5% |
| -------------------- |
| Trinidad and T | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.5 | 31.5% | 18.4% |
| ======== |
| Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.6 | 67.3% | 49.8% |
| Honduras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 18.8% | 9.5% |
| Win | Draw | Lose |
|
|
| Lose | Draw | Win | Information (mBit) |
| 56% | 37% | 25.9% | Ecuador | - | Chile | 72% | 84% | 93% | 70.2 |
| Group | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Uruguay | 8 | +11 | 16 | 31.3 | 89.9% | 88.7% |
| Brazil | 8 | +7 | 15 | 33.0 | 95.1% | 94.6% |
| Argentina | 8 | +3 | 15 | 36.5 | 99% | 99% |
| Colombia | 8 | +2 | 13 | 30.0 | 81.5% | 80.3% |
| -------------------- |
| Ecuador | 8 | +1 | 13 | 26.1 | 38.9% | 37.1% |
| ======== |
| Paraguay | 8 | -2 | 12 | 21.7 | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Chile | 8 | +1 | 11 | 30.4 | 85.1% | 84.6% |
| Bolivia | 8 | -4 | 7 | 12.3 | 0.01% | 0.01% |
| Peru | 8 | -7 | 7 | 19.4 | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Venezuela | 8 | -12 | 2 | 10.5 | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Win | Draw | Lose |
|
|
| Lose | Draw | Win | Information (mBit) |
| 44% | 26% | 16.0% | Austria | - | Wales | 35.0% | 49% | 66% | 85.8 |
| 32.5% | 17.1% | 9.3% | Iceland | - | Turkey | 34.5% | 48% | 65% | 82.1 |
| 83% | 67% | 54% | Netherlands | - | France | 71% | 82% | 93% | 82.0 |
| 72% | 54% | 40% | Poland | - | Denmark | 36.6% | 53% | 71% | 81.2 |
| 59% | 40% | 28% | Turkey | - | Ukraine | 9.0% | 16.7% | 31% | 71.9 |
| Group A | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Bulgaria | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11.6 | 2.4% | 0.86% |
| -------------------- |
| Netherlands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20.8 | 81.9% | 69.2% |
| ======== |
| Sweden | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15.6 | 16.7% | 9.3% |
| France | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21.7 | 88.0% | 80.7% |
| Belarus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11.6 | 2.2% | 0.71% |
| Luxembourg | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Group B | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Switzerland | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22.8 | 87.4% | 64.4% |
| -------------------- |
| Latvia | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13.1 | 1.6% | 0.40% |
| ======== |
| Hungary | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17.4 | 17.9% | 9.9% |
| Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.4 | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| Andorra | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1.7 | - |
| Portugal | 1 | -2 | 0 | 23.2 | 92.1% | 82.2% |
| Group C | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Germany | 1 | +3 | 3 | 26.5 | 99% | 99% |
| -------------------- |
| Azerbaijan | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9.9 | 0.55% | 0.04% |
| ======== |
| Northern Irela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16.1 | 24.4% | 7.0% |
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17.2 | 37.5% | 14.7% |
| San Marino | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.6 | - |
| Norway | 1 | -3 | 0 | 15.2 | 17.3% | 4.6% |
| Group D | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Wales | 1 | +4 | 3 | 19.0 | 61.6% | 49.0% |
| -------------------- |
| Austria | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17.6 | 44.3% | 30.2% |
| ======== |
| Ireland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17.9 | 49.7% | 35.9% |
| Serbia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16.3 | 31.9% | 20.7% |
| Georgia | 1 | -1 | 0 | 7.9 | 0.42% | 0.15% |
| Moldova | 1 | -4 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03% | 0.01% |
| Group E | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Denmark | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18.6 | 63.8% | 47.2% |
| -------------------- |
| Poland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19.2 | 75.0% | 61.6% |
| ======== |
| Kazakhstan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.6 | 0.49% | 0.13% |
| Romania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15.8 | 34.4% | 22.0% |
| Montenegro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11.6 | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Armenia | 1 | -1 | 0 | 9.8 | 2.5% | 0.96% |
| Group F | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Scotland | 1 | +4 | 3 | 17.5 | 41.1% | 19.7% |
| -------------------- |
| England | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24.6 | 96.9% | 93.0% |
| ======== |
| Lithuania | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8.6 | 0.35% | 0.05% |
| Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13.3 | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Slovakia | 1 | -1 | 0 | 17.3 | 40.6% | 20.6% |
| Malta | 1 | -4 | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Group G | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Spain | 1 | +8 | 3 | 23.3 | 93.9% | 80.6% |
| -------------------- |
| Italy | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24.2 | 96.7% | 85.7% |
| ======== |
| Albania | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15.1 | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Macedonia | 1 | -1 | 0 | 8.2 | 0.06% | 0.01% |
| Israel | 1 | -2 | 0 | 12.0 | 1.0% | 0.27% |
| Liechtenstein | 1 | -8 | 0 | 3.2 | - |
| Group H | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Bosnia and Her | 1 | +5 | 3 | 21.0 | 79.1% | 47.7% |
| -------------------- |
| Greece | 1 | +3 | 3 | 16.6 | 19.0% | 6.9% |
| ======== |
| Belgium | 1 | +3 | 3 | 24.5 | 96.2% | 87.8% |
| Gibraltar | 1 | -3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Cyprus | 1 | -3 | 0 | 9.8 | 0.47% | 0.05% |
| Estonia | 1 | -5 | 0 | 11.3 | 1.1% | 0.20% |
| Group I | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Playoff | World Cup |
| Croatia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18.6 | 64.1% | 53.6% |
| -------------------- |
| Turkey | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18.2 | 60.5% | 48.5% |
| ======== |
| Iceland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15.6 | 29.9% | 20.7% |
| Ukraine | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14.8 | 22.8% | 15.3% |
| Kosovo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.7 | 0.10% | 0.03% |
| Finland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8.9 | 1.8% | 0.77% |
| Win | Draw | Lose |
|
|
| Lose | Draw | Win | Information (mBit) |
| 53.1% | 31% | 16.3% | Algeria | - | Cameroon | 15.5% | 31% | 52% | 106.1 |
| 46.0% | 26% | 13.6% | Tunisia | - | Guinea | 13.6% | 27% | 46% | 96.2 |
| 75% | 54% | 35% | Ivory Coast | - | Mali | 7.7% | 20% | 41% | 86.2 |
| 36.5% | 20.1% | 10.9% | Democratic Republic of Congo | - | Libya | 7.7% | 16.0% | 31% | 74.6 |
| 64.3% | 44% | 29% | Senegal | - | Cape Verde | 5.1% | 13.8% | 29% | 71.0 |
| Group A | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | World Cup |
| Libya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 14.7% |
| ======== |
| Democratic Rep | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 | 27.2% |
| Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 | 24.6% |
| Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 | 33.5% |
| Group B | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | World Cup |
| Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.2 | 29.1% |
| ======== |
| Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 | 27.8% |
| Zambia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.1 | 3.8% |
| Algeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.0 | 39.3% |
| Group C | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | World Cup |
| Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.9 | 65.0% |
| ======== |
| Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 | 16.5% |
| Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 14.9% |
| Gabon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 | 3.6% |
| Group D | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | World Cup |
| Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.2 | 55.7% |
| ======== |
| South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 | 28.3% |
| Cape Verde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 10.1% |
| Burkina Faso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 5.9% |
| Group E | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | World Cup |
| Egypt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 | 43.9% |
| ======== |
| Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.2 | 40.3% |
| Uganda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 | 10.2% |
| Congo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | 5.7% |
| Win | Draw | Lose |
|
|
| Lose | Draw | Win | Information (mBit) |
| 75% | 57% | 44% | Uzbekistan | - | Iran | 61% | 75% | 87% | 83.4 |
| 39.9% | 24% | 14.5% | Saudi Arabia | - | United Arab Emirates | 14.1% | 24% | 40% | 77.6 |
| 45% | 27% | 18.0% | Saudi Arabia | - | Australia | 76% | 86% | 94% | 68.5 |
| 94% | 85% | 77% | Australia | - | Japan | 69% | 78% | 89% | 58.4 |
| 85% | 72% | 62% | Iran | - | South Korea | 79% | 87% | 95% | 57.9 |
| Group A | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Round 4 | Playoff | World Cup |
| Uzbekistan | 2 | +2 | 6 | 17.1 | 82.0% | 68.6% | 59.5% |
| Iran | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17.8 | 88.5% | 80.7% | 74.0% |
| -------------------- |
| South Korea | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19.3 | 94.1% | 90.2% | 86.4% |
| ======== |
| China | 2 | -1 | 1 | 10.8 | 19.0% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Syria | 2 | -1 | 1 | 9.0 | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Qatar | 2 | -3 | 0 | 8.9 | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Group B | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Round 4 | Playoff | World Cup |
| Australia | 2 | +3 | 6 | 20.5 | 94.9% | 89.3% | 86.4% |
| Saudi Arabia | 2 | +2 | 6 | 15.3 | 56.0% | 34.8% | 28.5% |
| -------------------- |
| Japan | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18.6 | 89.5% | 82.1% | 77.6% |
| ======== |
| United Arab Em | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14.5 | 50.9% | 30.7% | 24.2% |
| Iraq | 2 | -3 | 0 | 8.6 | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Thailand | 2 | -3 | 0 | 7.4 | 2.9% | 0.95% | 0.60% |
| Group A | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Final | Playoff | World Cup |
| New Zealand | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 | 77.7% | 70.2% | 6.1% |
| ======== |
| Fiji | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.7 | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.05% |
| New Caledonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | 14.0% | 9.4% | 0.15% |
| Group B | m | +/- | points | avg. simulated p | Final | Playoff | World Cup |
| Papua New Guin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.1 | 26.8% | 3.4% | 0.02% |
| ======== |
| Tahiti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | 49.0% | 9.4% | 0.08% |
| Solomon Island | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | 24.3% | 2.8% | 0.01% |
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